Survation.

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention RFM 24% (-3) LAB 24% (+5) CON 21% (+1) LD 11% (-1) GRN 11% (=) SNP 3% (=) RB 2% (=) PC 2% (=) OTH 4% (=) F/w 10-14 July 2026. Changes vs 17/06/2026

Full analysis here: survation.com/labour-draw-le…

Get the data: Survation conducted an online poll of 2057 adults aged 18+ in the UK on their voting intentions. Fieldwork was conducted between 10th - 14th July 2026 Tables are available here: cdn.survation.com/wp-content/upl…

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention RFM 24% (-3) LAB 24% (+5) CON 21% (+1) LD 11% (-1) GRN 11% (=) SNP 3% (=) RB 2% (=) PC 2% (=) OTH 4% (=) F/w 10-14 July 2026. Changes vs 17/06/2026

Workers face a renewed cost of living squeeze as rising energy bills, stalling wage growth and a weakening labour market leave households exposed. New analysis finds just 22% of employers plan inflation-beating pay rises in 2026. Read (1/7): lancaster.ac.uk/work-foundatio…

We are hiring! Survation is looking for a Research Executive with at least one year’s experience working in a research environment to join our team. More info: survation.com/survation-is-r…

Read the full analysis: survation.com/buyers-remorse… 5/5

And the mood? Overwhelmingly negative. Of the words people used to describe Brexit, 82% were negative: "disaster," "mistake," "mess" topped the list. 4/5

NEW Survation poll of 10,024 people, 10 years after the Brexit referendum 🇬🇧 If a vote were held tomorrow: 55% would vote to Rejoin the EU vs 32% to stay out (13% undecided). Among decided voters, that's 63% Rejoin vs 37% Leave. 🧵 1/5 survation.com/buyers-remorse…

GET THE DATA Survation conducted a poll of 203 pub landlords on behalf of Greenpeace UK between the 1st - 22nd April 2026. Tables are available here: cdn.survation.com/wp-content/upl… 4/4

The pressure is showing in how pubs operate day to day. In the past 12 months: 89% have had to raise prices 75% have cut staff numbers or hours 62% have adjusted heating or electricity use 55% have delayed or reduced owner/manager pay 3/4

NEW Survation poll of pub landlords on behalf of @GreenpeaceUK as seen in @DailyMirror 47% of landlords say they're not confident their pub will survive the next 12 months. Of those, 2 in 3 think they've got less than a year left at current costs. 🍺🧵1/4

Makerfield result: LAB 54.8%, REF 34.5%, RES 6.8% CON 2.2%. Survation May 26th-1 Jun polling had Lab 49, Reform 39 - Labour lower by 6pts, Reform higher by 5pts. This was the "Burnham blow-out" as flagged on 16 June. The unweighted data recall clustered around Burnham's mayoral figure not the 2024 GE - and weighting back to GE PV suppressed Labour VI and inflated Reform across all pollsters. As warned, the unweighted numbers were closer to the truth!

A shared methodological puzzle across all Makerfield polls: unweighted Labour 2024 recall clusters nearer to the Burnham Mayoral figure (66%, Wigan), not the GE figure (45% for Josh). Weighting corrects to GE PV. But if the recalled vote isn't the GE vote, the correction misfires - suppressing Labour VI and inflating Reform. There's fighting talk from the PM today but what's the plan in the event of a complete Burnham blow-out?

Get the data: Survation conducted an online poll of 1003 adults aged 18+ in the UK on their voting intentions. Fieldwork was conducted between 11th - 15th June 2026 Tables are available here: cdn.survation.com/wp-content/upl… 3/3

There has been little movement over the past few months. Reform lead the Conservatives by 7 pt (27-20), with Labour currently sitting behind at 19 pt. 2/3

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention RFM 27% (-2) CON 20% (+2) LAB 19% (-3) LD 12%(+2) GRN 11%(-1) OTH 11% (+2) F/w 11-15 June 2026. Changes vs 08/03/2026 1/3