SeniorSecuredSam

Trade idea for 10 day tenor - put on the summit pump portfolio: Elon Musk (Tesla/SpaceX) Tim Cook (Apple) Jensen Huang (Nvidia) Larry Fink (BlackRock) David Solomon (Goldman Sachs) Jane Fraser (Citigroup) Stephen Schwarzman (Blackstone) Chuck Robbins (Cisco) Kelly Ortberg (Boeing)

Business pitch, let’s LBO $NVDA, based on current mkt cap of $5.5tn we will only need, at a conservative ~80% leverage, $4.4tn. Or 11.5% of the national debt that has been growing since Andrew Jackson had the debt at zero in 1835.

Revenue conversion challenges in EMEA markets has $BABA trending down, I believe this is centered around the weaker Chinese consumer versus US markets. $BABA though a cloud provider, also has aspects of consumer AI as well (OpenAI), which has struggled *OpenAI print last month*. I don’t think the poster child of China continues to trend this way. I am still long $BABA, trading at 18.6x P/E, Jensen is on AF1…..

Seeing a bit of doomer content this morning on $AMD and $MU down ~300bps in early-market trading. Keep this concise: AMD & MU off the highs today, there is no single catalyst, just gravity after parabolic moves. Profit-taking, ARK selling, Lisa Su’s gaming warning, rich valuations, and US-China chip talks creating uncertainty (South Korea today). Fundamentals still intact.

Unfortunately, the absolute cannot do for $KEEL occurred. No deal, simple references to forward pipeline, and declines on rev / earnings / margins / bitcoin business. Likely still a good long term play but going to have to be patient here.

$KEEL The Next CIFR / HUT / APLD “Deal” Play — Earnings Tomorrow Is the Trigger CIFR surged 23%+ on Q1 earnings after dropping its third 15-year hyperscaler AI lease + $200M credit line. APLD ripped +58% in 30 days on a single $7.5B hyperscaler lease + beat. HUT exploded on its Google-backed mega-deal. Same exact playbook. Same market. Same desperation for secured AI power. $KEEL is sitting at the exact same setup — except cheaper and earlier. 2.2 GW North American pipeline (Sharon PA 110 MW ready for Vera Rubin GPUs, Panther Creek 550 MW+, Scrubgrass Gigacampus, Quebec conversions) — already grid-connected and engineered for next-gen AI. Trading at ~70 cents per watt. Peers now get $4–23/watt the second a hyperscaler signs. $520M cash + BTC liquidity — mining cash flow funds the build with almost zero dilution risk. Zero leases signed yet → the entire re-rating is still ahead. Earnings tomorrow (Q1 results pre-market + 8 AM ET call) is the catalyst window. This is not a miner anymore. It’s the cheapest way to own scarce, ready-to-go AI power before the first big lease lands — exactly what sent CIFR, APLD, and HUT screaming. The deal is coming. Earnings is the spark. NFA — high-conviction speculation. 🚀​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ (I am long commons + the 5/15 5C)

Watching $BABA close this week. Own at $70-80 so it’s been in my book for a while. BABA has a rare stacked catalyst setup this week, with continued high daily volumes: → Earnings May 13 → Trump-Xi Beijing summit May 14-15 Tariff relief + constructive summit language = sentiment squeeze in Chinese ADRs. BABA is the most liquid expression of that trade. Interested to see how they have performed regardless of tariff relief as Chinese equity has stayed strong tapping non-US markets. Wildcard: Taiwan / Iran. A nothing-burger summit fades quickly.

When Charles Mitchell was charged post-1929 for his influences in stock market speculation and the use of margin, were we anywhere near the degree of “buying the future” that we see now? I am doing this with my portfolio, just interesting food for thought on how times change.

Some things I expect to happen this week: - $KEEL pops on Monday on some form of partnership news, it’s been the trend for all NEOs Q1. If management wants to stay in the race revenue producing partnerships will be the way. (4.5s / 5s) - $MU continues on its path. Key FOMO name here that I believe has continued massive room to run, trading single digits forward p/e as a mature leading innovator in the AI excellence era. (~$1000) - $INTC is now overbought, does that mean that it is coming down way off the highs? No, I think we meet some resistance here and going forward until we see revenue / earnings / distribution of product. Love this name, loved it at $19, not selling out of the whole position, not being greedy and watching. (hold / take profits)

Monday’s $KEEL pump is going to be absurd. Cheapest NeoCloud left.

Mapping out the ten largest S&P pullbacks in the last 50 years, and their recovery time, we see drawdowns of up to 50% and recovery timelines of maximum 6-8 years.

@SunriseTrader What does the H1s - 65s mean here? First half 26’, 65-day moving average?

H1's-65's $SPY $QQQ playing out the overbought with a gap down on deck.

@growthrapidly $RGTI Super computing, Bay Area, 1-Month Return: 168%

5 Under-the-Radar Small-Cap Stocks Quietly Dominating Right Now (and Poised for More Growth): $LMND | Lemonade – 1-Year Return: 183.11% $TALK | Talkspace – 1-Year Return: 50.66% $GRAB | Grab Holdings – 1-Year Return: 62.87% $ODD | Oddity – 1-Year Return: 27.46% $RVLV | Revolve – 1-Year Return: 147.8% What am I missing? 🤔

@johnnbroom @Nooncow Absolute 🧢

@Nooncow Being honest he’s taking one hit and hanging up the cleats

Could a top 5 athlete of all time be successful in a sport in which athleticism is the 1 trait for success?? (Forget the fact he was the #1 ranked fball recruit in Ohio in his class)