Simona

@Johndobw Yup Im holding it right now, added to my position last week which worked out well. I dont have a crystal ball, but I believe in LPK, maybe slower than CPO/photonics but happy to have this in my portfolio and I track it daily

@Simipandaface Thank you for your answer. I just wanted to ask if you are convinced by the LPKF and if you hold it and will continue to hold it.

$LPK rumours from Germany of an initial production system for a "Tier 1" US partner are circulating. [Microsoft maybe? who knows...] Glass is the only way to keep 1.6T optics from melting, and LPK owns the drill. Exciting stuff, but let's see what gets confirmed in the coming months. Still early 🐼 #LPKF

@Johndobw Im not the best person to ask for analysis, just another retail pleb here that likes LPKF and glass etching patent tech thesis. From chart perspective, we do look overheated, having tapped 30ish zone again, a small pull back would be very healthy to 25 or even 22 (No guarantee)

@Simipandaface Could you perhaps share your thoughts and analysis on LPKF? Thanks.👍

@athuinvests Couldnt agree more. Markets have a way to stay irrational longer than we can stay liquid as they say. Thus I don't feel great profit taking even through we may dip after "bad earnings" report. Low cost basis means we can just hold through downturn, add on dips. Nasdaq still comin

Here's how I'm going to play $SIVE earnings on May 29. I've been bullish on Sivers for a while now with extremely high conviction. The actual risk right now isn't a post-earnings selloff, it's missing the run and selling the stock to buy lower again. I like to keep a stable mind and not get caught into the fear cycles of market reaction, especially because I believe in the long-term thesis. I'm not too worried about the downside, also because I got in at 8 SEK, 30 SEK and 48 SEK. My average is 30 SEK, which is a comfortable position for me to speak from. EOY'27 valuation looks fair at $10B, which is almost 4x upside from current levels. So I will hold my shares through this week's earnings and most of it until EOY'27, while adding more on big dips or good entries, as long as the thesis remains and the story continues to play out. Unless the stock goes above fair price targets, I won't look to trim my position. If the stock falls on earnings, I see it as an opportunity to load up more at better prices, depending on the price level. More so because I'm forward-looking at the revenues coming with ramps from H2'26 to H2'28. When you have conviction in the company, you don't need to alter just because of temporary market reaction, which could happen with SIVE as we head into earnings. That's exactly why I'll be keen to listen for: - Management's guidance and vision on CPO, 1.6T+ ramps and volume timelines - Customer wins and partnerships, especially new photonics deals - Expansion and manufacturing strategies and US listing details - How they're positioning to win market share as production scales - Their confidence level in the current bullish narrative we're seeing NFA. DYOR.

@aleabitoreddit I cant believe how close to my home IQE factory is, it's nice to find that there are some gems within UK/LSE market. The dilution has definitely made this stock lag compared to other names, but hopefully eventually narrative will catch on.

Eh... I had higher hopes so far with $IQE than 3x+. There's still time though.

@jasonschips microcap harware stocks always rerate during the product validation phase long before the revenue shows. Being early vs late matters(but is way riskier). Dont forget, they own the exclusive IP for the 16-wavelength InP DFB laser arrays(Ayar SuperNova) + Chips Act investment

The accounts pumping (and inevitably dumping) $SIVE at ~$2.3b market cap have not done their one job as providers of investment research: showing the numbers. $SIVE had ~$33 million of revenue in 2025. 70% of it was their legacy wireless segment. The 30% of it that is photonics isn't purely data center, as that segment also includes LIDAR. A sub-division between the two categories is not given. So, yes, they have at most $10m in DC photonics revenue and trade at least 230x that revenue today. Now, of course, trailing revenue is a terrible way to value a photonics business, but we need an anchor somewhere with real numbers. $LITE give us plenty every single earnings call. 1. >$1b OCS run-rate in 2027. 2. Greensboro fab that supports >$5b of CPO revenue likely to be sold out. 3. $8b revenue run rate to be achieved in 18 months. $SIVE has not announced a single DC photonics *volume* purchase order or given any DC photonics revenue guidance. Not a single one, and I'm not kidding. The only anchor we have to go off of is that they had, at most, $10 million in data center photonics revenue in 2025, most likely far less. What CAGR is needed to justify their current $2.3 billion market cap?

