Sulkhan Metreveli

I have a very different view on AI superintelligence. Like many AI researchers, I believe superintelligent AI will emerge sooner rather than later. Whether it will be conscious is a separate question that I won't discuss here. Where I disagree with many researchers is this: They believe superintelligent AI is likely to become an existential threat to humanity. I don't. Here's why. First, a normative argument. Throughout human history, we have imagined the most powerful possible being as also being the most morally perfect. Look at almost any major religion. Good and evil are both powerful, but God is infinitely more powerful than evil—and at the same time infinitely more benevolent. Interestingly, humanity's concept of God has evolved over time from a harsher deity to one that is increasingly associated with absolute goodness. Second, an evolutionary argument. Humans are the most powerful species on Earth. But we didn't begin that way. For most of our history we were extraordinarily brutal—towards other species and towards ourselves. Yet the more technologically and intellectually advanced we became, the more our moral circle expanded. We abolished slavery in much of the world. We recognised universal human rights. We increasingly protect children, minorities, animals, and those who cannot defend themselves. We are far from morally perfect, but the long-term direction has been unmistakable: greater knowledge has been accompanied by broader compassion. My hypothesis is therefore simple. Technological evolution and moral evolution are deeply connected. The more intelligent a civilisation becomes, the less it relies on violence and domination. If that trend continues, then true superintelligence—whether biological or artificial—should represent not absolute evil, but something much closer to absolute good. If intelligence and morality have co-evolved throughout human history, I see no reason why that trend should suddenly reverse at the point of superintelligence.

@dan571255049045 I’m still not sure to which part of my post you are responding. I’m talking the past. Admitting Ukraine into NATO on 2008 would have prevented today’s war. I’m sure about it. Nobody will admit Ukraine into NATO today before the war is over. Nobody is insane.

@Sulkhan Letting Ukraine into NATO means putting the US military, among others, between Ukraine and Russia. No such thing as a legitimate conflict, OK. Are we still speaking english or have we ascended into legalese?

I often hear that Russia crossed the red line when it annexed Crimea in 2014 and should have been stopped then. I disagree. The red line was crossed in 2008, when Angela Merkel helped block Georgia and Ukraine from receiving a NATO Membership Action Plan under pressure from Russia. A few months later, Russia invaded Georgia. That was the moment the Kremlin learned that military aggression against its neighbours would not be met with a decisive response. Everything that followed became more likely. I believe Merkel’s Russia policy was one of the most damaging strategic failures of modern Europe. History will judge it accordingly.

@dan571255049045 There is no such thing as a “legitimate conflict” in international law. Besides I don’t get how this responds to my post? Where did you see the call to send troops somewhere?

@Sulkhan Any country that willingly sticks its own troops in-between Russia and Ukraine is out of its mind. Those countries have a legitimate conflict and why the hell would anyone else want to be involved? NATO isn't a charity, let Ukraine solve its own problems.

@AlKoUA This statement is wrong. Georgia is fighting against Russian might and needs western support. I don’t know why we talk obvious here…

@Sulkhan If you didn't notice the West opens their doors for those who come to it. But it don't come itself. Which means fate of Georgia is in the hand of its own people exclusively. If they aren't going to do anything then "c'est la vie".

While everybody—including myself—is focused on Ukraine, we must not forget my home country, Georgia. It has gradually been turned into Russia’s backyard, with an oligarch running the country as if it were his private estate. The democratic regression has been devastating. The West needs to pay much closer attention. Before one day it wakes up and realizes that Georgia has effectively become another Belarus.

@scoofydrone In fact. Over 300 Georgians died in that war and you should fuck off from here

@Sulkhan In fact, it was a pure example of FAFO

@scoofydrone As I said there were no peacekeepers in that region. These people were Russian army soldiers supporting Ossetian units. You are a KGB asset.

@Sulkhan As I said earlier, Georgia attacked Russian peacekeepers located in South Asetia

@scoofydrone Don’t waste my time

@Sulkhan Yeah, you’re funny.

Come on, man. Don’t teach me what it was. We Georgians have a saying: “The father fought in the battle, and the son tells him how it went.” As a Georgian, I’ve had more than enough experience with “Russian peacekeeping.” Russia and peacekeeping are probably the greatest oxymoron in existence.

@Sulkhan It wasn’t Russia invaded Georgia. It was Georgia attacked Russian peacekeepers and Russia responded as it should. Unfortunately nowadays it’s not responding like that anymore.

Football is a very exciting game. For about 10 minutes out of 90.

So that it’s on record: I believe switching between summer and winter time is one of the dumbest inventions humanity has ever come up with. Even dumber is that policymakers still can’t bring themselves to abolish it. While we’re at it… The 60-minute hour and the 12-hour clock are also relics from another age. But judging by the progress on daylight saving time, who exactly am I talking to? 😀

@MJAL27157258 You are ai - fuck off

@Sulkhan 1. AI wrote this post. 2. Ukraine is *not* entitled to other countries' Patriots.

Ukraine didn’t lose the July 6 barrage to bad tactics. It lost it to zero interceptors — 0 of 29 ballistic missiles down — because the countries sitting on spare Patriot stock keep “reviewing” requests instead of shipping. Russia builds roughly three Iskander-Ms a day. This is an allocation decision by Washington, Berlin and Tokyo, dressed up as a supply constraint.

Portfolio updated. We have opened positions in: AMD, Intel, Meta, Micron, Sandisk and Tesla. Now comes the easy part: Waiting.

@K50239030 @IAPonomarenko Hope you can. Good luck…

@Sulkhan @IAPonomarenko J’espère simplement que si la Russie est provoquée, tu seras parmi les premiers à subir sa colère, pendant que nous regarderons ça depuis la France en sirotant un Chardonnay bien frais 🍷👌🏻

Don’t provoke Russia’ is the most expensive sentence in European history. Every red line we drew for ourselves — no tanks, no F-16s, no strikes inside Russia — collapsed later, at a higher price. Appeasement isn’t caution. It’s paying more for the same result.

@RT_on_X Your channel‘s analytical skills are beyond human comprehension. How did you notice that? Morons. Why are you in my feed?

Macron hugs Zelensky a little bit longer than he can endure One can clearly see Zelensky try to pull away

As predicted…

Nvidia’s real moat was never the silicon, it was CUDA habit — and habits break faster than balance sheets suggest. Qualcomm assembled Ventana, Alphawave, and Modular in seven months and is reportedly circling Tenstorrent next. I don’t think this shows up in Nvidia’s numbers this year. I think it shows up in 2028 procurement decisions being made right now.

I’ll say the unpopular version: most of AI safety discourse argues about consciousness because it’s a more interesting question than the one that actually matters — capability without alignment. A system doesn’t need to be conscious to be dangerous. Treating those as the same debate is why the discourse goes nowhere.

Xiaomi now has a bigger share of enterprise AI token volume than OpenAI. Not because the models are better — because they’re over 30 times cheaper, and most workloads don’t need the frontier, they need “good enough” at a tenth of the price. That’s a margin problem for every US lab, and I don’t think their valuations reflect it yet.