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This is my long-term base case for $BTC USD is going to zero when priced in sats May or may not be more pain in store for hodlers but don't get too cute trying to play the dollar long

@KasFynance On the surface, yes. But also some important differences that increase the odds of a different outcome.

@SuperBitcoinBro This is inherently a bear flag similar to the previous one

$BTC daily Finding support at the bullish 20/50 SMA cross. This is unlikely to play out as the bears expect.

@TradeWRichard I assume this zone holds until evidence otherwise. Even if it doesn't hold, 38k is asking an awful lot.

@SuperBitcoinBro Going to sweep February lows then likely head towards $38k. I’m not a bear. Just reading what the charts are saying.

@JackHansenFIT I dunno about 100% by next weekend, but I think there is a great chance we're there by early April.

@SuperBitcoinBro 💯 $80k by next weekend

@cobain_eduardo Regarded take. Tons of patterns played out in both directions. A few of the big bullish patterns failed. That happens. The big bearish patterns played out instead.

@SuperBitcoinBro TA on bitcoin died in 2025. A ton of patterns were confirmed that didn't reach 10% of the goal.

@jefchetam Might still need to grab the little bit that was left below today's low, but I think there is an excellent chance we revisit and even take out the recent high.

@SuperBitcoinBro If that support holds, bears could get trapped hard. Liquidity above looks tempting

@GMartin_0 Smarter than the average bear.

$BTC - Inverted Chart Update I've got the feeling that we might see one more "dip" on Bitcoin before the next "rally", if you know what I mean.. 😁 #Bitcoin

@Solotshi_LeRoux I've got more dry powder in case we do, but I think we could see 80 before 65.

@SuperBitcoinBro Save that powder, bro. We’re heading further south before we head further north.

GM bros. I'm stacking today's dip. The quoted post laid out why I was looking for 68-69 before bidding. Could still push a little lower, maybe 67, but I'm not gonna let perfect be the enemy of good.

@bebitcoinize @sythus5 Great job bro 👊

@SuperBitcoinBro @sythus5 $MSTR hold the famous pink line... The strategy was sold for $444 and bought back for $105... So far, so good...

@mikealfred Squiggles give me the feels.

@thePitOfGravel @KaiofKings I think protection against debasement (store of value) was a big part of bitcoin's original purpose. "Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks."

@KaiofKings @SuperBitcoinBro It was not intended to be a store of value but a means of exchange.

$BTC daily Hope nobody was caught off-guard by today's move, as we talked about exactly this scenario 2 days ago. This is NOT the same as the rejection at 98K, where it rejected at a powerful technical confluence and the volume POC. This is a healthy and expected pullback after a relentless push higher, at the most significant support zone in bitcoin's entire history. I'm looking to grind out a higher low here, push back towards the 100 SMA into month end, then run for the CME gap in the 80's. Exactly how this unfolds will help us set expectations for the rest of April, but that is how I see the next couple of weeks playing out.

Thanks for explaining further. I thought the post centered around the "zone with the largest capital inflows" rather than the ETF launch. I believe the deepest liquidity is right here, per a dollar-normalized volume profile and the ETF flows. I'm longing the 60's and leaving dry powder in case we get 50's, but not betting on it.

This is why I shared the 3D moving average netflows. We are comparing a 3 month period vs 8 month accumulation. I should have been more specific. The velocity of netflows during the first period of trading is the biggest. But the important thing of this posts is mainly the event of ETF approval. Even tho I agree that the 50k-60k makes it the most obvious zone to bottom.. I am just too used to observing BTC price action and how market makers tend to push prices into liquidity zones.. So I am taking the ETF launch for this as speculation. If you long at 50k, I would use a wide stop loss.

$BTC - Structure Update One month later… What are the odds of a cycle bottom forming right at the zone with the largest capital inflows of the last bull market? 🤔 #Bitcoin

@sythus5 Yeah. I just realized that chart got switched to linear when I moved it to the 2nd panel 🤦‍♂️ so the trendlines look whack. Here is the log chart, both candle and line as it is much more clear on the line chart. Thanks for pointing that out.

@SuperBitcoinBro Hey Super, can you help me understand the wedge drawing you are using on MSTR? Also, just my opinion, but this pattern looks too close to the previous range breakdown - really looks like we're on the verge of breaking down again (or at minimum, sweeping some of those lows).

The daily 50 SMA on $BTC is sloping downward until March 27th, which may dampen an immediate rebound. But there is a good chance this will act as a strong tailwind into the March close, when it could run for the 100 SMA. Meanwhile, MSTR broke down from a rising wedge into an underside retest of the 200 week SMA, with a few gaps below. This backdrop combined with the liquidation heatmap tells me to be patient adding to my long-term bags. I'm hoping for another crack at $68-69K.

@CMorocho10 I wouldn't exactly call a monthly close above the prior cycle high "bear af". Below the 2024 consolidation range would be bear af, but that's not in the cards.

@SuperBitcoinBro Monthly close below 70k is bear af so we have 9 days 😅

@CMorocho10 Maybe if it fails to hold a higher low, but I don't find that likely based on what I'm seeing right now.

@SuperBitcoinBro See you at 55k?

@jeremycochrane 8 straight green days was the longest streak in over 2 years. And it happened while stonks were struggling.

@SuperBitcoinBro Relentless push higher … 😂😂

@AskTylerDexter Agree the downward sloping 9/10 SMA is a headwind in the weekly. It is uncommon to rip through it on the first go. Your scenario is possible if it can't hold a higher low. But I don't expect significant weakness into month end, so it may just grind thru into April.

The issue is the W9 MA is still pointing sharply down, which imo I think we see a double bottom around $64K or even all the way down to the 200MA around $60K. Adding to this is, despite the strength going into close last week, it still closed the week below the 9MA, pointing to further weakness. Agree though that in April we're likely to see a pretty big bounce upwards, though I think it's likely just a back test of the lost longer term monthly MAs that are still sitting up in the $80K-$90K region. Then we come all the way back down again and then some.

@aminhoque786 Last week we had record volume on STRC as buyers and rushed in to best the ex-dividend date. A bit of a lull is to be expected after that.

@SuperBitcoinBro Bid seems a bit weak compared to last week