The Market Stats

Commercials are extremely net-short Bitcoin This kind of extreme positioning historically aligned with bottoms in as seen in 2023, 2025 and today $BTC

Another day, another record! Semiconductors $SOX are Up a record 17 consecutive days, with a gain of +42% Wild.

History in the making today The Semiconductor Index ($SOX) is Up a record 16 consecutive days, gaining over +36% during this streak This has never happened before

Despite stocks at all time highs, investors are still bearish AAII Bears have stayed above 40% for 6 consecutive weeks Similar bearish sentiment saw $SPX higher every time 3 months later Average gain: +7%

@fundmyfund 🫣

@TheMarketStats are we waiting for 4 PM for the 12? ha

NASDAQ is up 12 consecutive days Similar streaks saw $NDX finish higher 1 year later 100% of the time, with an average gain of +20% The average maximum loss was -8.9%

@Barchart Nasdaq 100 up 12 days consecutive days is bullish $NDX higher 12 months later 7 of 7 times Average gain: 20.5%

JUST IN 🚨: Nasdaq on track for its 12th consecutive green day, its longest winning streak since July 2009 📈🥳🤑🫂

$VIX fell more than -40% in the past 13 days Historically, similar declines saw $SPX higher every time, 1 year later Average gain: +15% Max drawdown: -10.2%

What a rally! NASDAQ 100 went from oversold to overbought in just 12 days When this kind of rapid shift occurred within a 5 week window, $NDX finished higher 7 of 8 times over the following week h/t @Mr_Derivatives

NASDAQ is up 11 consecutive days Similar streaks of strong momentum saw $NDX finish higher 1 year later 100% of the time, with an average gain of +26% The average maximum loss was -8%

NASDAQ 100 is up 8 consecutive days with a total gain over +9% Similar streaks saw $NDX higher in all 7 instances, 2 months later, with an average gain of +10.2%

For the first time in a year, AAII bears have outnumbered AAII bulls for 8 straight weeks Sentiment getting stretched? Similar bear sentiment saw $SPX higher 9 out of 10 times, 3 months later

$SPX is up for a 7th consecutive day, up more than 7% over that period Historically, similar streaks saw $SPX higher every time, 2 weeks later Average 2 week gain was 2.5%

NASDAQ 100 is up 7 consecutive days with a total gain over +9% This happened 10 other times before, and each case saw $NDX higher 2 months later, with an average gain of 8.5%

h/t @Reformed_Trader

Is Market Breadth getting overbought? NYSE McClellan Oscillator jumped above 57 for the first time in 9 months Similar readings saw $SPX lower 6 of 8 times, 2-6 months later. Average 6 month max drawdown was -15.9%

$SPY gapped up 2.6% today while $XLE (energy sector) gapped down -5.7% This is a combination that has never occurred before Historically when $SPY gapped up at least 1% while $XLE gapped down at least 1%, $SPX was lower 3-4 days later

Large Speculators are extremely net-long Bitcoin, the highest since 2023 Historically, this kind of extreme positioning has aligned with bottoms in $BTC

$SPY put volume surged past 9 million This was the 3rd largest spike on record