SwissWavey

1.4K posts

SwissWavey

SwissWavey

@SwissWavey

I make stuff up, don't believe anything I say.

Katılım Aralık 2021
96 Takip Edilen36 Takipçiler
SwissWavey
SwissWavey@SwissWavey·
@TmMudda Wishing you the very best. Good luck mate 🤞
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SwissWavey
SwissWavey@SwissWavey·
@LiveFPLnet I was seeing too many so I subscribed. I've been using your wonderful site for free for too long. I can afford it now, so it's the right thing to do 🙂
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SwissWavey
SwissWavey@SwissWavey·
@AdamClery Not in the slightest. The award is flawed and means close to nothing.
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Adam Clery
Adam Clery@AdamClery·
Going to do a video on the Ballon d'Or and need to vibe check something with people less weird than me, so... If Mo Salah retires without winning it, do you (you specifically) think that's a mark against his career? Like, does an individual award matter to his "legacy"?
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SwissWavey
SwissWavey@SwissWavey·
@LiveFPLnet Predicting the future is tough. Your model is the best at it. Predicting what humans are going to do in the future is even tougher, let people try to work that out for themselves! Great job mate, you should be proud 💪
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LiveFPL
LiveFPL@LiveFPLnet·
Thanks all for the support and sorry again Europe when you wake up that the model changed opinion very late. I am going to follow this recipe: 1- Not tweet much about price changes, the model is out there for everyone to see the current status for themselves 2- Even when many keep asking (which is the case every day), I will fight the temptation to tweet to inform all of what the current status is 3- I will remind people that the most accurate prediction is when all the data comes in, aka 15 minutes before change time, and that in any case, it shouldn't be treated as gospel 4- I will chill out and worry about other things, like the servers, costs and finishing mobile app 🤣 5- If anything, I should be proud that I built a free tool that is able to give objectively the best predictions in the market (thanks whatthef.pl for measuring it daily). So pleaaaaaase everyone, don't trust a prediction blindly. Good luck!
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LiveFPL
LiveFPL@LiveFPLnet·
I admit that this is a shortcoming of the prediction model. It is not nice for people who sleep early to miss any abrupt late prediction change like that (which are rare thankfully). But honestly what can I do when I rely on data that comes from FPL every hour to run a few machine learning algorithms (which take time to "crunch the numbers" and reach the optimized values). Every time, based on the new data, the algorithms assign different probabilities to transfers from the whole day (and sometimes from the whole week!) and adjust the model's parameters. Long story short, I am not considering this late change as a "win" per se as I understand the site was saying tomorrow for almost the whole day, and I understand this was misleading but it really was the info at that moment. Honestly running price change predictions is starting to be not very healthy for me personally, as I worry too much about people making decisions based on a wrong prediction. It's the reason I have not done this earlier (LiveFPL started in 2018, and only created this model in 2024), I knew I would be stressed out. In a night where 4 out of 4 predicted rises happened exactly, and 32 out of 34 true falls were predicted, I shouldn't be that stressed out but I am. A kind reminder that LiveFPL is just one person, one exhausted person 😄
LiveFPL@LiveFPLnet

A very late surge and the model now flipped the prediction to falling tonight.. 12 minutes left. Hope we're done with this uncertainty soon

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FPL Raptor (Ross)
FPL Raptor (Ross)@FPL__Raptor·
Are you selling Palmer this week? If so, who are you replacing him with?
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SwissWavey
SwissWavey@SwissWavey·
@LiveFPLnet Yeah, I spotted the "literally" that others don't have. I've refreshed and I'm still unique though 😁
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LiveFPL
LiveFPL@LiveFPLnet·
@SwissWavey Something is off in the picture, please refresh
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LiveFPL
LiveFPL@LiveFPLnet·
I expanded the clone feature to look for copies of your team in the top 9 million teams instead of the top million. Now it would be very rare if you don't find at least one match! The most duplicated team this round is attached with 8759 copies (with Palmer in the starting 11)
LiveFPL tweet mediaLiveFPL tweet media
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SwissWavey
SwissWavey@SwissWavey·
@FPL_TomHadley He'll be my 3rd sub. Doesn't matter who they are, defenders away to City are getting benched.
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Tom Hadley FPL
Tom Hadley FPL@FPL_TomHadley·
Tottenham have scored 12 goals in their last 4 away games against Man City! (More than against any other side away from home in that time) Porro also scored 14 points in the fixture last season… Yet here I am 😂 #FPL
Tom Hadley FPL tweet media
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SwissWavey
SwissWavey@SwissWavey·
Don't mind doing Rutter to him now, if it looks like a price rise is imminent, doesn't affect my plan.
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SwissWavey
SwissWavey@SwissWavey·
I might have to buy that Reijnders bloke. He looks tasty.
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SwissWavey
SwissWavey@SwissWavey·
I'm really happy with my team and have been for a few days. Provisionally looking at FH in gw5.
SwissWavey tweet media
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SwissWavey
SwissWavey@SwissWavey·
@fplvincenzo Best of luck mate 🤞. I've got double Liv and Che attack so you know I don't mean that 🤣
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FPL Vincenzo (Craig)
FPL Vincenzo (Craig)@fplvincenzo·
Looks like I’m bottling it & changing Hermansen to Petrovic. That means I’m playing defensive assets away to Liverpool & Chelsea in GW1. Best lower my expectations slightly
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Andy Martin
Andy Martin@fpl_tactician·
Save this post. Saka top fpl points scorer 25/26 season
GIF
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Andy Martin
Andy Martin@fpl_tactician·
Less than 48 hours until deadline so please feel free to come back to this post tomorrow or Friday. Give me 3 players who almost made your GW1 squad but haven’t. I enjoy seeing people’s regrets right from the get go.
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SwissWavey
SwissWavey@SwissWavey·
@fplvincenzo Only 2 players from most people's predicted top 4. I see you wildcarding early... Good luck! 🤞
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FPL Vincenzo (Craig)
FPL Vincenzo (Craig)@fplvincenzo·
Final shoutout for my FPL team reveal pod. Stayed true to myself & tried to approach it differently to others. Team different also as I have no Liverpool! Could be long night 🤣 Would appreciate the support to continue towards 500 subs on YouTube. youtu.be/6RasU0kw2Cc?si…
YouTube video
YouTube
FPL Vincenzo (Craig) tweet media
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SwissWavey
SwissWavey@SwissWavey·
@fpl_tactician People without Liverpool will want 3 Liverpool. I assume that's it. Lots of people who are big on City and with Haaland might want to FH in gw5 instead. Who knows why people do what they do? Leave them to it. You do you.
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Andy Martin
Andy Martin@fpl_tactician·
Why are people Free Hitting GW4 when those not on Free Hit, will also have a great team that week?
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SwissWavey
SwissWavey@SwissWavey·
@fpl_tactician Liverpool players at home isn't usually anything to worry too much about. Better to play them than bench or transfer.
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Andy Martin
Andy Martin@fpl_tactician·
Seeing a lot of managers with Liverpool players GW3 against Arsenal. Suboptimal
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