StatSharp

📣⚾️StatSharp has added one of its most important MLB enhancements for the 2026 season: MLB Player Prop Betting Stats and Records. This new section gives StatSharp Pro subscribers a powerful way to research individual batter and pitcher prop markets using the same data-driven approach that already powers our betting systems, team trends, matchup reports, power ratings, and player statistics. Read More ➡️ statsharp.com/joomla/index.p…

⚾️SEA/OAK starting pitcher betting notes: • Emerson Hancock has been steady: 3.07 ERA, 1.057 WHIP, .229 AVG allowed and 6 quality starts in 10 outings. • Hancock’s indicators support the profile: 3.23 xERA, 2.93 ERC, 3.59 FIP, 9.2 K/9 and only 2.0 BB/9. • His recent form is even better: over the last month, Hancock owns a 3.38 ERA, 1.167 WHIP, 2.80 xERA, 2.18 FIP and 10.5 K/9. • Road Hancock has been quality-start friendly: 3 quality starts in 4 road outings, though the 5 HR allowed away from home is the risk. • Betting angle for Seattle: Hancock’s team is 5-0 on the money line in May road starts since 2024, averaging 7.2 runs scored. • Luis Severino’s recent log is mixed: 7 IP/2 ER vs LAA, 6 IP/5 ER vs SF, and 5 IP/2 ER at BAL over his last 3 starts. • Severino’s career home profile has been profitable: his teams are 62-41 on the money line in home starts. • Total trend is loud: Severino home starts in the first half of the season are 12-2 to the Over since 2025. • Another Over angle: Severino home starts vs. teams averaging 2.75 or fewer XBH/game are 9-1 to the Over since 2025. Read: Hancock gives Seattle a live road dog angle, but Severino’s home Over trends make Over 9.5 the strongest pitcher-trend signal.

Kansas City has lost their share of 1 run games this year and they haven't responded well following these tough losses. The Royals are 0-9 on the money line this year following a 1 run loss, losing by an avg. score of 2.7-5.1. Tonight they try to end that streak vs. the Yankees.

• Spurs are 10-5 ATS in the playoffs and 5-2 ATS in away playoff games. • OKC is still dominant straight up: 74-20 overall, 10-2 in the playoffs, and 5-1 in home playoff games. • San Antonio’s playoff defense has held opponents to 104.6 PPG, 41.0% FG, and 32.8% from three. • StatSharp simulation projects OKC 115, San Antonio 112 — showing value on Spurs +4.5 and Over 217.5. • Trend/system clash: OKC qualifies for ML systems off a low-scoring game, but Spurs have been dangerous in this exact profile — 13-5 ML vs top-level teams and Mitch Johnson is 15-5 ML vs teams outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG. (2/2)

Spurs vs Thunder. Western Conference Finals - Pivotal Game 5. 7 betting facts to know: • Series tied 2-2. OKC opened -5.5 and is now -4.5; total moved from 215.5 to 217.5. • San Antonio has been the better ATS team this season: Spurs 56-41 ATS, +11.0 units. OKC is 46-48 ATS, -6.6 units. (1/2) ⬇️

Dodgers/Brewers betting facts 👇 • Big-time NL clash: LAD enters 31-20, Milwaukee is 30-18 • Milwaukee has been the better betting team: 30-18 ML, +6.2 units, and 30-18 RL, +16.3 units • Dodgers are 31-20 ML but still -9.4 units; their team totals are just 19-32 Over/Under, Under +9.4 units • Trend alert: LAD is 9-1 on the road run line when the total is 9 to 9.5, +8.5 units • Milwaukee trend: Brewers are 7-0 ML vs teams whose hitters draw 4+ walks/game, +7.6 units • Pitching watch: Sasaki has a 5.09 ERA / 1.451 WHIP; Gasser has a 4.50 ERA / 1.250 WHIP in his lone 2026 start • Team bats: Dodgers own the stronger slash, .259/.343/.427/.770 with 66 HR; Milwaukee is .248/.335/.366/.701 with 54 SB • Lineup/injury/weather: Ohtani .882 OPS; Turang .895 OPS; Muncy questionable with wrist injury; Mitchell questionable with back injury; American Family Field roof expected closed

