Survation.

NEW: Iran Poll, what do 2024 voters think? The results from our latest poll on the ongoing conflict in Iran demonstrate the splits along party lines. We found: - Almost half (48%) of 2024 Reform UK voters support military action in Iran by the United States and Israel - A majority of Liberal Democrats and Greens, as well as progressives generally, oppose military action - Whilst a clear plurality of Labour voters (47%) oppose military action, Conservatives were split (37% oppose, 35% support) 🧵1/7

New analysis of our Gorton and Denton post-by-election poll for @DatapraxisEU is now in @LabourList👇 Key findings: - 60% of Goodwin voters had decided who they would vote for soon after the by-election was announced, compared to just 37% of Stogia's supporters and 44% of Spencer's - Reform UK voters were also more likely to be unwavering, with 70% never considering voting for another candidate during the campaign - Had Burnham been the Labour candidate, he could have won 43% of Spencer's votes and 17% of Goodwin's Our data suggests Labour's decision to block Burnham split the progressive vote, with major implications. Read more: labourlist.org/2026/03/the-by…

There is widespread public support for the BBC being given long-term protection, an opinion poll shared exclusively with PolHome suggests A new @Survation survey for campaign group 38 Degrees found backing for the BBC charter being put on a permanent footing across different voter and age groups Lisa Nandy this week said ending the BBC's 10-year renewal cycle would help protect it from "culture wars" politicshome.com/news/article/p…

Data tables are available here: cdn.survation.com/wp-content/upl… 7/7

On the other hand, half (51%) of respondents noted that they considered Iran to be justified to retaliate. By 2024 vote, we found: - A plurality of all voters thought they were justified to retaliate - Conservatives were most likely to say that they were justified to retaliate, but only against US and Israeli forces (45%) - Labour supporters were most likely to report that Iran was unjustified to retaliate (31%) - Green Party voters were most likely to say that retaliation was justified, including against targets in the wider Middle East (30%) 6/7

NEW: Iran Poll, what do 2024 voters think? The results from our latest poll on the ongoing conflict in Iran demonstrate the splits along party lines. We found: - Almost half (48%) of 2024 Reform UK voters support military action in Iran by the United States and Israel - A majority of Liberal Democrats and Greens, as well as progressives generally, oppose military action - Whilst a clear plurality of Labour voters (47%) oppose military action, Conservatives were split (37% oppose, 35% support) 🧵1/7

Data tables for our post Gorton & Denton study for @DatapraxisEU published in @NewStatesman are up on our archive: survation.com/archive/ map by @JoshHousden.

The rise of the undecided voter Exclusive polling shows how late the Gorton and Denton by-election was decided By @bnhwalker #Echobox=1773740970" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">newstatesman.com/politics/polli…

Get the data: Survation conducted an online poll of 1045 adults aged 18+ in the UK on their voting intentions. Fieldwork was conducted on the 5th of March 2026 Tables are available here: files.survation.com/s/FV20pJPQuCT2… 3/3

Reform lead Labour by 8 pt Labour have recovered from their lowest share in our latest poll, while the combined Lab/Con share remains under 40%. 2/3

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention RFM 29% (-2) LAB 21% (+2 CON 18% (-2) LD 10% (-2) GRN 12% (-) OTH 9% (+2) F/w 5 March 2026. Changes vs 30/01/2026 1/3

For a further discussion of the results: survation.com/public-mood-on… Data tables are available here: cdn.survation.com/wp-content/upl… 8/8

Looking ahead to the future for Iran: - 45% of the public believe we will see a situation similar to Iraq after 2003, with long-term instability - A quarter (26%) felt something different would come to pass, with the possibility of stable government 7/8

NEW: Iran Poll New Survation polling conducted yesterday shows that the public are sceptical towards US and Israeli actions, and do not want to see further UK involvement in the conflict. Over two-fifths (43%) think that US and Israeli action is unjustified, compared to 30% who do. Read more: survation.com/public-mood-on… 🧵1/8