

Bruce Poole
155 posts

@TargetedWealth
Helping hundreds of investors hedge against uncertainty with strategic insights into the commodities supercycle I Capital growth I Five decades of experience 🪙























Nothing good happens when 2-year yields move above 4% with debt levels this high. Unpopular view: The Fed is probably closer to easing than tightening with the way the Treasury market has been behaving recently. tavicosta.substack.com/p/macro-update…



The Congress “Gold Price” The Treasury books its 261.5 million ounces of gold at $42.22 per ounce. ▪️ That's the price Congress set in 1973. At $4,600 today, That's ~$1.2 trillion of unrecognized asset sitting in the ledger. On the All-In Podcast in March 2025, Secretary Bessent admitted he had considered cashing it in. Then walked it back in the same breath. Five months later... A Federal Reserve principal economist published a paper on the Fed’s own website Analyzing exactly how a revaluation would work. Governments don’t commission how-to papers on transactions they aren’t studying.


The mainstream treats 5%+ Treasury yields as temporary headline noise. They are completely blind to a structural mathematical bottleneck. With ~$13 Trillion in U.S. debt forcing a refinance over the next 12 months, our average interest rate is violently marching toward the 5% Flashpoint. At a $40T debt load, that means $2 Trillion a year just for interest—dwarfing Social Security, Medicare, and Defense. 🏛️📉





Silver lease rates just hit 6.8% annualized in London. Most people don't know what that means. Here is the explanation: A lease rate is what borrowers pay to access physical silver for industrial use. When rates are low — 0.5% — silver is abundant and easy to borrow. When rates hit 6.8% — borrowers are paying a massive premium because physical silver is genuinely scarce. 6.8% is a stress signal. At the end of May, June COMEX silver futures hit their first notice day. Institutional buyers can demand physical delivery instead of cash settlement. With silver in its 6th consecutive year of supply deficits and 95 million ounces having left the US in just the first 2 months of 2026 — physical delivery pressure is building. $SIL $PAAS $HL $AG $WPM

The Congress “Gold Price” The Treasury books its 261.5 million ounces of gold at $42.22 per ounce. ▪️ That's the price Congress set in 1973. At $4,600 today, That's ~$1.2 trillion of unrecognized asset sitting in the ledger. On the All-In Podcast in March 2025, Secretary Bessent admitted he had considered cashing it in. Then walked it back in the same breath. Five months later... A Federal Reserve principal economist published a paper on the Fed’s own website Analyzing exactly how a revaluation would work. Governments don’t commission how-to papers on transactions they aren’t studying.
