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2,100 wallets hold ~40% of all Bitcoin. That's it. Whole market moved by less people than work in your local Starbucks chain.

🔴LATEST: bitcoin:native 80k and structure break Things are starting to get really interesting. After nearly 30% growth since late March, BTC is breaking a major level and structure for the first time. Let's start with the support break – we're falling below $80,000 and closing there with a daily candle. This is the first serious sign of weakness, as the price is closing below a psychological barrier – but that's not the worst thing for bulls. Look at the formation marked by the yellow diagonal lines. This is a so-called rising wedge, which typically ends in declines as a breakout pattern in a downtrend. The lower boundary of the wedge has just been broken. A significant weakness is also evident in the MACD, where a bearish crossover has occurred. The RSI - yes, still above 50, but if you look closely, you can see a bearish divergence. Currently, we're seeing the first bullish reaction at the Fibo 0.5 support level ($78.8k). The next important supports are Fibo 0.382 ($74.4k) and below that 0.236 ($68.8k). Also, watch out for the orange trendline, which overlaps the $74.4k level. Which camp will win?

4/4 The bigger picture: → Inflation continues to accelerate – and this is only the third month of war-driven energy pressure → BofA no longer expects any rate cuts in 2026 – first cut pushed to July 2027 → CME FedWatch: markets pricing 0 cuts for the rest of 2026 → Hormuz still not fully open – energy pressure isn't going away The war changed everything. And core CPI just confirmed it's spreading beyond oil. 👀 #CPI #Inflation #Fed #SP500 #MacroTrading #HigherForLonger

3/4 Markets are not taking it well. → US indices selling off – the 7-week rally faces its first real test → Crypto dropping – $BTC pulling back → EURUSD weakening – dollar catching a bid on higher-for-longer repricing For weeks, equities shrugged off inflation fears and ran on earnings euphoria. Today's print is a reminder – the Fed dropped "somewhat" from "inflation is elevated" for a reason. 📉

The CPI (Apr) Reading Inflation came in hotter than expected across the board. Markets are selling off. Details below. 🧵

4/4 Why this CPI matters more than usual? → The Fed dropped "somewhat" from "inflation is elevated" – they're watching closely → BofA no longer expects any rate cuts in 2026 → CME FedWatch: markets pricing 0 cuts for the rest of 2026 → This is only the third month of war-driven energy inflation – and Hormuz is still not fully open One print probably won't change the trend. But it will tell us how deep the energy shock is reaching into the broader economy. 👀

3/4 The backdrop: → $SPX entering its 7th consecutive green weekly candle – though this one is small so far → $BTC hovering around $80K → Brent above $100 – WTI approaching $100 → Fed just held rates with an 8-4 split – the most divided vote since 1992 Equities are priced for perfection. If CPI surprises to the upside, the "higher for longer" narrative gets louder – and rate-cut expectations for 2026 vanish entirely. 📈

CPI Tomorrow 🇺🇸 Tuesday, May 12 – 12:30 UTC. The most important inflation reading since the war began drops while markets sit near all-time highs. 🧵

3/3 Market reaction? Almost none. → EURUSD ticking slightly higher – dollar not catching a bid despite the beat → US indices grinding higher – as they have for 6 straight weeks. $SPX +16% since the end of March, daily RSI above 70 – overheated but unstoppable → Crypto flat – $BTC holding above $80K but not reacting. The market already priced this in. Six weeks of rally, ATH after ATH – one strong NFP print doesn't move the needle when everything is already priced for perfection. 👀 #NFP #Jobs #SP500 #MacroTrading #Fed #Bitcoin

2/3 The breakdown: → NFP: 115K vs 65K expected: almost 2x beat! → Unemployment: 4.3% – unchanged, in line → Avg Hourly Earnings: +0.2% MoM vs 0.3% expected – wages cooling → March revised UP from 178K to 185K Strong hiring + cooling wages = the Goldilocks mix. The labor market is resilient but not overheating. Two consecutive months of solid job growth. Like, how do they do it?

NFP (Apr) Results 🇺🇸 The US labor market continues to surprise to the upside. Like, really! Details below. 🧵

4/4 Three scenarios for tomorrow: Strong (>120K) → possibly dollar up, stocks under pressure, "higher for longer" back Weak (<40K) → recession fears, rate-cut hopes rise Goldilocks (60-80K) → rally might continue. The Fed just held rates with the most divided vote since 1992. Tomorrow's data either gives them cover – or makes things worse. Set your alerts. 12:30 PM UTC. 👀

3/4 The backdrop: markets couldn't care less about risk right now. → $SPX: 6th consecutive green weekly candle, +16% since end of March → $NDX: +25% in the same period – the sharpest rally since 2020 → $BTC breaks $80K for the first time since January 31 Equities are priced for perfection. Earnings season delivered – 82% of S&P 500 companies beat EPS. But if NFP shocks to the downside, all that optimism gets tested in one print. 📈

🇺🇸 NFP Tomorrow! Tomorrow, May 8, at 12:30 PM UTC. The single most-watched economic release on the planet drops while markets are at all-time highs. Here's why it matters more than usual. 🧵

BTC just $700 shy of $83 k first time since January we're so back. allegedly.