⚾️CLE/PHI starting pitcher betting notes: • Slade Cecconi has struggled overall: 5.16 ERA, 1.490 WHIP, .286 AVG allowed and .821 OPS allowed. • Cecconi’s advanced profile backs up the concern: 5.42 xERA, 5.37 ERC, 4.99 FIP and only 7.2 K/9. • Road starts have been a problem: 5.79 ERA, 1.554 WHIP, .295 AVG allowed and .861 OPS allowed away from home. • The biggest red flag: Cecconi’s team is 2-12 on the money line in his career interleague starts, averaging just 3.1 runs scored. • Zack Wheeler brings the ace edge: 2.87 ERA, 1.017 WHIP, .211 AVG allowed and 72 Ks in 62.7 IP. • Wheeler’s indicators are strong too: 2.70 xERA, 2.46 ERC, 2.88 FIP and 10.3 K/9. • Wheeler has been excellent at home: 2.37 ERA, 0.924 WHIP, .178 AVG allowed and 4 quality starts in 5 home outings. • Recent Wheeler is even sharper: 2.15 ERA, 0.983 WHIP, .216 AVG allowed and 38 Ks in 29.3 IP over the last month. • Betting trend for Philly: Wheeler’s team is 11-0 on the money line since 2024 vs. AL teams with a season slugging percentage of .400 or worse. Read: Wheeler/PHI has the clear pitcher edge, while Cecconi’s road + interleague profile makes the Guardians a tough sell.

Athletics/Angels AL West betting facts 👇 • Records say separation: Athletics enter 25-24; Angels are 17-33 • Athletics road profile pops: 15-12 ML, +6.6 units, and 18-9 RL, +7.3 units away from home • Angels are bleeding units: 17-33 ML, -13.3 units; 10-22 ML in night games, -11.3 units • Team trend: Bet against LAA after losing 4 of last 5 — Angels are 3-13 in 2026, -10.7 units • Pitcher trend: Soriano home May starts are 0-7 ML since 2024, -8.6 units • Pitching split: Soriano has a 2.41 ERA / 1.073 WHIP; Severino is at 4.45 / 1.573 • Team bats: Athletics own the stronger slash — .251/.329/.401/.730 vs LAA’s .224/.312/.375/.687 • Lineup/weather watch: Langeliers has a .972 OPS, Cortes .974; Trout leads LAA at .878; Jacob Wilson is on the 10-day IL; Angel Stadium: clear, 64°F, wind OUT to CF

• Knicks playoff team stats jump off the page: 119.9 PPG, 101.3 allowed, 51.4% FG, 39.9% from three, and +9.5 rebounding margin. • StatSharp simulation projects New York 120, Cleveland 109 — showing NYK +5.5 edge vs the spread and Over +13.5 vs the total. • Power Ratings also favor NYK: Knicks 130, Cavs 121, with an estimated line of NYK -11 vs the actual -5.5. (3/3)

• New York leads the series 1-0. Game 2 line moved from NYK -6.5 to -5.5, with the total moving from 214.5 to 215.5. • Cleveland has been a major ATS fade this season: 40-57 ATS overall, -22.8 units. • The Cavs’ road profile is worse: 19-30 ATS away and 2-6 ATS in away playoff games. • New York is 52-42 ATS overall, 8-3 ATS in the playoffs, and 31-15 ATS at home. (2/3) ⏬

🏀Cavaliers vs Knicks. Eastern Conference Finals Game 2. 7 betting facts to know from the StatSharp Tip Sheet: statsharp.com/nba/matchups/t… (1/3) ⏬

Dodgers/Padres NL West betting facts 👇 from the StatSharp Tip Sheet: statsharp.com/mlb/matchups/t… • Top-2 division fight: LAD enters 30-19, SD is right behind at 29-19 • StatSharp sim is tight: LAD 3.4, SD 3.3 — but SD shows ML edge +9.8% and RL edge +14.4% • Dodgers are 6-1 ML over the last week, while San Diego is 5-2 • Division split matters: LAD is just 9-7 ML / 6-10 RL in division games; SD is 11-6 ML / 12-5 RL • Pitching duel: Ohtani has a 0.82 ERA / 0.818 WHIP; Vasquez is 5-1 with a 2.68 ERA / 1.113 WHIP • Pitcher trend alert: Bet against Ohtani as a road favorite of -110+ is 2-9 since 2025; Vasquez teams are 15-3 ML off a loss • Team bats: Dodgers own the stronger season slash — .261/.343/.429/.772 vs SD’s .222/.294/.370/.665 • Lineup/weather watch: Ohtani .872 OPS, Muncy .885 OPS, Gavin Sheets .879 OPS; Luis Campusano is on the 10-day IL; PETCO is clear, 72°F, wind OUT to RF

