Tyler Cole

Weakest asset right now on my table is ETH lol. Anyone surprised?

Market still feels like a speculation phase with fast swings as investors FOMO momentum. Strong growth, AI spending and commodities keep risk appetite high while inflation stays elevated. Policy support and liquidity keep assets up yet volatility risk is increasing... Scary.

Momentum always tells an interesting story on a plethora of different timeframes.

MT Avg Score: -0.33 (- RoC) 📉 Long-Term BTC Trend: 0.13 (- RoC) 📈 Market Value Z-Score: 0.66🟢 ETH/BTC:🟠 SOL/ETH:🟣 SOL/BTC:🟠 Dominant Asset:🟠 Market Regime: Reflation Recommended Allocation: 100%💵 Last Allocation: 4/6/26 - 5/22/26 (+13.23%) *Not Financial Advice*

Macro conditions keep improving, liquidity is rising, yields are cooling, and smart money looks more bullish while retail stays fearful. BTC downside appears more limited here, while select altcoins may offer stronger upside. Calm and systematic>emotional trading.

TOTALES Avg Score - 0.44 (- RoC) 📈 Long-Term BTC Trend - 0.20 (No RoC) 📈 Market Value Z-Score -0.50 🟢 ETH/BTC - 🟠 SOL/ETH - 🟣 SOL/BTC - 🟠 Dominant Asset - 🟠 Market Regime - Reflation Recommended Allocation - 35%🟠 65% 💵 Allocated Since - 4/6/26 *Not Financial Advice*

TOTALES Avg Score - 0.56 (No RoC) 📈 Long-Term BTC Trend - 0.20 (- RoC) 📈 Market Value Z-Score -0.50 🟢 ETH/BTC - 🟠 SOL/ETH - 🟣 SOL/BTC - 🟠 Dominant Asset - 🟠 Market Regime - Reflation Recommended Allocation - 50%🟠 50% 💵 Allocated Since - 4/6/26 *Not Financial Advice*

@TedPillows @TedPillows Are you factoring in the extra drawdown we got in 2022 from the FTX collapse? Many onchain inputs would suggest we bottomed slightly before that. Not including blackswan events, wouldn’t you say another drawdown would be less significant (consider alpha decay too)?

You agree?

Market structure still leans bullish, but momentum is cooling and bond market stress keeps rising. Long term holders continue buying dips while macro liquidity remains supportive for BTC and Gold. Short term consolidation looks likely before another recovery attempt IMO.

TOTALES Avg Score - 0.56 (+RoC) 📈 Long-Term BTC Trend - 0.27 (- RoC) 📈 Market Value Z-Score -0.50 🟢 ETH/BTC - 🟠 SOL/ETH - 🟣 SOL/BTC - 🟠 Dominant Asset - 🟠 Market Regime - Reflation Recommended Allocation - 50%🟠 50% 💵 Allocated Since - 4/6/26 *Not Financial Advice*

TOTALES Avg Score - 0.50 (-RoC) 📈 Long-Term BTC Trend - 0.36 (No RoC) 📈 Market Value Z-Score -0.50 🟢 ETH/BTC - 🟠 SOL/ETH - 🟣 SOL/BTC - 🟠 Dominant Asset - 🟠 Market Regime - Reflation Recommended Allocation - 60%🟠 40% 💵 Allocated Since - 4/6/26 *Not Financial Advice*

Expecting Gold and Silver to turnover soon.

HYPE flipping SUI here. Let's see how long it lasts.

TOTALES Avg Score - 0.56 (No RoC) 📈 Long-Term BTC Trend - 0.36 (No RoC) 📈 Market Value Z-Score -0.50 🟢 ETH/BTC - 🟠 SOL/ETH - 🟣 SOL/BTC - 🟠 Dominant Asset - 🟠 Market Regime - Reflation Recommended Allocation - 70%🟠 30% 💵 Allocated Since - 4/6/26 *Not Financial Advice*

Momentum is telling a story here.

Overbought does not always mean a crash is coming, a lot of the time it just shows strong momentum. Staying too defensive can make traders miss the biggest moves. BTC trend structure, liquidity, and macro conditions still look constructive overall, even with short term fear.

MACRO: Real GDP (3mo): 3.3% (+RoC) CPI: 7.1% PPI: 6% FED Funds Rate: 3.75% FED Liquidity: Bullish US M2 Liquidity: Bullish PBOC Liquidity: Bearish Global Liquidity: Bullish DWCPF: Long (-RoC) NDX: Long (No Value, -RoC) SPX: Long (No Value, -RoC) XAUUSD: Short (-RoC)

TOTALES Avg Score - 0.56 (No RoC) 📈 Long-Term BTC Trend - 0.36 (No RoC) 📈 Market Value Z-Score -0.50 🟢 ETH/BTC - 🟠 SOL/ETH - 🟣 SOL/BTC - 🟠 Dominant Asset - 🟠 Market Regime - Reflation Recommended Allocation - 100%🟠 Allocated Since - 4/6/26 *Not Financial Advice*