Travis Rothell

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Travis Rothell

Travis Rothell

@TRothell62855

Political Affiliation: No Bullshit Party

Boca Raton, FL Katılım Ekim 2025
37 Takip Edilen377 Takipçiler
Travis Rothell
Travis Rothell@TRothell62855·
@PBDsPodcast Job losses are mostly attributed to economic conditions not AI. With Oil up for a sustained period it’s about to get a lot worse
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PBD Podcast
PBD Podcast@PBDsPodcast·
“A SCARY Time For Jobs” - Job Market COLLAPSES As Pay Cuts Surge & AI Replaces Workers
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Travis Rothell
Travis Rothell@TRothell62855·
@WhiteHouse One hour negotiations are going well, the next hour we are destroying them. What is actually fucking happening?
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The White House
The White House@WhiteHouse·
Crush their missiles and drone stockpiles. Destroy their defense industrial base. Wipe out Iran's military capabilities. "It's a display of force and precision and skill like nothing the world has really witnessed." - President Donald J. Trump 🇺🇸
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Travis Rothell
Travis Rothell@TRothell62855·
@PBDsPodcast He’s trying to bring oil down so they don’t get crushed in midterms. Which they absolutely will lose due to this mishandling. You’re confusing desperation with intelligence.
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PBD Podcast
PBD Podcast@PBDsPodcast·
“Boots On The Ground This Sunday” - Insider WARNS Trump Deploying Troops To Iran
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Nancy Pelosi Stock Tracker ♟
Someone buy this man a beer “What’s your message to Congress?” “Fire ‘em all. My flight leaves in 16 minutes”
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Travis Rothell
Travis Rothell@TRothell62855·
@DanielSyck @firewill65 @pulte It’s starting to feel that way. It’s really pretty appalling. They’re going to get smoked in midterms and that is sad because things started out on track.
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Roger Stone
Roger Stone@RogerJStoneJr·
President Trump has released all of his medical records including a cognitive test which was perfect, Let Governor Fatass release HIS medical records newsbusters.org/blogs/nb/steve…
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Travis Rothell
Travis Rothell@TRothell62855·
@EricLDaugh He’s worth $400 million and he’s telling Americans that are struggling to chill out. He is not facing the same reality that 80% of America is facing.
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Eric Daugherty
Eric Daugherty@EricLDaugh·
🚨 JUST IN: Kevin O'Leary tells everyone panicking about President Trump, oil and Iran to CHILL OUT because this may end up a GENERATIONAL victory for America "Everybody, chillax, let this thing play out! There is a REALLY big opportunity here, a HUGE one, and everybody gets the upside, including all our trading partners." "I just see it for what it is: it's history being made." "We work this out? We're selling stuff to Saudi Arabia, UAE, Asia, Japan, this is a HUGE opportunity." 🔥 "To affect the economy...you need oil at above $93 for 3 MONTHS. We're only 1/3rd into it." He nailed it! Let Trump execute the plan.
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Travis Rothell
Travis Rothell@TRothell62855·
I used @Grok to generate these slides I just noticed a misspelling in the last slide. When they say AI is going to take jobs. We are a ways away, it’s pretty awful with grammar and spelling.
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Travis Rothell
Travis Rothell@TRothell62855·
It’s basic variable change. The way a system is exploited is as follows. 1.Static communication path - same servers infrastructure 2.Meta data - messages hitting devices 3.password & encryption keys don’t change. - if messages never go to a device - every conversation changes servers and countries - encryption keys constantly change Every variable constantly changing makes penetration nearly impossible.
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Travis Rothell
Travis Rothell@TRothell62855·
Tonight concludes the short series on $FNMA $FMCC I know I’ve hit on some unpopular topics—statists people don’t like hearing. But facts are facts. Trump, who I voted for, has done a complete 180 from his campaign. That’s disappointing, and honestly, it’s wild how many people just ignore the numbers. I remain hopeful he will do the right thing with Fannie and Freddie. @POTUS @BillAckman @pulte @PBDsPodcast @patrickbetdavid @WhiteHouse @SecScottBessent @howardlutnick
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Patrick Bet-David
Patrick Bet-David@patrickbetdavid·
Nick Shirley is the kind of young man we need more of. He’s Tough He’s Relentless He confronts respectfully He’s Fearless He’s Brave He Loves America He’s a Man of faith He’s Humble yet driven. We need to continue to encourage & support young brave men like him.
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Travis Rothell
Travis Rothell@TRothell62855·
@patrickbetdavid Scott Bessent recovered 75 million of the supposed 9 billion in fraud. The treasury claims billion were wired to Africa Except YOU should know that isn’t possible based on SARs reports and Wire Transfer requirements But you continue this narrative.
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Bill Ackman
