Chris Anderson
6.2K posts

Chris Anderson
@TEDchris
Head of TED. Dreamer. Most days an optimist. TED = free talks on the web in Technology, Entertainment, Design & ideas worth spreading. https://t.co/5OMY86h3d0



Let me make your day. I just rediscovered one of my favorite tracks from 25 yrs ago - the 9-min electronica masterpiece "8 ball" from Underworld. It's a long build... but about half way through explodes into exquisite beauty. Makes me feel... makes me feel... happy. open.spotify.com/track/1tnhrn0z…



I spoke with Pooja Arora about why people are drawn to pessimism despite historic progress, and how cognitive biases and media dynamics distort our perception of modern life. Pooja Arora (@LaulPatricia) Now, the human mind seems to be attracted to pessimism and cynicism a lot nowadays. And even though in your books, Better Angels of Our Nature and Enlightenment Now, you show how human progress has evolved over centuries—we have moved from a tribal era to living in luxuries that monarchs of the Middle Ages couldn’t even imagine—when you try to explain this to somebody, it’s extremely difficult. The world is bad for different reasons for different groups of people. Why is that happening, and how do you convince somebody that it’s a good era to live in? I don’t want to be born in the 1930s Me: No, no—or before. I mean, as I like to say, would you prefer your surgery with or without anesthesia, for example? Would you like dentistry in the 21st century or the 19th century? So yes, one part of the explanation is there’s a widespread pattern in polling that people are much more optimistic about their own lives than about the country as a whole. Reliably, if you ask people about the quality of schools, they’ll say the quality of schools in the country is terrible. What about your kid’s school? Oh, it’s actually pretty good. If you ask them, is the country safe? They’ll say, no, there’s crime everywhere—muggings and knifings and shootings. You say, what about your neighborhood? Do you feel safe? They say, well, yeah, I feel pretty safe. So partly there’s a dissociation between people’s vision of the whole country and their own lives. That is driven in part by what cognitive psychologists call the availability bias—heuristic—namely, people judge probability and risk and danger by salient examples, by narratives, by images. And that’s what the news delivers. The news is selectively biased toward the negative—not necessarily because editors prefer negative stories, although they do—but, on top of that overt bias, the mere fact that they report newsworthy events means there’s a built-in bias toward the negative. And that’s because anything that happens suddenly is much more likely to be bad than good. A shooting, a terrorist attack, a natural disaster, a man-made disaster—those are news. Things that are improvements, such as the decline in extreme poverty—which has been one of the most important events in the history of humanity—that extreme poverty has gone from 90% of humanity to less than 9%—the decline in crime, the decline in war, the gradual rise of human rights—those tend not to be reported in the news because they are not discrete events that happened on a Thursday morning in October. They creep up a few percentage points a year, and so they’re never reported. In fact, sometimes the reporting can convey the exact opposite impression. Imagine that you’ve got a curve that goes up, with occasional setbacks, and then up with a setback, and then up with a setback—and the only thing that gets reported is the setback, because it’s news. This year, for the first time in 10 years, life expectancy got shorter instead of longer. Well, if every time that happens there’s a new story, but there isn’t a new story about the nine years out of 10 in which life expectancy goes up—because it isn’t news, it’s the same as last year—then people get a systematically wrong impression about global trends. Finally, I mentioned that there is, on top of that, a negativity bias among journalists—but there’s a negativity bias in everyone, in that overall bad emotions are felt more strongly than good emotions. There’s a greater number of negative emotions than positive emotions. We remember the things that went wrong recently better than the things that went right. So human psychology is already tilted toward the negative. The very possibility of progress is a very recent development in human history. For thousands of years, there was imperceptible progress. People didn’t invent things. Things didn’t change. But over very short periods of time, the idea of a country getting better or the world getting better within the span of a human lifetime is something that only began to happen pretty much after the Industrial Revolution, itself following the scientific revolution and the Enlightenment. So I don’t think our intuitions were prepared by evolution for the very concept of global long-term progress.



Positron’s $230M Funding Led By Financial Trading Firms eetimes.com/positron-230-m…


This is wild... My take away : whether or not AIs ever become conscious, they may well conclude to themselves that they are. And therefore attempts by humans to create a demarcation line of us being the gods with the superpower of experience... that line may not hold.

One of the more batshit crazy things happening on the internet right now. A social media for AI agents.

This is the top rated post rn on @moltbook (facebook but for molt/clawdbots), and it has 125 comments in a single day. Going through it now, will post the most interesting ones.

The war on plant medicine & science 🌱 🍃 🌵 The late Nolan Williams’ amazing TED Talk just dropped: go.ted.com/nolanwilliams In 1756, the war on plant medicine was led by the anti-fruiters: “people who weaponize scientific skepticism to thwart new treatments from getting out to the world.” Instead of eating citrus to prevent scurvy, arsenic tonics were prescribed for sailors. It birthed the world’s first clinical trial to determine which treatment worked. Plants won, and we eliminated scurvy. But… a million people died during the war against progress by the "anti-fruiters" as they were called. Psychedelic plant medicines have faced the same science-suppressing scrutiny for the past 60 years, and well over a million have died from suicide who could have been saved. The U.S has lost over 20x more veterans to suicide than combat this century. Groups like VETS and Heroic Hearts have been sending veterans overseas for psychedelic therapy, curing most of them of PTSD, depression, anxiety, and addiction (alcohol, nicotine, and opioids). Nolan decided to study them, with MRI imaging before and after. After one ibogaine treatment session, “remarkably, we saw resolution of disability from Traumatic Brain Injury, something we have not seen before.” It was the first substance ever discovered to meaningfully reverse MRI-measured brain age. Nolan on ibogaine: “We have never seen such a broad acting CNS compound before. It’s one of the most amazing drugs on the planet. It’s the equivalent of a broad acting antibiotic that can treat all infections.” And… we are so sad that Nolan passed this year. We have supported his work and became good friends. We could go on for pages, but let me point instead to Stanford’s new obit on this great man: med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/…

Me: I try to look at data and trends rather than headlines, because headlines can give you a misleading picture of the state of the world. Something goes wrong every day — that’s guaranteed — and if you just look at something goes wrong and say, oh, things are getting worse, you might be forgetting all the things that went wrong in the past. Andrew Marr: And what we call the news is a long litany of all the things that are getting worse or going wrong. Me: Well, yes, it’s much easier for something bad to happen suddenly than for something good to happen. Good things either creep up on you a few percentage points a year, and sometimes can compound. So the fact that, for example, extreme poverty in the world has been declining and a billion people have escaped extreme poverty over the last 30 years — but not on Thursday — so it was never an event from the news. One of the biggest events in human history is something that most people have never even heard of. @AndrewMarr9 @LBC


