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488 posts

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@SnakePoops
I don’t post anything. If anyone follows me they are a “baught”


The United States bombed Iran’s Imam Hussein missile base south of Yazd on March 1st, March 6th, and March 17th. On March 20th, a missile launched from the same complex, failed during boost phase, and crashed near Kohistan Park in Yazd City itself. The base is still launching. The missiles are failing. And when they fail, they fall on Iranian civilians. Three strikes on the same base in three weeks and the base is not dead. It is degraded. The difference matters. The answer is underneath 500 metres of granite. Iran’s missile bases are not buildings. They are mountains. The IRGC spent two decades carving tunnel networks into ranges south of Yazd, east of Tehran at Khojir and Parchin, and across Shahrud and Isfahan. CNN satellite analysis confirmed automated internal rail systems that move missiles like train wagons between multiple blast-door exits without surfacing. The US bombs an entrance. The missile exits a different door. The rail moves the launcher to a third. Each complex has between three and ten exits. Many have been backfilled with soil and concrete to absorb strikes, then re-excavated from inside. The tunnel depth is the variable that no amount of precision munitions can overcome. Five hundred metres of granite is beyond the penetration capability of every conventional weapon in the American arsenal. The GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator, the largest bunker-buster ever built, penetrates approximately 60 metres of reinforced concrete or 40 metres of moderately hard rock. Against hard granite it penetrates far less. The deepest sections of Iran’s missile cities sit at least ten times beyond that. The strikes destroy what is visible: ventilation shafts, portal frames, surface infrastructure, vehicles caught outside. They do not reach the rail networks, the assembly halls, or the storage chambers buried inside the mountain. The failed launch proves the system is degraded but not destroyed. The missile reached boost phase and then fell back onto Iranian territory near a civilian park. That is not a success for Iran. But it is not the elimination of capability either. IDF estimates suggest 60 percent of Iran’s national launcher stockpile has been eliminated. US officials place the figure closer to 50 percent remaining. The difference is the underground inventory that satellite imagery cannot see and bunker-busters cannot reach. Mobile transporter-erector-launchers mounted on eight-wheel trucks exit the tunnels, fire, and retract or reposition within minutes. The doctrine is called shoot-and-scoot. It was developed during the Iran-Iraq War when Saddam’s air force hunted Iranian Scud launchers across the western desert. The IRGC learned that mobility is cheaper than armour. A truck that moves after firing survives. A silo that stays still does not. Production facilities at Khojir, Parchin, and Shahrud have suffered 60 to 70 percent damage. But missiles built before the war and stored inside mountains before the first bomb fell are still there. The rail moves them. The blast doors open. The TEL rolls out. The missile fires. The TEL retreats. The entrance is bombed again. Inside the mountain, the next launcher is already moving to the next exit. Natanz taught the world that you cannot bomb an equation. Yazd is teaching the world that you cannot bomb a geology. The physics of fission survived five strikes because knowledge is immortal. The missiles of Yazd survived three strikes because granite is harder than any warhead designed to penetrate it. Both lessons will outlast this war. The mountain does not need orders. The rail does not need a supreme leader. And the next exit is already open. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…


Israel should continue to exist, but the idea that it should have its own military and any foreign policy agency whatsoever going forward is absurd, the IDF must be disarmed if we’re going to avoid further destabilization in the Middle East



The Taiwanese need to get their heads examined too. If the US cannot subdue Iran and has to operate hundreds of miles away from Iranian shores, what possibility exists that the US will be able to deter or defeat a Chinese attack on Taiwan?




@mmjukic Absolutely correct. I have yet to hear a single coherent plan on how to reopen the strait




LLM that keeps telling people to break up because it’s been trained on relationship advice subreddits


$LASR This needs to be spelled out very clear. Trump is referring to lasers being able to what 'patriots' can do. A 100KW laser cant do what a patriot can do. You need 1MW laser for that. There is only one company on the planet working on a laser that size and it is NLIGHT its 183M contract they've been working on for years and delivering THIS YEAR to the govt. When i asked mgmt what was the biggest use case the govt was excited about for this laser. THEY responded confidently and with a big smile 'to take down ballistic weapons' no other company on the planet is working on a laser weapon of this magnitude. LMT is working on a 500KW but have no timeline of delivery of final product. The 1MW weapon laser has been working on has passed and exceeded every stage so far on time and are on pass for delivery as they've confirmed on their recent earnings call this year. Now you have the president of the untied states touting this exact capability. This needs to be understood.



3 hits in a short sequence without an intercept seems, new?


🚨 Oil in China just hit $100 a barrel. 60 days ago it was $60. Do you know what that means?








When you realise that going slow is the secret to a regulated nervous system.








AI agents will be a big part of how we shop in the not-so-distant future. To help lay the groundwork, we partnered with Shopify, Etsy, Wayfair, Target and Walmart to create the Universal Commerce Protocol, a new open standard for agents and systems to talk to each other across every step of the shopping journey. And coming soon, UCP will power native checkout so you can buy directly on AI Mode and the @Geminiapp.












