Noname
15 posts



BREAKING $HIMS Short Manipulation detected🚨 I was right, short sellers are not leaving. They will be here until they can't. They been manipulating price action for 18 trading days now, excluding today. The reason is simple, they see the risk of massive upside, and they want to tame the enthusiasm. They are lucky that sentiment on macro is mad bearish atm, yet $HIMS is holding very well even with massive short selling pressure. At the end of the day, they are trying to prevent that $5-$10B losses or unlimited loss potential. At some point, they will be forced to covered, and that is when you see crazy 30-50-100% gain in a day or 2 days. I have shares with no call option. Time is on my side Long Term. Short sellers should be ready to be clapped! Not Financial Advice.


TOM LEE: WE’RE 90–95% THROUGH THE SELL OFF “I’d buy the market today.” That’s the call right now. It all comes down to positioning. 🔹 VIX: above 30 🔹 AII sentiment: bulls minus bears ~-20 🔹 Goldman: hedge fund selling = capitulation 🔹 Since 1900: markets bottom early in wars (~first 10%) Too many investors have already de-risked. When positioning gets this neutral, the market doesn’t need good news. Just less bad news to trigger a V-shaped recovery.



OPENAI: I WAS WRONG I finally came around on OpenAI. I reviewed @sama letter after they closed their recent financing round. OpenAI is a truly generational company. Sam Altman is a Great Leader that the next generation of founders should exemplify. Thank you, Sam, for all that you do each day and every day.



🧵1/2 $RZLV — I said I'd read the 20-F and listen to the earnings call. I did both. Here's my full concerns audit. For context: I've been publicly tracking $RZLV for months, posted detailed concerns, engaged directly with @realDanWagner, set specific goalposts before earnings, and now I'm scoring every open item against the actual SEC filing and yesterday's call. Let's go concern by concern. 1- GAAP REVENUE CREDIBILITY "Concern: Was the $40M+ guidance real?" ✅ RESOLVED. $46.8M GAAP revenue filed in the 20-F with the SEC. H2 delivered $40.5M vs H1's $6.3M. December alone: $19.4M. this is in the audited financials, not a press release metric. Beat guidance by 17%. On the call, Dan confirmed: "$19.4M December MRR is actually in our 20-F. This is an audited number." The biggest concern from my original analysis is now backed by an SEC filing. This one is closed. 2- AUDIT OPINION & GOING CONCERN "Concern: Clean audit or qualifications?" FLAGGED. The 20-F contains BOTH a going concern disclosure AND material weaknesses in internal controls. Here's what I found: Going Concern: The filing states "certain conditions and events raise substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern." HOWEVER, management then states the $250M January raise plus existing cash "provides sufficient runway for at least the next twelve months" and believes this alleviates the doubt. Material Weaknesses: Management identified four specific weaknesses: • No formal consolidation system (now implementing ERP) • Insufficient review of subsidiary financial reporting • Inadequate segregation of duties in accounting • Weak controls over business combinations, asset management, tax, and close process Critically, management states: "Notwithstanding the identified material weaknesses, the combined consolidated financial statements fairly present, in all material respects, the Company's financial position." My take: Going concern language with $111M cash + $250M just raised is standard for high growth companies burning cash. The material weaknesses are more concerning . They're admitting their internal controls weren't adequate during a year of rapid acquisitions. They're remediating (ERP system, new finance teams from Crownpeak/Reward), but these won't be resolved until controls operate effectively for a "sufficient period." This is a yellow flag, not a red flag, but it means the numbers could be subject to future revision. 3-ORGANIC VS ACQUIRED REVENUE "Concern: How much growth is real vs bought?" ✅ ADDRESSED ON CALL. Dan provided the clearest breakdown yet: • GroupBy: $18M ARR contribution • Crownpeak: ~$70M ARR (acquired December 2025) • Combined acquisitions: ~$90M of the $232M ARR exit • Remaining ~$142M: organic and partnerships He explicitly said: "The $360M does not include new acquisitions." This is the first time we've gotten this level of granularity. Two thirds organic/partnership vs one third acquired is a much healthier mix than bears assumed. 4-RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS / DBLP SEA COW "Concern: $93.9M flowing to CEO's Seychelles entity" PARTIALLY ADDRESSED. The 20-F confirms: • DBLP Sea Cow Ltd is wholly legally owned by Daniel Wagner • The Bluedot Acquisition from DBLP is disclosed as a related party transaction (819,736 shares issued) • In 2025, the company settled $6M in debt to DBLP ($5M cash + 0.8M shares) • There's a rolling consultancy agreement with DBLP paying $20K $50K/month since 2016 • P&L shows ~$79.3M in total related-party costs across sales/marketing and G&A • Share based compensation to related parties: $5.325M in 2025 (down massively from $63M in 2024) The Reward acquisition specifically: Wagner was previously a director of Reward but resigned before the deal and held no shares. The 20-F states it "did not constitute a related party transaction." My take: The related party costs dropped dramatically YoY ($5.3M vs $63M), which is a major improvement. The DBLP consultancy agreement is still active but small. The Bluedot deal remains questionable in principle but immaterial in dollar terms relative to the current scale. This concern has significantly diminished but isn't fully closed the rolling DBLP consultancy needs to end as the company institutionalizes. 5- GOVERNANCE & HEADCOUNT "Concern: 61 employees, dual Chairman/CEO, golden share" ✅ ADDRESSED. On the call, Dan stated: "We now operate out of 32 offices globally with a world-class team of over 1,000 employees." The annual report names executives from Microsoft, Google, Visa, Accenture, Tata Digital, and Deutsche Telekom.


