Ted Zhang

Full episode out NOW with @RichardMoglen! I’m glad and grateful to be apart of his and @TraderLion first ever in-person podcast. Let me know what you think! youtu.be/HAN1kymVbTc

Polymaths in this era will be undefeated

$PL gapping up into all-time highs again following record revenues, blacklog surged to 79% YoY and $900 mill positive free cash flow. It is a later stage gap as Planet Labs has gapped the past three quarters, but could be worth a try. Gappers have been working.

@NickSchmidt Have you seen this before Nick?

@TedHZhang Pretty crazy

From my own short 6 year career and talking to people who have been in the markets for decades, this is some of the most bifurcated action between indexes and leading stocks. $SPX closed below the 200-day today. Meanwhile we have memory $SNDK $MU Optics $TSEM $CIEN $LITE $COHR $GLW $VIAV acting the way they are.

Quote of the Day: "Markets are never wrong - opinions often are." - Jesse Livermore

Perplexity Computer now connects to your health apps, wearable devices, lab results, and medical records. Build personalized tools and applications with your health data, or track everything in your health dashboard.

Everyone is talking about Trump TACOing. What if he can’t? What if we are too committed now? There is a 57% chance the US sends ground troops in by 2027. Crude is holding up and back over $100 a barrel.

An important cycle to know for growth stocks. H/T: @markminervini

Surge in oil prices (especially if sustained) has high probability of leading to a recession.

@HarrySR19 It dropped nearly 50% from 150 to 85, and it's up 13% from 150. Big move 🤯

@TedHZhang You called 32 and it went from 88 to 217..

$NVDA is currently 15% off its highs. Don't be surprised if it falls 50%+ at some point.

@qdevos Study this and study history of leaders

@TedHZhang 😴 tired of this bear posting

with one prompt and asking for FRED, BLS, CBO data, I added Core CPI, PPI and PCE. I also added a feature so that I can see a historical line chart of key values

Summary of the current macroeconomic conditions by my macro intelligence dashboard created by @perplexity_ai Computer. I love this thing. Bottom line: Stagflation risk is now the dominant macro theme. The FOMC held at 3.50%--3.75% (11-1) with the dot plot median unchanged at one cut, but the hawkish shift is real -- 14 of 19 officials see zero or one cut in 2026, up from 7 in December. Powell admitted inflation is 'not coming down as hoped' while Feb PPI came in scorching at +0.7% MoM (double consensus). Overnight, the war escalated sharply -- Israel struck South Pars and Iran retaliated against Qatar's Ras Laffan LNG and Kuwait refineries. Brent has spiked above $115, up from $73 pre-war. The Fed is trapped: labor is cracking (NFP -92K) but inflation expectations are stuck at 3.4% and the energy shock is intensifying. No cuts are coming anytime soon.

📺 One Level Away From A Market Breakdown And A Bigger Selloff In today's market update, @TedHZhang notes that the market is at a tipping point. If key support levels fail—especially the 200-day moving average—this could quickly escalate into a much deeper correction. All major indexes are showing classic downtrend behavior: lower highs → lower lows → repeat + persistent failure at key resistance levels (21/50/100-day MAs). It is no longer a chop — this is a structured weakness. At the same time, leadership is narrowing and fading, which is typical before broader market weakness. * On Wednesday: – $SPX in a confirmed downtrend, sitting at the 200-day MA (last line of defense). If breakdown happens → $540 target (pre-tariff high). – $QQQ had multiple failed reclaim attempts (21/50/100-day, repeating lower highs + lower lows, also testing key support. – $DIA already closed below the 200-day MA This is a major warning signal. – $RSP broke the 100-day MA, suggesting broad market weakness, not just mega caps. – $MDY bear flag setup forming, likely continuation lower if breakdown confirms. – $IWM in a short consolidation, likely next move will be a test of 200-day MA. – Dollar $DXY is breaking higher above 100, starting to act like a safe haven/store of value – this is risk-off pressure on equities. – Gold $GLD b is breaking higher above 100, starting to act like a safe haven/store of value. – Silver $SLV is also breaking down, heading toward 100-day. – #Bitcoin $IBIT had a weak bounce → likely bearish wedge setup, could reject at 50-day and continue lower. * Sentiment: $VIX held above 20, pushing toward 25. This is a danger zone for volatility spikes. At the same time, CNN Fear & Greed is at 19 (Extreme Fear) and AAII Bearish Sentiment is ~46%. Important to note that extreme fear = bearish momentum is still dominant, not necessarily a bottom until price confirms. * Macro: Fed held rates at 3.50%–3.75% with only 1 cut expected in 2026 and 2027. It means there is no immediate liquidity relief, so the market can no longer rely on Fed support, adding downside risk. * We also have an earnings reality check with $MU earnings. Despite massive beat + strong forward guidance, the stock is down big after earnings. Good news is no longer enough; these high expectations are already priced in. That’s classic late-cycle/correction behavior. * Portfolio Changes: – In Grotection, we trimmed longs in $FSLY and reduced hedges $SPXU tactically. – In Turbotection, we shorted quantum names $IONQ $RGTI $QBTS, using inverse ETFs. * So, all eyes are now on the 200-day MA on $SPX. If it breaks that level, this becomes a true correction phase, not just a pullback. The market now is one breakdown away from a much sharper move lower. Make sure you are prepared. * If you enjoyed this update, please ❤️like and 🔁retweet

@k_kilc91096 @perplexity_ai This macro one is so helpful for me. compiles everything together for my review

@TedHZhang @perplexity_ai nice built. still figuring how to use it to build what exactly I want..

$MU down 6% on an incredible report. Let's see how we trade. Priced in is what the market is telling me.

Update... Gold -7.8% Silver -15% 🤯 Platinum -9.5% Palladium -8%

Short what is showing relative weakness. Align yourself with the longer-term trend. Everything is easier that way. Key in on the 10/20/30/40-week MAs, their alignment and their slope. I'll have a @chartfanatics episode coming out soon going into depth on Stan Weinstein's stage analysis.