SJ

The current macroeconomic and geopolitical environment has become increasingly volatile, a reality that will inevitably manifest in price action. In such a climate, success is defined by adaptability rather than being "right." Success requires observing the broader context, maintaining emotional neutrality, and aligning your strategy with actual market behavior rather than personal bias.

@KobeissiLetter People be like the war got ended it’s just a ceasefire agreement for two weeks and everyone’s been longing like crazy, don’t forget we’re still in a bearmarket

BREAKING: Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi releases a statement responding to President Trump's two-week ceasefire announcement. Full statement below: "On behalf of the Islamic Republic of Iran, I express gratitude and appreciation for my dear brothers HE Prime Minister of Pakistan Sharif and HE Field Marshal Munir for their tireless efforts to end the war in the region. In response to the brotherly request of PM Sharif in his tweet, and considering the request by the U.S. for negotiations based on its 15-point proposal as well as announcement by POTUS about acceptance of the general framework of Iran’s 10-point proposal as a basis for negotiations, I hereby declare on behalf of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council: If attacks against Iran are halted, our Powerful Armed Forces will cease their defensive operations. For a period of two weeks, safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be possible via coordination with Iran’s Armed Forces and with due consideration of technical limitations."

@KillaXBT The point is toxic people here on CT doesn’t even understand that a professional trader never predicts, he always position himself according to the market. Not your fault mate, everyone’s so dumb and egoistic here with their Scammy $BTC calls

@ZordXBT Tomorrow you will see how these trapped longs will get liquidated

$BTC As we can see Spot volume is supporting this move up meanwhile on Coinbase premium is little negative. Open interest falling on this move higher is somehow telling me those who late shorted are getting rekt. Funding getting positive again. My plan : I am avoiding any fresh longs here at $69.8k even, as my gut tells me to do so. I am ready to accept the consequences but won't long or recommend longing here. #btc #btcusdt #bitcoin

@KobeissiLetter Markets have become news driven or more like Tweets driven nowadays 😂

Tonight's situation is proof that X has become the primary source for world-changing news, developments, and analysis. Those not on X are receiving market-moving information on a delay. Following the right accounts on X is quite literally a source of alpha in 2026.

If the reward isn’t skewed in your favour, the risk doesn’t justify the trade. I’m not here to force trades, I’m here to deploy capital when conditions justify it. When the market is 50/50, I stay flat and let the market play its hand. Bottoms are more complex than most think, each cycle forms differently, with its own structure and characteristics. I've seen this before during the COVID-19 market crash, the Terra LUNA unwind, and the FTX collapse. Headlines spike, volatility expands, and reacting early is usually where people donate money. I wait for the market to show its hand, structure, acceptance, and ALOT of patience. Until then, there’s no edge. Could we push lower? Sure. But I’m not building $BTC swing shorts down here when the asymmetric opportunity was higher up. Chasing downside after expansion is poor risk allocation. I adapt when conditions shift. I pivot when the data changes. Early followers know this. I’m interested in longs, but only at my levels, my POIs, where risk is defined and skew is in my favour. If price doesn’t get there, I review & search for new plans.

@KobeissiLetter Hahaha i knew it he would never consider pakistan’s request as pakistan is their own puppet

@KillaXBT Well yeah 62K is a very strong level but i would wait for 55K for $BTC to fill up my bigger bags

BREAKING: President Trump speaks to Fox News just minutes after Pakistan's request for a two-week extension on the US' 8 PM ET deadline. Details include: 1. Trump refuses to comment on ongoing negotiations saying, “I can’t tell you, we’re in heated negotiations" 2. Trump declines to address Pakistan’s request for a 2-week extension 3. The White House confirmed Trump is aware of the proposal and said a response is coming soon Turn on our post notifications at @KobeissiLetter for real-time analysis when Trump responds.

@KobeissiLetter I didn’t know that pakistan have this much respect in international community

BREAKING: The S&P 500 erases all losses and turns green on the day as Pakistan asks President Trump to extend his 8 PM deadline by 2 weeks. Both sides have said they are reviewing the proposal.

@KobeissiLetter Pakistan being pakistan 🇵🇰

BREAKING: Pakistan is seeking a 2-week pause to the Iran War after President Trump warns that Iran’s “whole civilization will die” if there is no deal by 8 PM ET tonight.

@KillaXBT Badass 😂

A message to the haters 🖕

@NoLimitGains The war is getting escalated

🚨 Iran closes all diplomatic and indirect channels of contact with the US, according to Tehran Times

@KobeissiLetter He’s paranoid

PRESIDENT TRUMP: “A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will.”

People clowned my $BTC short before it played out. Now they’re shitting on my long setup. In the end, we’ll see who really comes out on top. 🤟

@NoLimitGains It is literally shit

This is one of the most important charts you will see today, but nobody is talking about it.

@solidintel_x Let’s wait for iran’s reply before pushing any buttons

INTEL: Trump says a deal with Iran could come “as early as tomorrow,” warns the US will “bomb their power stations, oil wells, and bridges” if not reached

@KobeissiLetter Only barks, no bites

BREAKING: President Trump tells Iran “open the f***** Strait of Hormuz, you crazy bastards, or you’ll be living in hell.” Trump declares Tuesday as “power plant and bridge day.”

@KobeissiLetter Monday open is going to be insane

@KillaXBT I’m really anticipating $63K for $BTC way sooner than everyone’s expecting. Insane monday open it’s going to be

$BTC Looking at the past few weeks objectively: We swept the external range highs, triggering an instant reversal and a very bearish close. The market had to rebalance, which led the next weekly candle to sweep late shorts up to 71.5K, again reversing bearish. This was a classic liquidity hunt before a reversal. The current weekly candle started with another sweep above because the prior weekly close was bearish, rebalancing the market again. Question is: who’s exposed, and what’s next? With the current bearish structure and leverage driven pumps, lows at 64.9K are likely exposed, with external range lows at 63K still to be swept. Current price action could either be compression building, clearing shorts and longs, before a push up and then down, or we may sweep lower soon. I’m watching for downside sweeps to trigger hedge longs against my short at 72.8K.

BREAKING: New US intelligence reports suggest that Iran may "increase its regional sway" as a result of the Iran War through their control of the Strait of Hormuz, per Reuters. Details include: 1. Intelligence suggests that Iran is "unlikely" to open the Strait of Hormuz "any time soon" ​2. Intelligence suggests that Iran's control over Hormuz "provides the only real leverage" it has over the US 3. As a result, Iran may actually end up gaining regional influence from the Iran War, US intelligence suggests 4. US officials note that Trump also has said that other countries "have far more at stake in preventing this ​outcome" than the US The Strait of Hormuz is quickly becoming the focus of this war.