$RZLV reports H2 and full year 2025 earnings Monday before the bell. This is the one that matters. After months of guidance, press releases, and promises — we finally get audited numbers. Here's what I'm watching: 1. Audited GAAP Revenue Management guided $40M+ for full year 2025. H1 was $6.3M. That means H2 needs to show ~$34M — a massive acceleration. December alone was guided at $17M+. Did it actually land? Show me the bridge. 2. Audit Opinion Clean and unqualified, or are there qualifications? This single line matters more than any number on the P&L. A going-concern flag or material weakness disclosure would be devastating. 3. Cash Position Post Reward They raised $250M in January at $4.00/share, then spent $230M on Reward weeks later. What's left? Working capital deficit was $71.1M as of June 2025. I need to see a credible liquidity runway. 4. ARR to GAAP Conversion The $209M ARR exit claim has been the bull case and the bear case simultaneously. Monday we find out how much of it converted to recognized revenue under ASC 606. The gap between ARR and GAAP is the credibility gap. 5. Related-Party Disclosures I'll be reading the footnotes carefully. The $93.9M in share based payments to DBLP Sea Cow and the Bluedot transaction details need full transparency in the annual filing. 6. Segment Breakdown With GroupBy, Crownpeak, and now Reward in the mix — how much revenue is organic vs. acquired? Even a high-level split would go a long way. What would make me more bullish: ✅ $40M+ GAAP confirmed with clean audit ✅ Clear cash runway through 2026 ✅ Evidence of organic growth beyond acquisitions ✅ A real earnings call with open Q&A — not just a press release What would concern me: 🚩 GAAP revenue materially below $40M 🚩 Audit qualifications or restatements 🚩 Cash burn rate suggesting near term dilution 🚩 No earnings call scheduled I've been covering this stock for months, engaged directly with the CEO @realDanWagner , and laid out my concerns publicly. Monday is where narrative meets reality. Long and watching. $RZLV @RezolveAi




Don't miss @fundstrat's Tom Lee live on @CNBCClosingBell with @ScottWapnerCNBC at 3:35pm ET🔔

IRAN'S PRESIDENT PEZESHKIAN: WE'RE READY TO END WAR, BUT WANT GUARANTEES.









