Sabitlenmiş Tweet
Supreme WX
361 posts
Supreme WX
@SupremeShdw
My opinions are my own and not professional in any way, shape or form. Avid Hockey Fan (#LGP) Weather + Hockey... let it roll
Katılım Ocak 2025
55 Takip Edilen46 Takipçiler
@stormyday200 @DerekOrtt @AndyHazelton @OSUWXGUY @WxTca @dmorris9661 @Skittles @elmo Calling a season over before it starts is bold… not a fan of that. We all saw writing last year off early wasn’t smart
English
We currently have a strong negative AMO in the ATL. This season is done before it even started. If you're an ATL weenie, prepare yourself for the most inactive year you've ever experienced. @DerekOrtt @AndyHazelton @OSUWXGUY @WxTca @dmorris9661 @Skittles @elmo
English
@WickyDubs2 Really getting worried for what Hurricane Season might look like... especially because in one of the budgets proposed the abolishment of a certain NOAA division for "climate action" is the HRD that would cut recon down big time.. only going to lead to more injuries, dmg and death
English
I expect this to be implemented to the entire NWS enterprise.
Eric Fisher@ericfisher
More effects of all the cuts at NOAA/NWS, this from the NWS Sacramento office No more answering phones Limited staffing 6p-6a Just one forecast discussion per day Limited social media posting Advisories mainly issued by day shift
English
Category 5 #Errol has been such an impressive system. Jumping from a TS all the way to a Category 5 (that could have went sub 900 but without recon we will never know) The system only has a little bit before shear and dry air rip it apart.
English
@ViridWx Massive shame we dont have any recon outside of the NHC AOR... systems like this would be amazing to get recon into...
English
Well it seems like Cyclone #Errol jumped the gun earlier today undergoing Explosive Intensification, embedded in a ULAC steering clear from dry air in 30C SST’s, it jumped from 55kts at 2PM EST yesterday to near C4 right now… and it still has time left to go even further.
English
UPDATE - JTWC Subjective Dvorak has updated to reflect Category 4 Status (115kts/132mph). The eye is warming very fast and has plenty of time before the hostile environment takes over, no visible signs of an EWRC either. #Errol
English
@Sekai_WX I went... made a tea and all of a sudden the eye is warming rapidly... Nuts
English
The eye just warmed 35 degrees Celsius in 30 minutes.
This is the fastest I've seen an eye clear out in a TC in a very long time.
ERI should continue unabated unless an EWRC gets it before shear increases tomorrow around midday.
Sekai Chandra@Sekai_WX
Very classic case of extreme rapid intensification (ERI) ongoing with Cyclone Errol NW of Australia right now. Smaller cores are very prone to rapid intensification, but they're also just as prone to falling apart and collapsing. Could make a C5 run if this keeps up.
English
Wow... Extreme Rapid Intensification has and is taking place with cyclone #Errol with a Pinhole eye clearing out with plenty of deep convection in its CDO surrounding it. Definitely atMajor Hurricane strength as of right now and could make a runatC5 before the hostile environment
English
@AlanSevere Would be nice if NRL wasnt down for SHEM storms atm to get a look at the MW for the small core...
English
Errol looks like it is starting it's process of intensification this morning. You can see vertical hot towers start to develop and warp around the center. could be indicative of an eye forming. It has about 20-24 hours to strengthen.
GIF
English
Despite having low-moderate overall shear from CIMSS Analysis and The Australian BOM Report, some moderate-high wind shear in the mid levels is displacing the vortex from the overall convection with our LLC being just on the northernmost extent covered by some cirrus flow.
English
This is honestly one of the better environments I have seen in a while that Tropical Storm 29 could take advantage of, decreasing mid level shear with its track and very warm SSTs with a good subsurface profile and decent RH levels. definitely going to be one to watch. #hurricane
English