Over the past 3 years, the Thunder have been the revenge masters when it comes to covering the spread. OKC has covered 18 of their past 22 games when revenging a loss as a favorite, crushing their opponents by an average score of 125-106! #nbabets 💰

TOR/NYY starting pitcher betting notes: • Great young-arm matchup: Trey Yesavage vs. Cameron Schlittler, two rising starters with ace-level early-season profiles. • Yesavage has allowed just 3 ER in 19.3 IP this season: 1.40 ERA, 1.293 WHIP, 0 HR allowed and a .613 OPS against. • His indicators support the breakout: 2.79 xERA, 2.32 FIP, 2.46 dERA and 9.8 K/9. • Yesavage has been strong in this exact setting: 1.59 ERA, 0.971 WHIP and .494 OPS allowed in night starts. • Betting angle for Toronto: Yesavage’s team is 7-0 on the money line since 2025 vs. teams stranding 6.9 or fewer runners per game. • Schlittler has been even more dominant: 6-1, 1.35 ERA, 0.783 WHIP, .168 AVG allowed and 68 Ks in 60 IP. • Schlittler’s sabermetrics are elite: 1.04 xERA, 1.18 ERC, 1.82 FIP, 10.2 K/9 and a 6.18 SO/BB ratio. • Recent form is ridiculous: over the last month, Schlittler owns a 0.84 ERA, 0.804 WHIP and 4 quality starts in 5 outings. • Yankees have been profitable behind him: 8-2 ML and 7-3 run line in Schlittler starts this season. • Total angle: Schlittler starts are 1-9 to the 1st 5 Over, while Yesavage starts are 1-3 full-game Over/Under. Read: Schlittler/NYY has the stronger pitcher edge, but both starters point toward a tight, lower-scoring first half.

Cavaliers vs Knicks. Eastern Conference Finals Game 1. 7 betting facts to know: • New York is laying -7.5 at home with a total of 217.5. Knicks enter 62-31; Cleveland is 60-36. • Cleveland has been a season-long ATS fade: 40-56 ATS overall, -21.8 units. • The road split is even worse for the Cavs: 19-29 ATS away and just 2-5 ATS in away playoff games. • New York has been strong at MSG: 30-15 ATS at home, +13.6 units. • The Knicks are 7-3 ATS and 8-2 straight up in the playoffs. • StatSharp simulation projects New York 117, Cleveland 106 — a NYK +3.5 edge vs the spread and Over +5.5 vs the total. • Coach/trend angle: Kenny Atkinson’s Cleveland teams are 0-12 ATS off a road win against a division rival, while NYK is 15-3 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10+ points.

🏀Spurs vs Thunder. Western Conference Finals Game 1. 7 betting facts to know: • OKC is 72-18 overall, but just 44-46 ATS this season. San Antonio is 54-39 ATS and +11.2 units. • The Spurs are 8-3 ATS in the playoffs and 4-1 ATS in away playoff games. • OKC is perfect straight-up in the playoffs: 8-0 overall and 4-0 at home. • San Antonio has been one of the rare teams with strong profiles vs elite opponents: 11-3 ML vs teams with a win pct above 70%, and 7-1 ML vs teams outscoring opponents by 9+ PPG. • StatSharp simulation projects OKC 118, San Antonio 115 — showing value on Spurs +6.5 and Over 221.5. • Power Ratings actually favor San Antonio: Spurs 131, Thunder 129, with a listed Spurs +6.5 edge against the market. • OKC brings a revenge/home trend: Thunder are 32-10 ATS at home revenging a loss vs opponent since 2024. San Antonio counters with a 17-2 first-half line record as an underdog this season.

Brewers/Cubs NL Central betting facts 👇 • Top-2 division showdown: Chicago enters 29-18, Milwaukee 26-18 • StatSharp sim leans CHC: Cubs 5.4, Brewers 3.1 — CHC ML edge +13.0%, CHC RL edge +17.4% • Milwaukee is 26-18 on the run line, +11.0 units, but only 2-3 ML in division games • Cubs at Wrigley: 18-5 ML, +9.0 units; 16-4 ML vs NL teams at home • System alert: Road dogs +125 to +175 after scoring 4 or fewer in 3 straight are 39-22, +36.5 units — applies to Milwaukee • Pitching gap: Imanaga owns a 2.48 ERA / 0.902 WHIP; Sproat is at 5.75 / 1.528 • Team bats: Cubs have 57 HR and a .747 OPS; Milwaukee has 30 HR and a .694 OPS • Lineup/weather watch: Turang has a .892 OPS; Happ & Suzuki both sit at .823 OPS; Wrigley is warm at 73°F with wind OUT to CF at 11.9 mph

