What this account focuses on:
• Liquidity cycles
• Macro regime shifts
• Policy → market transmission
• Data over narratives
This is research & commentary.
Signal over noise.
Full research & charts:
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We knew Trump would eventually walk back his threats.
Bombing Iranian power plants would likely trigger Iranian strikes on desalination plants across the Gulf and in Israel. That would be an act of strategic suicide.
Gold and Silver will likely see a huge bounce from here. But they have probably topped for this cycle.
Here is the part most people get wrong. Gold does not rally because of inflation. It rallies because of the response to inflation.
The entire move higher in Gold and Silver was driven by inflation cooling down, markets pricing in lower rates, and expectations of another round of aggressive QE. That is what sends metals to the moon. Not inflation itself.
When inflation actually runs hot, central banks tighten. They raise rates, they pull back liquidity, they stop printing. That is the worst environment for Gold and Silver.
That is exactly what is happening now. Oil above $100 is feeding inflation. The Fed is stuck on hold. Rate cuts are off the table. The liquidity cycle that powered the metals rally has reversed.
A bounce is coming. The structure supports it. But the macro tailwind that drove Gold to 5,500 and Silver above $100 is gone. Until inflation cools again and central banks pivot back to easing, the highs are likely in.
The problem with Trump’s threats against Iran is the paradox he is trapped in.
The more he escalates, the higher oil and gas prices go.
The higher energy prices go, the worse inflation gets. The worse inflation gets, the longer central banks have to keep rates high or even raise them.
Higher rates crush the economy, kill the housing and the stock market, and hurt the exact voters he needs.
New Gold & Silver update out for subscribers.
Both metals went deeper than expected. Original targets are off the table. Revised ABC structure, new levels, and what comes next.
Full breakdown inside.
Notice the pattern: the biggest sell-offs usually hit before the market open, during Asian hours, when precious metals liquidity is thinner and Europe and the U.S. are asleep. Looks like big players are deliberately pushing liquidation in the weakest part of the session.
The sell-off in gold and silver has no real substance behind it. Neither the DXY nor the US 10Y has moved in any meaningful way. This looks like pure capitulation and a washout.
Gold & Silver update out now. Selling momentum is fading - positive divergence building on the retest. Two scenarios mapped out for both metals with key levels and targets. Full analysis for subscribers
If the decline in gold is over then it could be forming a mega triangle formation likely to resolve by early May. Every consolidation in the present 2.5-year bull run lasted 3 to 4 months. The recent set back in gold supposedly due to war in Iran, shifts timing by 1.5-2 months. So if before I was expecting gold to top by mid May, now I expect it by late summer 2026. However, the good news is that gold likely to exceed my $8k target...
New Gold, Silver & DXY update is out.
The dollar looks like it's completing a 5-wave top near 100.5.
If it corrects, gold and silver are coiled for the next move.
I mapped the full sequence across all three charts for subscribers.