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BatTrades

@TheBatSignals

Pure S&D. Sharing how I think. For education only, NOT financial advice.

Katılım Kasım 2025
27 Takip Edilen82 Takipçiler
The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: President Trump's "48-hour warning" to Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz expires at 10:05 AM ET on Monday, April 6th. This also happens to be 35 minutes after the US stock market reopens after the 3-day weekend. We will be covering the highly eventful next 48 hours.
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BatTrades
BatTrades@TheBatSignals·
@TedPillows Yields rising means money isn’t free anymore
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Ted
Ted@TedPillows·
Japan bond yields are soaring. You know what's coming next.
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BatTrades
BatTrades@TheBatSignals·
@NoLimitGains Hedge funds dump size when risk changes, the question is who’s on the other side buying it.
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NoLimit
NoLimit@NoLimitGains·
🚨 Hedge funds are selling stocks at the fastest pace in 10 years.
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BatTrades
BatTrades@TheBatSignals·
Everyone's watching hike odds. Nobody's watching the Fed's balance sheet quietly grow. Here's the bull case nobody is talking about: QT is over in practice. The Fed is already buying T-bills to keep reserves "ample" and rolling Treasury principal. That's balance sheet expansion while rates sit still. - Remember that cash buffer (ON RRP) I said was empty (~$0.3B)? That's actually the key. When it was full, Fed purchases just recycled cash inside money market funds, no real impact. Now that it's empty, every dollar the Fed puts in hits bank reserves directly. - More reserves = easier credit conditions at the front end of the market, even without a rate cut. The Fed is loosening without touching rates. Most people have no idea this is happening. - April prediction: 1. Fed balance sheet (WALCL) prints above $6.72T by month-end 2. 3-month T-bill yields drop below 3.50% If that happens, front-end rates are easing while everyone debates hikes. If it doesn't, I'm wrong, simple as that. (Posted the bear case last week. Now you have both sides)
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BatTrades
BatTrades@TheBatSignals·
@MoneyQuotesX Saving won’t make you rich but not saving will keep you broke
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Money Quotes
Money Quotes@MoneyQuotesX·
Saving money won’t make you rich.
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BatTrades
BatTrades@TheBatSignals·
@KobeissiLetter Headline looks fine What matters is how many of those jobs actually pay well
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: The US economy adds 178,000 jobs in March, crushing expectations of 65,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, below expectations of 4.4%. This marks the biggest monthly job addition since March 2025. A much stronger than expect jobs report amid the Iran War.
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BatTrades
BatTrades@TheBatSignals·
@AshCrypto 4.3% sounds strong… until you look at underemployment and multiple-job holders.
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Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto@AshCrypto·
🚨BREAKING🚨 🇺🇸 US Unemployment came in at 4.3% Expectations: 4.4%
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
BREAKING: US job growth for February was revised lower, from an initial estimate of -92,000 jobs to a total loss of -133,000.
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BatTrades
BatTrades@TheBatSignals·
Good Friday. Market closed. Step back, breathe, be grateful. The market will be here, your edge is how you reset. Come back sharper. (Edu only)
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BatTrades
BatTrades@TheBatSignals·
@NoLimitGains That’s the volatility market we’re in. Big moves going nowhere
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NoLimit
NoLimit@NoLimitGains·
We’re back at yesterday’s close. What a massive rally, I’ve never seen a move like that in my career. I think I missed the boat. It’s okay, I’m a good swimmer.
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BatTrades
BatTrades@TheBatSignals·
@Birdyword Historically that combo doesn’t hold Either oil cools off, or equities catch down
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Mike Bird
Mike Bird@Birdyword·
If someone told you oil prices were up 11% and the S&P 500 was basically flat, what would you immediately think had happened?
Mike Bird tweet mediaMike Bird tweet media
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zerohedge
zerohedge@zerohedge·
*US MORTGAGE RATES RISE FOR FIFTH WEEK, SENDING 30-YEAR TO 6.46%
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The Honest Trader
The Honest Trader@TheH0n3stTrader·
Bro, listen to me.. Never trade on your phone. NEVER.
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BatTrades
BatTrades@TheBatSignals·
RECAP: $TSLA ( Apr 2 ) Heavy selloff all day for TSLA but not the overall market. Lost every key level -> no real bids. Weak structure, steady downside. Lesson: when it’s one-sided, don’t overthink. Follow the trend. (Edu only) Markets closed tomorrow (Good Friday).
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Dated Brent crude oil prices have surged to $141/barrel, the highest since the 2008 Financial Crisis.
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Displacement Trades
Displacement Trades@iamdisplacement·
What is the hardest skill to master in trading?
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BatTrades
BatTrades@TheBatSignals·
@unusual_whales Oil that high doesn’t just hit gas prices It squeezes consumers and companies at the same time
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
Oil at $150 would trigger global recession, per Fink of BlackRock.
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: The S&P 500 erases all losses and turns green on the day.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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BatTrades
BatTrades@TheBatSignals·
PREMARKET LEVELS: $TSLA (Apr 2) Supply: 387.60–388.29 Mid-zone: 377.09–377.32 Demand: 367.77–380.10 Wide range. Let price prove direction before committing. (Edu only)
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BatTrades
BatTrades@TheBatSignals·
RECAP: $QQQ ( Apr 1 ) Strong pump off support -> trend up. Upper zone tagged, then sharp pullback. Volatile, but levels held. Momentum days still respect zones. Take profits into strength. (Edu only)
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