@TheFinanceCat @jasonschips Exactly this. Its the riskiest time to enter into stock at prevalidation phase but the returns here are exponential. When the orders and revenue start hitting their Earnings reports, a lot of it would be priced in by the early entrants. Risk averse can enter then for slower boom

@jasonschips They have been in product validation phase, which takes 12-24 months, and they just passed that, now they will gather volume orders in H2 2026 - H1 2027, it’s in their official planning. So the moment they start doing that, you bear thesis will go to 0.

$SIVE is on a speculative, unsustainable rally that is not backed by any fundamentals. Healthy parabolic stocks like $LITE, $BE, $AXTI, $SNDK either pop and grind up following each earnings event as new information is introduced to the market and improves the fundamental outlook OR they sell a raw material or commodity whose supply/demand dynamics and price can be tracked publicly. $SIVE is neither. The last earnings call was on February 26th, to which the market had zero reaction; however starting mid-March, $SIVE proceeded to run 2000%. No fundamental news was released to warrant such a re-rating. The O-Net and Jabil R&D partnerships are not new. The news that is actually needed to move the fundamental value: commercial volume orders with real dollar values attached, did not occur. In fact, they restated their FY25 EBIT net loss, which got worse. My bearish campaign against $SIVE is only beginning. The higher this speculative stock runs, the more people will lose money; we must keep the damage contained. Those purposely spreading unreliable information to increase the market capitalization of an illiquid microcap to inflate their own wealth at the expense of everyday investors must be held accountable. My short report is coming soon.

@SawyerMerritt @SpaceX Doesn't seem like anything is available for UK investors though? :( I really hoped TSLA shareholders would get allocation but nope 🥲