Bill Ackman@BillAckman·
A number of press reports have characterized our and other shareholders’ efforts on behalf of Fannie and Freddie (F2) as seeking a ‘gift’ or ‘handout’ from the government. We, the shareholders of F2, seek no such thing. Hundreds of financial institutions were bailed out during the GFC by the U.S. Treasury. Nearly all of the financial institution bailouts during the GFC involved an injection of capital in the form of senior preferred stock by Treasury at an interest rate of 5%, plus warrants to acquire common stock in an amount equal to 15% of the face amount of the preferred with an exercise price at the then-current stock price of the rescued institution. For example, Treasury’s preferred stock investment in Goldman Sachs was in an amount of $10 billion and, in addition, Treasury received warrants on $1.5 billion of GS' common stock at its then market price. The bailout terms for F2 were materially more burdensome and expensive, with a higher interest rate and substantially more warrant coverage, than that of every other financial institution (other than those of AIG whose terms were similar). Despite the F2 bailouts’ massively more burdensome terms, shareholders are not complaining about the original terms. Treasury invested $193 billion in F2 in the form of senior preferred stock (SPS), including funding for $2 billion of commitment fees, with a 10% coupon (twice that of the banks). Treasury also received warrants on 79.9% of both companies’ outstanding shares. Fannie and Freddie have since repaid Treasury $301 billion, which includes interest on the SPS at a blended rate of 11.6%, an interest rate which is 160 basis points more per annum, and have returned the entire $193 billion of outstanding principal, $25 billion in excess of what was contractually owed. In summary, the F2 SPS has been fully repaid according to its original contractual terms plus an extra $25 billion. Despite the fact that the SPS has been more than repaid in full, Fannie and Freddie have not accounted for these payments on their respective balance sheets, and the $193 billion of SPS remains an outstanding liability as if no principal payments had ever been made. How can it be, you might ask, if indeed F2 have repaid $301 billion to Treasury when only $276 billion was due could there be any remaining balance of the SPS on the F2 balance sheets? The answer relates to something called the ‘Net Worth Sweep (NWS).’ During the second term of the Obama administration, on August 12, 2012, two quarters after F2 returned to profitability, Treasury announced that it was unilaterally amending the terms of the SPS stock to provide that Treasury would take 100% of the profits of F2 each quarter in lieu of the 10% annual dividend rate. This was not a negotiated resolution with F2. It was a unilateral amendment of the original terms of the SPS that was done in bad faith. The supposed rationale for the amended terms of the SPS was akin to the IRS garnishing the wages of someone who will never be able to pay the taxes that they owe. That is, the Treasury said F2 will never be able to pay the 10% coupon, let alone the SPS’ $193 billion principal balance, so it decided instead to ‘settle’ for 100% of F2’s profits forever. In discovery, shareholders learned that the stated justification for the amendment was false. In mid 2012, the Obama administration had come to learn that both companies would soon be reversing tens of billions of reserves on their balance sheets as housing values had increased and the reserves taken during the GFC had been excessive. The NWS was instituted by Obama to forestall F2 from forever being able to recapitalize and be released from conservatorship. The NWS was not a ‘settlement’ for a lesser amount of future payments. It was the outright theft of the forever profits of both companies. Never before or since has the government ‘swept’ 100% of the profits of any company, let alone a financial institution in conservatorship, a form of government intervention where the goal is rehabilitation of the institution, and where the hierarchy of corporate claims has always been respected. The accounting for the NWS payments while it was in effect (until Secretary Mnuchin terminated the NWS in Trump’s first term) was also unusual. The NWS was treated by F2 as a quarterly adjustment to the dividend rate on the SPS such that the dividend amount owed was made equal to the after-tax profits of F2 for that quarter with no limitation. In other words, regardless of the amount of profit F2 generated for the quarter – whether or not it was in excess of the original 10% annual dividend – the dividend payable under the NWS was made equal to the quarterly profit. The absurd terms of the NWS sweep therefore made it impossible for any partial or full repayment of the SPS to take place as every dollar paid to the Treasury on the amended terms of the SPS was considered a dividend payment, even if the amount was massively in excess of the original contractual SPS terms. The absurdity of the NWS was made clear just two quarters after the NWS went into effect. Fannie Mae generated a profit of $59 billion in the first quarter of 2013, and the SPS dividend rate for that quarter was set at $59 billion so the entire amount was swept to the government, more than 10 times the contractual dividend rate. I had the opportunity to discuss F2 and the NWS with Warren Buffett