SPY Master

It's amazing what charts can foreshadow years in advance... $UNH

Right after the closing, the VVIX was slightly adjusted below the August 2024 spike.

The $VVIX just closed its daily candle at the highest level since March 2020. But unlike the brief crash then, unfortunately this financial crisis is just beginning and will last for years to come.

Only one year later... #Stagflation

Tried to warn that this sell off was coming. And unfortunately, there's no light at the end of the tunnel... Even if the Nasdaq rises to new ATHs, it will underperform M2 for the long term, which means no purchasing power gains for investors.

Unfortunately this is just the beginning. We are going to see years of severe stagflation...

This statement will come back to haunt #Powell as many higher timeframe charts are warning that severe #stagflation is coming...

@chdhdyeudjjd Not the miners, the actual commodity. Miner stocks are held in custody by Wall Street banks, and we're heading into a financial crisis. Get out of counterparty risk while you still can.

@SpyMasterTrades Buy gold silver miners 🚀🚀

The fact that home sales have been at multi-decade lows for over a year, yet home prices remain near record highs in most areas, indicates that stagflation has already started.

⚠️ VIX momentum has begun to oscillate upward on the highest timeframes: M, 3M, 4M, 6M, and 12M charts all have strong upward momentum for volatility. The only safe place to keep value is in assets with no counterparty risks. We're heading into a financial crisis.

@scheplick Yeah but here's a problem: there's a massive bull flag forming between commodities and the money supply. This will take years to play out but its a warning of deep stagflation, where consumers will spend higher proportion of their money on commodities and downstream products.

Actually, if you adjust the price of eggs for changes in the total money supply, eggs are still down 60% from their highs in the 1980s. Also, if you adjust the price of eggs for the quality of protein and nutrients you're getting, the price is even more remarkable. Naturally, eggs are being squeezed by a reduce chicken population. However, the price is still incredibly competitive, and for health purposes, eggs have been the best value buy for over 40 years now. Maybe they are turning into a growth story again as people realize eating 12 eggs is infinitely healthier than eating a bag of chips or a muffin.

Now that inflation is surging again, all the unrealized losses on the banks' balance sheet, and all their extend and pretend, will come home to roost. They should have liquidated, but now they risk incurring further losses as rates go up even higher.

Imagine how impossibly difficult the situation will get for the Fed if inflation rises to 10% while unemployment rises to the same level. #Stagflation

@rid40562489 Never. The U.S. cannot afford to pay back its debt... Research Bitcoin.

@SpyMasterTrades When do you think TLT will be a good option to buy?

An ominous gravestone doji is forming on the 2-month candlestick chart of the $SPY / $TLT ratio. Pray the closing candlestick doesn't end up this bearish. If this tops on the 2-month chart, we could be looking at years of S&P 500 stagnation (or a crash in real terms)...

Smart money has been draining physical gold from the bullion banks. They're getting on the lifeboats first. A full-fledged bank run is already occurring at the Bank of England, and it's only a matter of time before it halts the gold withdrawals...

⚠️ As feared, we're getting MAJOR bearish reversal confirmation on the monthly chart. There's far too much capital in the #Nasdaq100 as a proportion to the M2 money supply right now. Read thread linked below for more info.

@scheplick Exactly. Besides, it's never going to work because accumulating BTC as a reserve asset is literally shorting dollar. This is why they posed the idea of using "gold certificates" to buy the BTC. Using gold certs confuses people into thinking it's not a dollar short, lol.

I’m really struggling to understand why anyone in crypto would want their coins to be in a strategic reserves. Strategic reserves are used to stockpile and then dump on the market to lower prices. The oil strategic reserve just sits there and when the time is right, we dump it on the market to drop prices.

Until then, there will be many #scapegoats for the home affordability crisis. Each political party will blame the other for what the central bank, and both political parties' over-spending, has caused. 🧵 End

And a system in which government spending is reigned in, or more specifically, a system in which a central government cannot change the supply of money to usurp workers' purchasing power through the hidden tax of inflation...

The fact that U.S. #home sales remained at multi-decade lows for a second year in a row while home prices also remain near record highs indicates that #stagflation has already begun... 🧵