I’ve been asked by many to create one comprehensive post explaining how to prepare for @SpaceX’s IPO if you use one of the brokerages listed in SpaceX’s S-1 filing to allocate IPO shares to retail investors. Here it is: Fidelity: 1) $500,000 minimum account balance required to participate (including IRAs, individual, etc, but excluding 401k). 2) Enter an indication of interest. The indication of interest provides Fidelity with the maximum number of shares a customer is interested in purchasing. 3) Confirm your indication of interest shares on Fidelity's website after the registration statement has been declared effective and the offering has priced, which is typically after 7 PM ET on the night of pricing. Indications of interest may not be confirmed prior to the registration statement being declared effective and the offering pricing established. By confirming your indication of interest, you are placing an order to buy shares at the offering price. If you do not confirm your indication of interest, you will not be eligible for an allocation of shares. 4) Allocation of shares will occur on the morning following pricing and is usually complete before 9:30 AM ET. An alert will be sent once allocations are complete, and you can check your account to determine whether you were allocated shares. If you receive an allocation of shares, you must have adequate funds available to settle the purchase in the settlement date which is typically the trade date plus one business day. 5) You may increase your indication of interest up through the close of the indication of interest period. You may decrease or cancel an indication of interest until share allocation takes place. Once share allocation takes place, your indication may not be canceled or modified. Charles Schwab: 1) $100,000 minimum account balance required to participate (including IRAs, individual, etc, but excluding 401k). 2) On Schwab's website, under the Trade tab, select the IPO page to view the Calendar of Offerings, a list of upcoming IPOs. Once the IPO offering window opens (expected first week of June), investors will have the ability to submit a Conditional Offer to Purchase (COTP), also known as an Indication of Interest, from this page. 3) During an IPO's open COTP window, select Start COTP to review offering details and the preliminary prospectus. Then select the green button to proceed to the Eligibility Questionnaire, which is required to confirm investors meet eligibility criteria and are not restricted (per FINRA rules) from participating. After completing the questionnaire, you'll be able to indicate how many shares you're interested in purchasing based on the price range provided. Select Confirm to submit the COTP. 4) After the COTP has been submitted, regularly monitor the IPO page, which will indicate the Status of Your Conditional Offers to Purchase (COTPs), the expected pricing date, and current pricing status, plus any changes in the prospectus. When the IPO has been priced, you will affirm your COTP. You must affirm your COTP once the effective price is established in order to be eligible to purchase shares. To do so, select Affirm Now to review and finalize the share quantity. Robinhood: 1) There's no minimum account size requirement, but you must have enough buying power to cover your requested shares if you are allocated any. You must have an individual brokerage account. Retirement, custodial, and multiple investing accounts are not eligible for IPO Access. 2) Make sure IPO Access is enabled in your Robinhood app. Turn on your IPO notifications so that Robinhood notifies you when the SpaceX IPO comes online. 3) Request Shares: Once the IPO is announced and available, you can request shares through the app or website. This is a request for IPO shares. By placing a conditional offer to buy (COB), you’re asking for the opportunity to purchase a quantity of shares at the IPO price. An investor may place, edit, or cancel a COB after the initial price range is published and before the confirmation period ends. 4) Allocation is random and not guaranteed. The number of shares you request factors into how many you actually get, but it doesn’t affect the likelihood that you’ll get any allocation. You may get all, some, or none of the IPO shares you request. E*Trade: 1) E*TRADE does not publicly list a specific minimum account size required to participate in IPOs, but contact them to double check. That said, allocation priority for “hot” IPOs may still favor larger or more active accounts in practice, even if there’s no official minimum balance requirement. 2) Be a U.S. resident, have an active E*TRADE account (Individual, Joint and IRAs are all eligible) and complete the investor profile questionnaire. 3) Sign up for IPO alerts. 4) Submit a conditional offer to buy ("COB"). As part of this submission, you specify the number of shares and the maximum price you are willing to pay per share. COBs can only be submitted via the New Issue Center. A COB may be submitted once an offering is listed as "open" up until the status is changed to "closed." COBs that have already been submitted may be amended or cancelled after an offering is "closed" up until the status is changed to "allocate." At this point, no further changes may be made to a COB and you are bound by the terms of your COB. If there is no material change in an offering, customers will not need to reconfirm their COBs. If you have submitted a conditional offer, you must have available buying power to cover the full amount of your conditional offer in the account through which you submitted the conditional offer. 5) Shares are allocated to eligible accounts as a proportion, or percentage, of the size of their COB. The percentage is based primarily on the number of shares provided to E*TRADE for sale to its customers and the size of the overall demand for shares from E*TRADE's customers. Given the expected high demand for this offering and the limited availability of shares available for sale to E*TRADE customers, many COBs may not be allocated shares (according to E*Trade). Additionally, in many instances, allocations will be significantly smaller than the size of shares requested in a customer's COB. 6) E*TRADE makes its allocations after the pricing of the overall offering but before the stock begins trading. E*TRADE will inform customers via alert or email whether they have been allocated shares. Any allocation should be reflected in the relevant customer account once that allocation has been processed by E*TRADE. Sofi: 1) There is no minimum account balance/size requirement. Have an active Self-Directed Invest account. 2) Go to the “IPO Investing” section in the app or website 3) Select the IPO 4) Complete the IPO suitability questionnaire 5) Submit an “Indication of Interest” (IOI), which is basically a non-binding request for shares. 6) When the IPO is officially priced, SoFi will notify you to confirm your order. NOTE: Don’t be surprised if you receive fewer IPO shares than you requested, or none at all. Demand for the limited number of IPO shares available to retail investors will likely be extremely high, and each participating brokerage will only receive a limited allocation of shares to distribute to retail investors. For our international friends, keep in mind that @SpaceX said in their S-1 filing that allocations will also be made to retail investors by the underwriters, which include: • Goldman Sachs • Morgan Stanley • Bank of America • Citigroup • J.P. Morgan • Barclays • Deutsche Bank Securities • RBC Capital Markets • UBS Investment Bank • Wells Fargo Securities • Allen & Company • Cantor • Needham & Company • Raymond James • Societe Generale • Stifel • William Blair • BTG Pactual • ING • Macquarie Capital • Mirae Asset Securities • Mizuho • Santander so you can try reaching out to one of these places if you have assets with them and you may be able to request an allocation of some shares. I've already seen that happen with some Goldman Sachs clients. Lastly, and I stated this in a previous post, @SpaceX specifically stated in their S-1 filing that any purchase of their Class A common stock in this offering through these platforms will be at the same IPO price, and at the same time, as any other purchases in this offering, including purchases by institutions and other large investors, which means any retail investors that are lucky enough to get allocated some SpaceX IPO shares will pay the same price as the big guys. This will likely be the largest retail IPO share allocation in history, by far. If you have more questions, reach out directly to your brokerage and/or bank. And no, this post wasn't written by AI lol. Not financial advice.