PHI/BOS starting pitcher betting notes: • Jesus Luzardo’s surface numbers are ugly: 5.98 ERA, 1.397 WHIP, .278 AVG allowed and 30 runs allowed in 43.7 IP. • The metrics say Luzardo may be better than the ERA: 4.64 xERA, 4.47 ERC, 2.94 FIP and 11.7 K/9. • Luzardo has actually been sharp on the road: 2-0, 2.04 ERA, 1.245 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 and 2 quality starts in 3 road outings. • Red flag: Luzardo’s interleague sample was rough — 9.00 ERA, 2 HR allowed and .822 OPS allowed. • Ranger Suarez gets the revenge-game angle vs. his former team and brings the cleaner profile: 2.77 ERA, 0.949 WHIP, .197 AVG allowed and .551 OPS allowed. • Suarez has been excellent lately: 1.46 ERA, 0.649 WHIP, .134 AVG allowed and .403 OPS allowed over the last month. • Suarez’s indicators back up the form: 2.10 xERA, 1.83 ERC, 3.23 FIP, 2.3 BB/9 and only a 2.0% HR rate. • Total angle: Suarez starts are 2-4-1 to the Over this season, and his last-month starts are 0-4 to the Over. • Strongest trend: Under is 17-4 since 2024 in Suarez starts after allowing ≤2 ER in each of his last 2 outings. Read: Suarez/BOS has the cleaner pitcher edge, while the matchup also points Under 7.

Padres/Brewers NL betting facts 👇 • Winning-team matchup: San Diego enters 25-17, Milwaukee 23-17 • Milwaukee has been a run-line machine: 25-15 RL, +12.6 units • Day-game angle: Brewers are 12-5 ML, +5.3 units, and 13-4 RL, +11.9 units • Padres trend: SD is 10-2 ML in road games after winning 2 of its last 3, +8.9 units • Pitcher trend clash: Canning teams are 6-0 ML in road starts in the 1st half since 2025, while Harrison teams are 6-0 ML at -100 to -150 • Pitching stat edge: Harrison owns a 2.41 ERA / 1.188 WHIP; Canning is at 6.75 / 1.607 • Team bats: Milwaukee has the better season slash — .243/.334/.357 vs SD’s .223/.296/.368 • Lineup/injury watch: Brice Turang has a .918 OPS; Christian Yelich is questionable with a back injury; roof likely open at American Family Field, clear ~70°F, light wind IN from LF

⚾️SF/LAD starting pitcher betting notes: • Robbie Ray has been strong overall: 2.76 ERA, 1.095 WHIP, .199 AVG allowed and 47 Ks in 45.7 IP. • Ray’s surface ERA is better than the indicators: 3.30 xERA, 2.93 ERC, but a shakier 4.50 FIP with 8 HR allowed. • Ray has been solid in division games: 2.42 ERA, 1.030 WHIP, .167 AVG allowed and .620 OPS allowed. • Road Ray is the concern: 0-3 team record, 4.15 ERA and 5 HR allowed in 17.3 IP despite a 1.038 WHIP. • Shohei Ohtani’s pitching form is elite: 0.97 ERA, 0.811 WHIP, .160 AVG allowed and 42 Ks in 37 IP. • Ohtani has delivered a quality start in all 6 starts this season. • His sabermetrics back it up: 1.20 xERA, 1.41 ERC, 2.51 FIP, 10.2 K/9 and 4.67 SO/BB. • Ohtani at home has been dominant: 1.00 ERA, 0.722 WHIP, .141 AVG allowed, 0 HR allowed and 12.5 K/9. • Betting wrinkle: Ray has a live dog trend — his team is 6-0 on the ML in road Wednesday starts since 2024. • Total angle: Ohtani starts are 1-5 to the Over this season, while Ray starts are 2-6 to the Over. Read: Ohtani/LAD owns the clear pitcher edge, but Ray’s Wednesday road trend and both pitchers’ Under profiles make SF +1.5/Under angles worth a look.

Detroit SS Zach McKinstry is off to a very slow start this season and it is reflected in some of his negative player prop trends. McKinstry is 8-0 under the runs scored O/U prop in road games this year, having not scored a run in any of those games. #MLB #PlayerProps