about a decade ago and he said that he “couldn’t believe what the government had done.” In short, the shareholders of F2 are simply asking the government to respect the original and highly burdensome terms of the SPS. There is no dispute that Treasury has received more than the original 10% coupon and full repayment of principal of the SPS, that is, an extra $25 billion. We and the millions of other shareholders of F2 are simply asking the administration to honor the original SPS terms and properly account for the $301 billion of payments, thereby eliminating the SPS liability from both companies’ balance sheets. Shareholders have not asked for the extra $25 billion to be returned to the two companies. Treasury can decide whether to keep those funds or return them to the companies. Accounting for the repayment of the SPS has other important implications. Namely, it is critically important that conservatorships respect the rule of law, in particular, the contractual terms of corporate instruments and the hierarchy of claims. Otherwise, no financial institution that gets into trouble will be able to raise rescue capital in the private markets. Notably, the treatment of F2 in conservatorship explains why Silicon Valley Bank and other recent large bank failures since the GFC were unable to raise private capital and avoid government intervention or a forced sale to J.P. Morgan. If the government with the stroke of a pen during conservatorship can at a whim wipe out common and preferred shareholders, no one is going to step in to try to save a financial institution that gets into trouble, and only the top few banks will be possible rescuers of big banks that fail. Furthermore, because of F2’s history, their reputation in the capital markets has been greatly damaged. F2 raised $22 billion of preferred stock in the year or so prior to conservatorship as the government pressed both companies to raise capital. Institutions were willing to invest billions of dollars of capital into both institutions before they failed because, based on all precedent conservatorships, the contractual terms of all financial instruments and the hierarchy of claims had been preserved. Unfortunately, in light of the precedent of the net worth sweep, no investor can be confident that they won’t be wiped out in a future conservatorship so none has been willing to take the risk. Some have proposed that Treasury simply convert the SPS into junior preferred and common stock and massively dilute shareholders. Putting aside the potential legal challenges to this approach, the result will be that Treasury will at best own something approaching 95% of both companies rather than 79.9%. While the government’s percentage ownership stake would be larger in the SPS conversion approach, the value of the government’s larger stake would be considerably lower as the companies would become un-investable. Who would invest in F2 alongside the government when they just wiped out the previous owners? In the SPS conversion scenario, the government’s stake, at best, if it could be sold, would trade at a massively discounted valuation, well below the value of the government's stake if Treasury retained only its contracted for 79.9% stake and respected the original terms of the SPS. In other words, a slightly smaller ownership stake of much more highly valued companies would equate to considerably more value for Treasury and taxpayers. In a public letter to Rand Paul after his first term in November of 2021, President Trump recognized that the net worth sweep was theft from the shareholders of Fannie and Freddie. He wrote: “Another Obama/Biden scam in legal trouble was when they allowed the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) to steal the retirement savings of hardworking Americans who had invested in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac…The idea that the government can steal money from its citizens is socialism and is a travesty brought to you by the Obama/Biden administration. My Administration was denied the time it needed to fix this problem because of the unconstitutional restriction on firing Mel Watt. It has to come to an end and courts must protect our citizens.” I couldn’t have said it better than President Trump. Now that you have the time, Mr. President, let’s Stop the Steal!
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Fox News
Fox News@FoxNews·
NEW: White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt issues a new warning to the Iranian regime and all of America’s enemies: “President Trump does not bluff, and he is prepared to unleash hell.”
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Travis Rothell
Travis Rothell@TRothell62855·
@realtordotcom The Administration not freeing $FNMA $FMCC is absolutely unacceptable. Trump has done a complete 180 on his campaign promises.
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Realtor.com
Realtor.com@realtordotcom·
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have begun placing large orders to purchase mortgage-backed securities, following President Trump's directive earlier this year to buy up $200 billion in mortgage bonds to help drive down rates, Bloomberg reports. The impact remains uncertain given the scale of the market: commercial banks hold about $2.7 trillion in MBS and the Federal Reserve still holds more than $2 trillion in mortgage bonds.
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