@MarieC417319451 Im just a retail investor who is 100% in on AI. Serenity's posts and a few others have been key to growing my knowledge in photonics/CPO, glass etc. Then I simply spend hours reading/researching daily - utilise AI ( Gemini and Claude), ask it questions to gain more insight

@Simipandaface Hi Simona, wondering how you acquired all your knowledge on stocks and were I should learn? Im just starting out and saw alot of your comments on Serenity

I think TSLA could see a small increase in share price from the fact that they own some SpaceX shares, it's not a huge amount but the best we got as TSLA holders. If a retail investor can't get into SpaceX IPO allocation then just continue holding TSLA.

Photonics supply chain map: This covers most of the photonics supply chain. 1. Raw Materials - Corning - Nippon Chemical Industrial 2. Substrates - Shin-Etsu Chemical - Sumitomo Electric Industries - JX Advanced Metals Corporation - AXT Inc. - AGC Inc. - Soitec - Nippon Electric Glass - 5N Plus - JNTC Co. - Planoptik AG - GlobalWafers 3. Epitaxy - IQE plc - IntelliEPI Inc. - Visual Photonics Epitaxy Co. - Landmark Optoelectronics Co. - VIGO Photonics S.A. 4. Networking & Connectivity - Broadcom - Cisco Systems - Arista Networks - Marvell Technology - Astera Labs - Ciena - NTT - TE Connectivity - Credo Technology - Celestica - Huber+Suhner AG - Macom Technology - Nokia - Semtech - Furukawa Electric Co. - Amphenol 5. Laser & Components - Mitsubishi Electric - Coherent Co. - Lumentum Holdings - WIN Semiconductors - Hamamatsu Photonics - Nisshinbo Holdings - Sivers Semiconductors - QD Laser - Lightwave Logic 6. Silicon Photonics Foundry - Intel Co. - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. - GlobalFoundries - United Microelectronics Co. - Tower Semiconductor - STMicroelectronics 7. Optical Engines - Aeluma - Ayar Labs - POET Technologies 8. Transceivers & Modules - Zhongji Innolight Co. - Jabil - Fabrinet - Flex Ltd - Luxshare Precision Industry Co. - Applied Optoelectronics - Maxlinear - Browave Co. - PCL Technologies - FOCI 9. Test & Packaging - ASE Technology Holding - BE Semiconductor Industries - Keysight Technologies - Teradyne Inc. - Cohu Inc. - Aehr Test Systems - ShunSin Technology - Msscorps Co. - Ibiden - Santec Holdings Co. - Amkor Technology 10. Equipment & Tools - ASML Holding N.V. - Lam Research - Applied Materials - KLA Co. - Cadence Design Systems Inc. - Disco Co. - MKS Inc. - Onto Innovation - Camtek - Synopsys - Photronics - Philoptics - Riber SA - Veeco Instruments - AIXTRON SE - Viavi Solutions

@aleabitoreddit I agree, it's a great opportunity to hold for quite some time. Nasdaq listing will bring on optionality which will help. However at some point everyone always sells to rotate to a new narrative...so Until then let's hope SIVE execute and stay competitive 🙏

I’m not selling a single share of $SIVE. I personally think it’s a once-a-generation long given how many hyperscaler suppliers they’re already in. Coupled with GS extreme TAM expansion projections for both pluggables and CPO in the next 2 years. If you didn’t read the $JBL fireside transcript by now validating demand/timeline. Or the fact Ayar removed Lumentum and Macom from their website as laser suppliers validating moat. Or literal CHIPS ACT funding validating technological importance. Or that management is literally doing everything right in my view, with NASDAQ listing into M&A focus, validating forward growth vision. Upside is just way too compelling at current valuations. Institutions have barely entered yet as well… and we’re about to see tens of millions of passive, long term new inflow next month from Nasdaq, Blackrock, MSCI indexes.

@RichardByworth Punishing the common folk for wanting to save their money that has already been taxed through their job. Beyond stupid because "smart rich" people dont even park their money in ISAS so there isnt a lot of tax gains to raise for the gov. Just leave smaller folk alone dammit!

