Statosphere Sports

@insightlane I'm

If the medals go this way and McKeown does this, without a doubt she becomes Australia's greatest ever Olympic swimmer (and Olympian) - by a margin.

Have a few projects in mind over the next few weeks so I'm dusting off the account. To quote Ross Lyon "watch this space"

@CapitalCityCody @arwon The King specialtty

@arwon For me "freak event" signifies a 90-95% chance, meaning they'd have to start each game close to 100% to win. I'm not sure they are even a clear favourite right now, or even if there is a clear favourite. It's sensationalism dressed up as statistics/fact.

Since the introduction of the top 8, no player has made it past the first week of finals more than Matt de Boer without winning a flag... Made it to at least the semis in 9 seasons (Danger and Rohan join him on 9 this year)

There's not enough talk about Chris Tarrant taking the same mark on Scarlett, next to Max Rooke, two years apart

@RudiEdsall @jezza_hill They lost expected score to St Kilda by 23 points at home this year... Have they improved since then? Maybe but they haven't played anyone so who knows. Not to mention they're missing they bloke who has kicked 14% of their score this season.

@crow_data_sci Yeah caught me off guard how bad it has been, I was looking to see if Carlton had moved away from their gameplan with Teague and Liam Jones of conceding high defensive one on ones and got completely distracted

@StatosphereAFL wowee they've fallen off a cliff compared to last season twitter.com/crow_data_sci/…

Essendon's defensive system working well thus far...

For what it's worth after 3 rounds of last season goals from CB was 1.83 (vs 1.87 this year) and scoring shots 3.35 (vs 3.09 this year)

@MWL152 @databyjosh If xG in soccer is now mainstream enough to be included in Fifa I doubt it's beyond the publics understanding with a bit of explanation

@databyjosh There’s be a decent chunk of the viewers and probably the commentators who wouldn’t understand what it is

AFL commentators love to talk about goalkicking accuracy and love to talk about the stats - so why not talk about xScore? Last night's game was crying out for it IMO.

Has the causation of uncontested marks winning more games in previous years been explored? Has the feel of the NFL's “teams that run the ball more win more" when in reality it's cause they're preserving their lead late. Is uncontested marks any more than protecting a lead in Q4?

2021: Port Adelaide hailed as masters of the close game, going 5-0 when the margin is 12 or less. 2022, Round 1: Port Adelaide lose a game by 11 points. Why? All in my latest on @StatsInsider: statsinsider.com.au/blog/afl/like-…

@CapitalCityCody @AndyMarshall86 GWS having a higher figure than we had at any point last year a somewhat interesting callout but aside from that it's too early to read into anything

@CapitalCityCody @AndyMarshall86 Yep, much like everything else it is far too early in the season to read anything into the data as to whether it's related to a change in gameplan, match up specific reasons or in game dynamics (like belting Essendon and perhaps backing yourself to take the game on more)

Midfield ball movement for round 1

@CapitalCityCody @AndyMarshall86 Technically I've actually drawn the border halfway between the widest point of the ground and the centre square as it's a straight line not curving with the boundary

@CapitalCityCody @AndyMarshall86 Haved tried to use the champion data definition and names so corridor defined by the edge of the centre square and then the border of boundary and wide of corridor as halfway between the boundary and the centre square. So a narrower would mean the corridor takes up a larger share

@FreoPope Yeah plan is to fix this for next time but was having issues with the plot

@StatosphereAFL If wide of corridor means in between the corridor and the boundary, can you please reorder the series to put them more in logically order?

@Hendiggity1 @Adrian_Poly By a mile, Geelong's second quarter was the next highest at 61%. Only have the data back to the start of last season but it's the second-highest quarter in that period

@StatosphereAFL @Adrian_Poly Good lord that second quarter, was that the highest figure for the round?