
Spitteroid
82 posts









Over 30% of Santa Rosa Island has burned in largest wildfire of the year sfgate.com/national-parks…


$BAER: Bridger Aerospace - Highly Leveraged Equity Positioned for 2026 Breakout Simple valuation sensitivity for Bridger Aerospace yields $5.60 to $10.29 per share if the company can 1) grow EBITDA to $65-75M in 2026E and 2) either maintain the current valuation multiple or rerate higher by 1.7x turns of EBITDA. 👉Canaccord is the only analyst covering BAER and has 2026E EBTIDA at $49M, which is way too low. BAER is guiding 2025E EBITDA to be $42-48M and just added 2x Super Scooper and 4x Air Attack planes. The 2x Scoopers alone can generate ~$16M of EBITDA if fully utilized. 👉For 2026E EBITDA I show $50M as the starting point and increase by $5M increments to $80M. I think $65-$75M is a more likely target range. 👉For valuation multiple, I show BAER's current 13.3x 2026E EBITDA in the middle and show a range from 11x - 15x. I believe BAER should trade at the higher end of that range given that 2023-2025E Revenue and EBITDA CAGR has been 34% and 55%, respectively. If management builds credibility and institutional investors start buying shares, the valuation could go above 15x EBITDA.



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$ASTS: AT&T CEO & Chair John Stankey speaks about AST SpaceMobile and the new Verizon/T-Mobile Joint Venture @ JP Morgan Today @ 8:50AM ET x.com/i/spaces/1yxBe…










