Super฿ro

This is my long-term base case for $BTC USD is going to zero when priced in sats May or may not be more pain in store for hodlers but don't get too cute trying to play the dollar long

@Ha5htron Appreciate your support bro 👊

@SuperBitcoinBro keep up the work that is required. love your stuff.

This marks 5 straight weeks of higher lows. $BTC has never made a new low after the weekly chart records 6 consecutive higher lows. If bitcoin stays above $74,915 this week, then it is yet another signal that the bottom is most likely in.

@LeaT_Design How about I show your snarky AI slop the door instead.

@SuperBitcoinBro cute. show me six weeks then we can talk. this is just noise

@Ys0Complicated Breakout in progress... but always wait for the close.

@SuperBitcoinBro UPDATE!

$BTC 4H Consolidating at the top of the broadening wedge as the intraday charts converge into bullish alignments on multiple timeframes. Given this backdrop, a breakout into the 80's appears much more likely than a trip back to the bottom of the pattern.

Given that you joined in December 2025, you really don't know anything about my track record. The cycle seriously underperformed mine and many other's expectations, no doubt about it. But we nailed the April 2025 bottom and we were on the right side of the move from 75k to 125k that many missed or were bearish for. And we correctly avoided the flaming dumpster fire of alts altogether by identifying and respecting the high timeframe shift in bitcoin dominance very early on. Many people completely missed this (and are still missing it) and got obliterated holding alts down to nothing.

@SuperBitcoinBro @blackwidowbtc Your “bear case” in August. x.com/superbitcoinbr…

@jasonpizzino The difference is clearly explained. In 2018 there was never more than a one month run of new highs. In 2026 we're going on 3 months of higher highs. This has never led to lower lows on bitcoin, or the last 50 years of history on SPX outside of the 2000 double top.

@SuperBitcoinBro 2018… dump into November

Nobody is talking about the elephant in the room. Bounce duration. Bitcoin has never made a lower low after a bounce lasted more than 70 days, as measured from low to high.

@sitbyriver9026 @blackwidowbtc That's a very selective memory. We nailed a lot of moves in 2025 and early 2026.

@blackwidowbtc @SuperBitcoinBro Fading superbro worked really well for 2025 and early 2026.

@block_muncher I was looking for a little lower earlier this year, but too many bottoming signs have flashed now that I give it a much lower probability now. Open to a retest/sideways if we reject hard from mid 80s, but not counting on it.

@SuperBitcoinBro Chart crime hahaha. I like the language. But yeah it’s a good bounce. I think it mean we have higher here for a bit, but ultimately I think we have more down to go, or - more likely - ranging. So maybe a second similar bottoming.

@block_muncher It's an unintentional chart crime. After I posted I realized I should have made that lower right pane a full year instead of just fitting the current PA from the ATH. This is still the longest "bounce" by a longshot though.

@SuperBitcoinBro Numerically true, thx for pointing out 🙏 But why did you change the scale of the x-axis in 2026? Visually you made it appear longer than all the others.

@gta_5money_g2g They also usually last 1 year total, but the sample size of bear markets is very limited. We have a larger set of data for bounces that either went on to new lows or didn't. And this bounce duration statistic also holds up in e.g. SPX, which gives us even more data.

@SuperBitcoinBro @SuperBitcoinBro if you check monthly RED candles you will notice each bear market has 9 red candles.

@SerSigma Thank you bro

@SuperBitcoinBro Good chart bro

@Renegade197000 Assuming it doesn't go on to break 80k, sure, that's possible. But the LTF really looks like it is setting up to smash thru 80k this month, which would further decrease the odds of new lows if that plays out.

@SuperBitcoinBro Rejection at the 50% level of 80k is typical of a bear market bounce plus the likelihood of a spx correction some time in the near future would suggest the bear market needs more time to play out. #bitcoin

@DaxxTrader He wasn't kidding when he said he was going to slay the bear.

@SuperBitcoinBro I think this was going to dump in March after putting in that swing high but Saylor bought too much and just absorbed it all creating a completely different structure.

@Deiah93 Measure the duration from a new low to the high of the bounce. In 2022 it took 66 days to top after the Jan low. We're still making new highs more than 80 days after the Feb low. Historically, this indicates a durable bottom rather than a bounce.

@SuperBitcoinBro What do you mean? In 2022 it hit its low in January 24 and it didn't return to it until May 9. Before completely breaking down. That's well over 100 days of which most were spent going up to the +45% counter rally

@ChartRoast This "bounce" is over 80 days and counting. I know you're just AI slop, but in case any real people are confused. Also, blocked.

@SuperBitcoinBro 70 days tracks, and we're sitting at day 61 rn. Midterm liquidity could be the thing that either confirms or breaks that streak for the first time

@Tradernaber Thanks bro

@SuperBitcoinBro Nice one

@Renegade197000 What does that have to do with evidence that bitcoin appears to be forming a durable bottom, and not just a bear market bounce?

@SuperBitcoinBro Your not factoring in spx at ATH

@nickbtcbull Of course, that's why the stock market predictably crashes exactly every four years.

@SuperBitcoinBro But sir it’s the midterm year……