R_R

William Li "The nation's first dedicated drone flight route for vehicle license plates took its maiden flight at the NIO Experience Center in Hefei, delivering license plates in just one hour. Thanks to the Hefei Public Security Bureau for this innovative breakthrough and to CCTV News for their special report. Hefei is becoming the world's best place to experience smart electric vehicles. $NIO

Proud to share that we delivered 80,000th All-New ES8 today in Hangzhou, less than 6 months after its first delivery!🎉 The All-New ES8 has led large SUV sales in China for three consecutive months. Big thanks for all the trust and support. Let's Power Up! Let's Jiadian!⚡ #NIO #ES8 #BlueSkyComing

If $NIO lands deals with Geely or Leapmotor, it’s a game changer. The government is pushing hard in that direction. In that case, NIO would operate across three divisions - vehicles, chips, and energy - expanding on all fronts.

On March 18th, according to 36Kr Auto, it learned from multiple industry sources that after the successful tape-out of the M97 chip developed by NIO's Shenji in collaboration with Aichip Yuanzhi, Shenji and Aichip Yuanzhi are actively contacting automakers such as Leapmotor and Geely. Aichip Yuanzhi stated in its Hong Kong IPO prospectus that it would release this chip in the third quarter of this year. $NIO

JPMorgan upgraded #NIO from Neutral Overweight and raised its price target by 67% from $4.80 $8.00

NIO has teamed up with Tuhu Car Care to integrate resources and provide personalized, high-quality services throughout the entire vehicle lifecycle. With over 8,000 stores across China, Tuhu is a leading service platform specializing in maintenance, detailing, and repairs. Tuhu has a massive footprint in lower-tier cities. I suspect NIO is leveraging this partnership to pave the way for its expansion into these untapped markets. #ChinaEV $NIO

$NIO Run 🤫

Goldman Sachs: Following the US-Iran war, Chinese assets have shown the most resilience amidst global turmoil, making now the best time to buy.

@SZ_Investing One of the most corrupt investment houses, and 90% of the time they’re wrong.

Barclays maintains an Underweight rating on $NIO with a PT of $4 This is the reason why $NIO is down today 😂

(1) Li Bin declares: NIO aims for full-year profitability in 2026, launching ten new models. News Highlights, March 9, 2026, 21:01

Li Bin responded to the issue of fast charging on CCTV: "No matter how fast it is, it can't outpace battery swapping; excessive use damages battery life. $NIO

NIO Space | Grand opening today at Tongling Qiaonan Auto City! Thank you for your support. We will continue to offer you even more convenient services and an even better experience!

NIO has planned a factory in Thailand with an annual production capacity of 100,000 vehicles. Securing Thailand means that NIO has obtained a "passport" to radiate throughout Southeast Asia and even other right-hand drive countries globally:- 🇹🇭 $NIO

$NIO Going into next week’s reports - a 1-in-a-million scenario , five years in the making Weekly

Deutsche Bank raises NIO's target price to HK$73.3 (~$9.38) maintaining a "Buy" rating. $NIO (FWIW)

