SwissWavey
1.4K posts

SwissWavey
@SwissWavey
I make stuff up, don't believe anything I say.
Katılım Aralık 2021
96 Takip Edilen36 Takipçiler

Hard map to win, but I believe in the back to back 1000 pointers
Trackmania Esports 2026@TMesports
The Elite Cup heads to France 2026 🇫🇷 Fast lanes, sharp turns, and no room for error. A fight for every millisecond awaits. 🎥 Watch the showcase below.
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@LiveFPLnet I was seeing too many so I subscribed. I've been using your wonderful site for free for too long. I can afford it now, so it's the right thing to do 🙂
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@AdamClery Not in the slightest. The award is flawed and means close to nothing.
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@LiveFPLnet Predicting the future is tough. Your model is the best at it. Predicting what humans are going to do in the future is even tougher, let people try to work that out for themselves!
Great job mate, you should be proud 💪
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Thanks all for the support and sorry again Europe when you wake up that the model changed opinion very late. I am going to follow this recipe:
1- Not tweet much about price changes, the model is out there for everyone to see the current status for themselves
2- Even when many keep asking (which is the case every day), I will fight the temptation to tweet to inform all of what the current status is
3- I will remind people that the most accurate prediction is when all the data comes in, aka 15 minutes before change time, and that in any case, it shouldn't be treated as gospel
4- I will chill out and worry about other things, like the servers, costs and finishing mobile app 🤣
5- If anything, I should be proud that I built a free tool that is able to give objectively the best predictions in the market (thanks whatthef.pl for measuring it daily).
So pleaaaaaase everyone, don't trust a prediction blindly.
Good luck!
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I admit that this is a shortcoming of the prediction model. It is not nice for people who sleep early to miss any abrupt late prediction change like that (which are rare thankfully). But honestly what can I do when I rely on data that comes from FPL every hour to run a few machine learning algorithms (which take time to "crunch the numbers" and reach the optimized values). Every time, based on the new data, the algorithms assign different probabilities to transfers from the whole day (and sometimes from the whole week!) and adjust the model's parameters.
Long story short, I am not considering this late change as a "win" per se as I understand the site was saying tomorrow for almost the whole day, and I understand this was misleading but it really was the info at that moment.
Honestly running price change predictions is starting to be not very healthy for me personally, as I worry too much about people making decisions based on a wrong prediction. It's the reason I have not done this earlier (LiveFPL started in 2018, and only created this model in 2024), I knew I would be stressed out. In a night where 4 out of 4 predicted rises happened exactly, and 32 out of 34 true falls were predicted, I shouldn't be that stressed out but I am.
A kind reminder that LiveFPL is just one person, one exhausted person 😄
LiveFPL@LiveFPLnet
A very late surge and the model now flipped the prediction to falling tonight.. 12 minutes left. Hope we're done with this uncertainty soon
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@LiveFPLnet Yeah, I spotted the "literally" that others don't have. I've refreshed and I'm still unique though 😁
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@FPL_TomHadley He'll be my 3rd sub. Doesn't matter who they are, defenders away to City are getting benched.
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Tottenham have scored 12 goals in their last 4 away games against Man City!
(More than against any other side away from home in that time)
Porro also scored 14 points in the fixture last season…
Yet here I am 😂
#FPL

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@fplvincenzo Best of luck mate 🤞. I've got double Liv and Che attack so you know I don't mean that 🤣
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@fplvincenzo Only 2 players from most people's predicted top 4. I see you wildcarding early... Good luck! 🤞
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Final shoutout for my FPL team reveal pod. Stayed true to myself & tried to approach it differently to others.
Team different also as I have no Liverpool! Could be long night 🤣
Would appreciate the support to continue towards 500 subs on YouTube.
youtu.be/6RasU0kw2Cc?si…

YouTube

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@fpl_tactician People without Liverpool will want 3 Liverpool. I assume that's it. Lots of people who are big on City and with Haaland might want to FH in gw5 instead. Who knows why people do what they do? Leave them to it. You do you.
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@fpl_tactician Liverpool players at home isn't usually anything to worry too much about. Better to play them than bench or transfer.
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