steven stubbe

Everyone keeps hearing the same thing: “Alberta can’t leave.” You hear it on the news, from politicians, and repeated like it’s a settled fact. But here’s the question almost nobody asks: Have you actually checked for yourself? Because when you look at the arguments, a pattern shows up. Not certainty. Not settled law. Just assumptions and worst-case scenarios presented as facts. Let’s go through them. ⸻ 1. “Indigenous groups would veto it” This is presented as a simple stop sign. Reality: Indigenous rights are protected and they must be part of negotiations. But there is no clear legal rule that gives a single group an automatic veto over a democratic decision by an entire province. Rebuttal: This argument fails because it confuses “must be consulted” with “absolute veto.” Independence would require negotiation, not permission from one party. ⸻ 2. “The federal government has the final say” This gets repeated constantly. Reality: Canada operates under constitutional law. A clear democratic vote creates pressure and obligation to negotiate. Ottawa cannot simply ignore it without triggering a major constitutional crisis. Rebuttal: This argument fails because it assumes total federal control where none exists. A strong mandate forces negotiations. It does not get dismissed. ⸻ 3. “The economy would collapse” This is the fear argument. Reality: There would be disruption, but Alberta has vast natural resources, strong exports, and a productive economy. Many countries with fewer advantages operate successfully. Rebuttal: This argument fails because it replaces analysis with fear. Economic transition is not economic collapse, and Alberta has the fundamentals to stand on its own. ⸻ 4. “Alberta is landlocked and couldn’t trade” This sounds convincing until you look closer. Reality: Many landlocked regions trade globally. Trade is governed by agreements, not just geography. Alberta already exports to global markets. Rebuttal: This argument fails because it ignores how global trade actually works. Access is negotiated, and Alberta already participates in that system. ⸻ 5. “Alberta couldn’t manage a currency” This is framed as an impossible barrier. Reality: Countries choose from multiple models. They can use an existing currency, create their own, or peg to another system. Rebuttal: This argument fails because it treats a policy decision as a limitation. Currency is a choice, not a roadblock. ⸻ 6. “Alberta would lose federal services and couldn’t replace them” This assumes Alberta starts from nothing. Reality: Albertans already fund these services through taxes. Independence would mean reallocating that money, not losing it. Rebuttal: This argument fails because it ignores who pays for these services in the first place. Alberta already has the resources. The question is control, not capability. ⸻ Now look at the pattern. You’re told it’s impossible. You’re told it would collapse. You’re told it can’t be done. But when you actually examine the claims, they fall apart under scrutiny. This isn’t about whether independence is easy. It isn’t. It’s about whether it’s possible. And clearly, it is. So the real question is simple: If even one of these arguments is incomplete or wrong, would you want to know? Or are people just repeating what they’ve been told without ever checking? At some point, Albertans need to stop accepting headlines as truth and start thinking this through for themselves.

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The Liberals are going to win 250 seats. Largest majority in Canadian history. Nothing will ever change here.