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TakuriOracle
590 posts

TakuriOracle
@TakuriOracle
Aspiring Trader with a bullish style. Professional knife catcher and proud member of the tits gang. Welcome to my trading/memeing journey.
Katılım Mayıs 2024
109 Takip Edilen206 Takipçiler


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@buythefukndip @ryancohen Dam bro fell off , people got tired of ur shit engagement posts
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OK. SO....#GME $GME
80% chance to go to 24.91 now on the 4 hour by open and closing above the .236. we got the inverted head and shoulders on the 30 min to 23.61. a daily mean reversion to 23.86. and the top of the bollinger bands is now above that .382. As well as a daily rsi channel mid build.... We are also back inside the daily ichimoku cloud. and with all of that. the poly market bets start to make a little since eh? you guys got any more of that super cool confluence? i heard something about a td 7 too..... if I'm wrong, I'm wrong and ill be the first to admit it. but I'm feeling a little bit of bullish confluence heading to the 25 mark again. @Comedyorwat @michaeljburry @buythefukndip @LeBananito @jimcramer @BlobMarleyy @Carltheninja1 @UTGTrading @byebyeshorters @AustinTobitt


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@AustinTobitt Hey that’s cool bro everyone’s got their style! I like bands, macd, rsi, Ichimoku, hull, and PSAR! I also like to use patterns too. What are the kelts?
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@TakuriOracle Some Bollinger Bands / Kelts, a good RSI / momentum indicator, and MACD. Not much other than that
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@sneak_69420 @SwamiKnows_ Yep. Expect the worst. Buy weekly’s for the best
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@SwamiKnows_ Usually we go in to earnings looking overbought here we see the opposite it's pretty interesting and I agree it looks more like a pump than a dump tomorrow. Cautiously optimistic.
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GME Earnings tomorrow - this is my uninformed opinion, I'm not an expert. But it makes sense to me based on what I've learned the last 18 months.
GME shorts need to roll their obligations regularly. There's a delicate game of "closing" at lows and "re-opening" at highs in order to roll. GME has been low vol since June 2025, with put and call selling pinning price - not good for the swap roll strategy. Why?
A simple way of looking at it is to look at price spikes that sell off immediately for the last year. I think those are the fake pumps to re-open at a better cost basis for the roll. But with option selling crushing vol, those price spikes get much more expensive to produce ironically because every move is easier to absorb for market makers. The cash floor has also prevented the dumps into the teens which were happening in 2023 and 2024 up until May. So, profit is being reduced (due to the floor) and re-entry price cost basis is getting worse and worse.
I looked at the spike->sell off days for the last year, took the VWAP for that day and the volume for that day, and added up the notional value of all those swap roll days, and divided it by the volume for those days. The VWAP for Swap Roll days came out to $25.95. Price is at ~$23 - that's a thin profit. This is an oversimplification but I think has directional merit. Just look at the movement of the stock since 2021 and you see this pattern.
They need the stock launched tomorrow, IMO. End of the fiscal/calendar quarter, earnings are always prime for rolls because of the heightened liquidity. They would then re-open the roll at whatever price is tomorrow and keep the shell game going. Will they get it? Probably. But maybe they won't - GameStop Q4 and full year YoY revenue likely decreased materially and they have an ugly looking loss on Bitcoin holdings. Maybe something else in the news happens (macro or specific to GME, doesn't matter) that prevents price from being launched. There may also be a factor that because the prior swap rolls have averaged around $26 cost basis, and the roll is still in limbo, that they can only launch it so high without triggering margin calls. That would make the situation even more tenuous.
So, what happens if they can't roll tomorrow? How long will their counterparties allow the position to hang in limbo? They'd likely need to wait until May or June for another liquidity event. But what if a macro / credit event occurs in between that forces a margin call? Scary. Also, to me, it looks like there was a failed roll spanning the period of Dec 2023 to May 2024. After that Nov 2023 volume spike, volume was low and March earnings had a relatively minor spike and volume was too low to be a major roll. So what happened then? Price was forced down into the end of April, possibly in preparation for what may have been a margin call that was one of the catalysts for the May 2024 squeeze.
I'm probably wrong, don't buy or sell anything based on my speculation, but interesting to think about.
Also, if you've been following what I've been saying recently, if what I described above has been intentional, it could be the contra-indicator to me being right. Cheers

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Hey hey #GME $GME Back in the clouds a day before earnings! That aint nothin! @Comedyorwat @buythefukndip @LeBananito @byebyeshorters @UTGTrading @BlobMarleyy @Carltheninja1

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@michaeljburry Hey Dr. Mike! Did you ever listen to Gorguts back in the early 90’s? Feel like you might enjoy!
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@Leroy1691817 @UTGTrading @Comedyorwat @colin_gladman Damn your mouth must be sore from sucking all that dick little bro.
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The guy (@Comedyorwat ) might be a fucking crackhead. But he cares, and teaches, and makes you a better trader. He doesn’t hand you shit and makes you work for it. So if you truly want it, go get it.
Oh and also he doesn’t do a monthly membership 💅

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