$NIO Q1 2026 Profitability Analysis: The Breakeven Reality #NIO Inc. (NYSE: NIO) may be closer to sustained profitability than the market recognizes, but new analysis based on actual pricing data suggests the company is operating at a slight loss at the operating level - one that could be offset by other income to achieve breakeven. The Delivery Foundation - NIO's first two months of 2026 have been nothing short of spectacular from a delivery perspective. The company reported 27,182 deliveries in January, up 96.1% year-over-year, and 20,797 in February, up 57.6% year-over-year. This brings the year-to-date total to 47,979 vehicles. What makes this volume particularly significant is the mix. The third-generation NIO ES8, the company's flagship full-size premium SUV, has emerged as the dominant force driving both revenue and margin expansion. The ES8 Effect - According to the delivery data, the ES8 accounted for 28,906 units in January and February combined, representing approximately 60% of total company deliveries. In January alone, the ES8 represented nearly two-thirds of all vehicles delivered. This mix shift toward higher-priced vehicles is critical for profitability. The ES8 carries significantly higher average selling prices and margins than NIO's smaller sedans or the newer ONVO and FIREFLY brand vehicles. For FIREFLY, pricing ranges from 119,800 to 135,800 yuan, or approximately $17,200 to $19,500. Regular models start at 119,800 yuan for the Free Edition and 125,800 yuan for the Luminous Edition, with Battery-as-a-Service options reducing the upfront purchase price by 40,000 yuan. For ONVO, the L60 starts at approximately 206,900 yuan ($29,700), while the larger L90 ranges from 265,800 to 316,800 yuan ($38,200 to $45,500). Special editions and limited variants command modest premiums. Based on the delivery mix of 6,462 ONVO vehicles and 5,464 FIREFLY vehicles, a more accurate blended average selling price for "Other Models" is approximately $30,000 to $32,000, significantly below the initial $50,000 estimate. For the ES8, with 28,906 deliveries and an estimated average selling price of $75,000, revenue reaches approximately $2.168 billion. For all other models combined, totaling 19,073 deliveries with a revised average selling price of $30,000, revenue adds approximately $572 million. Total estimated revenue for January and February is approximately $2.740 billion. Applying margin assumptions tells the profitability story. The ES8, benefiting from its premium positioning and scale, is estimated to carry a 20% gross margin, contributing approximately $433.6 million in gross profit. All other models, accounting for the mix of ONVO and FIREFLY vehicles, are estimated at a 16% gross margin, contributing approximately $91.5 million in gross profit. Total estimated gross profit for January and February is approximately $525.1 million. The Operating Loss and Path to Breakeven - With an estimated monthly operating expense run rate of $270 million - covering research and development, selling, general and administrative costs, and other operating expenses -total operating expenses for January and February would be approximately $540 million. Subtracting this from gross profit yields an estimated operating loss of approximately $14.9 million for the two-month period. However, this operating loss does not tell the full story. NIO generates other income streams that could bridge this gap and potentially push the company into net profitability. Other Income Sources: - NIO's battery swap network, having reached 100 million cumulative swaps in February, generates recurring service revenue. While margins on swap services are not disclosed, the scale of operations suggests meaningful contribution. The company's battery-as-a-service subscription model provides recurring monthly revenue from customers who choose the lower upfront cost option. With cumulative deliveries exceeding 1 million vehicles and a growing percentage opting for BaaS, this subscription income stream becomes increasingly significant. Regulatory credit sales to other automakers have historically provided non-operating income for electric vehicle manufacturers. While the timing and magnitude of such sales vary quarter to quarter, they represent a potential source of income that could offset operating losses. Interest income on NIO's cash holdings and investment balances also contributes to the bottom line. As of recent filings, NIO maintains significant liquidity that generates modest but consistent interest income. What This Means - The revised calculations suggest NIO is operating at a slight loss at the operating level but is within striking distance of breakeven when other income is considered. This is significant for several reasons. First, it demonstrates the power of mix shift. The ES8's dominance in the delivery mix - representing 60% of volume but contributing approximately 82% of gross profit - shows why NIO's strategic focus on premium positioning matters. The ES8 alone contributed approximately $433.6 million in gross profit, covering about 80% of the company's total operating expenses for the two-month period. Second, it suggests that NIO's volume is now reaching the scale necessary to absorb its substantial fixed costs. The gap between gross profit and operating expenses has narrowed to approximately $15 million over two months—a margin that other income can reasonably bridge. Third, it provides a framework for understanding what full first quarter profitability would require. If NIO maintains similar delivery levels and mix in March, or achieves modest improvements in either volume or average selling prices, the company would be on track for breakeven or slight profitability for the first quarter. The Breakeven Threshold - Based on these calculations, NIO needs approximately $7.5 million per month in other income to offset the operating loss and achieve net breakeven. Given the scale of battery swap operations, BaaS subscriptions, and potential regulatory credit sales, this threshold appears achievable. Alternatively, a modest increase in delivery volume or a favorable shift toward higher-margin vehicles could close the gap at the operating level without relying on other income. Important Caveats - Several factors warrant caution in interpreting these calculations. Regarding timing and linearity, this analysis covers only two months of the quarter. March performance will determine whether the first quarter as a whole reaches breakeven. Seasonal factors, including the Chinese New Year holiday, can affect delivery timing and expense recognition. Regarding operating expense fluctuation, NIO's operating expenses are not perfectly linear. Some quarters include larger one-time expenses such as product launch events, store openings, or research and development milestones that could increase the $270 million monthly average. Regarding other income predictability, income from regulatory credit sales and other non-operating sources can vary significantly from quarter to quarter. Relying on these sources to achieve breakeven introduces uncertainty. Regarding average selling price sensitivity, the calculations rely on estimated average selling prices. If the ES8's average selling price is actually $70,000 due to trim mix or incentives, gross profit would drop further, widening the operating loss. Conversely, if ONVO and FIREFLY achieve higher average selling prices than estimated, profitability would improve. The Investor Takeaway For investors watching NIO's stock languish despite record deliveries, these revised calculations offer a tempered but still constructive outlook. The company is not yet operating profitably on a standalone basis, but it is close enough that other income streams can bridge the gap. This represents meaningful progress. NIO has transitioned from significant operating losses to a position where modest improvements in volume, mix, or other income could deliver sustained profitability. The ES8 remains the linchpin of this story. Its premium positioning and margin contribution provide the foundation upon which the rest of the business can scale. As ONVO and FIREFLY volumes grow, their contribution to gross profit will increase, potentially closing the operating loss gap without relying on other income. For short sellers maintaining positions in NIO, the narrowing loss profile makes the thesis increasingly difficult to sustain. Each passing month of operational performance reduces the gap that needs to be bridged. For long-term investors, the math suggests that profitability is no longer a distant goal but a near-term reality. The first quarter of 2026 may not deliver a decisive profitability announcement, but it could mark the moment when NIO crossed the threshold from loss-making to breakeven operations. The final piece of the puzzle will come when NIO reports first quarter earnings. Until then, the corrected data from January and February provides compelling evidence that the company's long march toward profitability is reaching its final stage.

$NIO back at the top of the pole. Time to go fucking boom!

Factory has returned to work $NIO

$NIO is one of the most overlooked tech stocks right now. This is when the next move unfolds. Revenue is currently growing extremely fast, and Nio will likely turn profitable in 2026. $10B marketcap. $12.6B in revenue in 2025. You do the math. Retail will be chasing this at $10+

斌哥与未来: Live from $Nio Factory's Spring Festival Shipping Site While everyone was still discussing "peak performance upon launch," #Nio's factory was already quietly shipping during the Spring Festival. @NIOGlobal