Sim D 1

𝗣𝗟𝗔𝗬 𝗢𝗙 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗗𝗔𝗬 Roland Garros 🇫🇷 (3U) Arnaldi ML @ 1.75 / -135 📊 RG Total: 10-10 (+0.81U) Hit 𝗟𝗜𝗞𝗘 - If You’re Tailing 🧡 Look sometimes you just have to say fuck it and go with your gut and although there is analysis behind this that you should read there is also risk and I will cover both in this write up. Let’s start with Matteo Arnaldi shall we, the kid is extremely talented, this is something nobody can deny but the issue is injuries and in specific his foot. You see at the start of the year Arnaldi was required to wear a specific brand of Asic trainers that support his foot problem and suddenly Asic stopped production so he had to go through hoops just to get the correct trainers to play with. Now he sorted that, he looks to be injury free and he is showing glimpses of that same Matteo Arnaldi that broke out 1-2 years ago. Also, here’s my thing with Tallon Griekspoor, for a long time now he has been a automatic fade on slow clay for me because he simply just isn’t built for these surfaces and his standout weapons are less effective, in tennis you know how nothing makes sense but I just want to tell you ai have been pretty successful when fading Griekspoor on slow clay in the past. For me this price is based of Tallon Griekspoors round 1 record in Roland Garros, the fact he is defending R16 points and because of Matteo Arnaldi’s unreliability this year but Arnaldi has actually looked to turn things around recently and Griekspoor is still in a slump, so I think the right side to be on is Arnaldi because his slump was due to injuries and kit problems whereas Grieksppor has just been straight up ass recently. The risks I can spot are the following: 1.) Just because Griekspoor is in a slump currently, it does not guarantee he will perform badly here, he is still a solid top 50 player 2.) Maybe the best of five format could draw more fitness issues for Arnaldi (most realistic problem) but I think he is ready for the grind. 3.) Warm weather might help Griekspoors serve, which will help hm lay out a path to victory. Your job is to consider the risks and decide what you want to do but for me I have $900 on Arnaldi