For those who don’t know what an ISA is, it was the one safe haven from capital gains tax in the UK. After ripping out all benefits for the Self Invested Pension Plans, they now come for ISAs The strategy is total theft in the name of fairness - communism 101

For anyone interested in learning about the CPO supply chain! (I also explain it in a fun and understandable way) Covered: $AXTI, $LITE, $AIXA, $COHR, $SOI, $TSEM

@aleabitoreddit Aah makes sense thank you, I know dilution will happen for such growth companies so hopefully they do it all sensibly. So Axti diluted by 42% over 12 months. Last one was around 18%? - dropped nearly 15% down and then made it all back since. New oppy to enter 4 those who missed

@Simipandaface To my knowledge the 2.5% was the entire listing process/audits/etcs. The other is the actual tradeable float and likely room for US private placement. With proceeds going to M&A opportunities.

Wait until you realize that this is actually NASDAQ liquidity required for the US listing/float. And proceeds are expected go to $SIVE M&A (they hired 2 acquisition related board members). For photonics TAM/Revenue expansion. Not only that, all the small companies they worked with from Celestial to Lightmatter ended up being swallowed up by Marvell or became independent billion dollar companies. So Sivers is by far the most knowledgable in what to acquire at the very start. Which is why I call $SIVE the Kingmaker for CPO. This is in fact extremely bullish for Sivers.

@TradeDaMarkets @aleabitoreddit I think we will likely pump once Nasdaq listed but there will be profit taking soon after/it wont be a straight line and sell offs will be volatile, market will want to see more news on orders for continuous growth thus earnings and forward guidance will be very important.

@Simipandaface @aleabitoreddit Exactly my point. I had 70-80 as target on NASDAQ listing without significant ER improvements expected for 2027. I think all the attention from Serenity and others has caused it to really run ahead. Folks expecting double/triple from here on NASDAQ listing.

$SIVE is literally the kingmaker for CPO: From ~ Lightmatter, Celestial, Ayar, Lightelligence early on. Now the leaders with massive $5-10B+ valuations. To the ASIC ecosystems like Marvell, Alchip, GUC. With O-Net mass producing ELS with Sivers for CPO. And Jabil mass producing pluggables with Sivers for pluggable optical transceivers. All likely surround and are designed around Sivers lasers. Markets are only starting to see the precipice of how important this laser company is.

@yianisz ALAB and CRDO I know and trade options on but others I haven't seen mentioned often in AI buildout space. Bookmarking to research these names to understand them more. Thank you

2027 is where the AI memory story becomes far bigger than just GPUs and HBM.. I think the next bottlenecks become CXL memory expansion, MRDIMMs, KV-cache scaling, optical interconnects and rack-scale memory pooling. Reasoning models and agentic AI massively increase memory requirements per session. GPUs alone can’t solve that efficiently anymore. That’s why I think the next winners expand beyond $NVDA and $MU into names like: - $ALAB (CXL memory fabric) - $RMBS (MRDIMMs + HBM controllers) - $CRDO and $MXL (AI interconnects) - $ONTO and $CAMT (HBM inspection) - $UCTT and $ICHR (subsystems) - $COHU AI thermal test + HBM handling The AI stack is quietly shifting from compute scaling toward memory orchestration and data movement.

@aleabitoreddit Thats why I added LPK on the dip we just had. If CEO is showing confidence then so do I to increase my position plus mean reversion signalled to buy the dip we just had!

European quantum/optical/glass chokepoints go BRRR? $ALRIB +8.35% $LPK +3.21% $IQE +5.68% $SOI +4.98% As a side thought, it’s a nice vote of confidence to retail that the LPKF CEO bought shares off the market. More CEOs should do the same, even if it’s small.

@goldandkarma @SunvMikey "targeting initial commercial shipments of enriched Si-28 around mid-year 2026." The wording changed from Q2 which was hard June 30th deadline to now be July and maybe even August. It could be just some extra days/weeks of breathing room they gave to themselves or a proper delay

@SunvMikey new 10q has silicon listed as around mid-year rather than previous q2 guidance. next quarter strikes again. at least they’re updating forward guidance as the situation develops now

Keep an eye on $ASPI. Could present a dip buy here when they present earnings... Silicon28 deadline is coming up fast (by end of Q2) no mention of silicon production / bad earnings might tank the price

@TradeDaMarkets @aleabitoreddit Great question Jake because on my chart I marked 67 SEK as $2B valuation target a while ago and we are damn close. I thought we would get to 70-80 SEK on nasdaq listing not this high before it. I know markets are pricing listing and revenue growth early but not this early? :/

@aleabitoreddit Aren't we pretty much at target here? At this point, feels like Nasdaq listing will be a sell the news event.