Joseph N. Wagar

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Joseph N. Wagar

Joseph N. Wagar

@TheNileDesign

Is a rare breed + @ileannnn__ e/acc

Austin, Texas Katılım Ağustos 2010
1.1K Takip Edilen452 Takipçiler
Joseph N. Wagar retweetledi
Christian Heiens 🏛
Christian Heiens 🏛@ChristianHeiens·
All the cancelation tools of the last decade, (deplatforming, debanking, service termination, etc) can be employed against illegal aliens. Everything that our institutions did to destroy conservatives over the last dozen years could be turned around and used against illegals. All of it. You just need the political willpower to make it happen.
Auron MacIntyre@AuronMacintyre

You barley need ICE agents if you tax remittances, punish the employers of illegal, and deny them banking End healthcare, education, and welfare for illegals and the scam is over Everyone knows this, including the Trump admin

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Joseph N. Wagar
Joseph N. Wagar@TheNileDesign·
@SanDiegoKnight In the immortal words of Afroman, "But I'm not a person and (they) are. I'm sorry for being a viticm. Let's talk about the predators."
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Hany Girgis
Hany Girgis@SanDiegoKnight·
I feel for families being separated I do But what about the American families displaced by H-1B and outsourcing? Lost their jobs Lost their homes Moved back in with parents Watched entire teams get replaced No headlines No urgency Just “that’s the market” Why is empathy one-sided? sfchronicle.com/politics/artic…
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Joseph N. Wagar retweetledi
EducatëdHillbilly™
EducatëdHillbilly™@RobProvince·
I have posted links showing USAA is a TOP HB-1 visa user and has multiple mass firings of U.S. employees… one round of terminations was during the holidays. 🎄
James Blunt@JBlunt1018

@aslsoldier @RobProvince There is no link. No one is being laid off for foreign workers. He’s a liar!

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James Blunt
James Blunt@JBlunt1018·
@smcroasters USAA hasn’t laid anyone off, if anything being a cunt may actually be a good thing because atleast I’m diving “deep” to read some fucking facts around it.
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James Blunt
James Blunt@JBlunt1018·
Perfect, now hire them and build your own business? I mean it’s not that difficult right?
EducatëdHillbilly™@RobProvince

@JBlunt1018 Just cancelled all my USAA polices and credit card because they fired all their US employees and replaced them with foreign labor.

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Joseph N. Wagar
Joseph N. Wagar@TheNileDesign·
@JBlunt1018 @RobProvince Must be pretty nice as an employer to hire people who don't have any labor rights! And then lecture the native labor pool for not competing hard enough!!
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James Blunt
James Blunt@JBlunt1018·
The anti–H-1B comments on my last post weren’t surprising. But the AUDACITY to pressure companies into hiring who you think they should hire? That’s not how this works. This is America. You don’t get to dictate someone else’s hiring decisions. Don’t like it? Build your own company. What I still don’t understand is the entitlement. It’s my company, I decide who to hire based on what’s best for the business. I’ll choose skill, work ethic, and value every single time. My responsibility is to the health of the company not someone else’s sense of entitlement. If that bothers you, compete.
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Joseph N. Wagar retweetledi
H. Smith - Anti H-1B
H. Smith - Anti H-1B@HSmith24993512·
This is a consideration of H-1B alone, not bulk anchor babies (from illegals that are the bulk of anchor babies). Just one 'temporary visa' program, 5M new people, 5M fewer opportunities for Americans so that FAANG gets cheap workers.
H. Smith - Anti H-1B tweet media
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Joseph N. Wagar
Joseph N. Wagar@TheNileDesign·
@uncledoomer They say that taste will be the ultimate differentiator in age of AI. You have nothing to fear my friend. Outstanding work!
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doomer
doomer@uncledoomer·
rate my living room setup
doomer tweet mediadoomer tweet mediadoomer tweet media
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Joe Lonsdale
Joe Lonsdale@JTLonsdale·
Balaji is a bright guy but he fled the USA and has set his mind totally against our future success. He lives in a world where US is losing and China is winning. This is his fixation. It’s dangerous, and it’s wrong. And this war has embarrassed China, destroyed their 100 cargo planes of war materials and their military ally, and frustrates them. It’s fair to disagree about the attack. But saying that its architects are guilty of any downside is childlike nonsense. They should be proud of their work and their courage to take on this evil. If you’re against the war, do you get credit for the last two decades of literal mass torture and mass rape and repression by this regime, and its terror funding and death around the region? Do you get credit for “supporting” the billions it spends on social media bots and information operations to polarize the US against ourselves, and weaken the west? Do you also get credit for what would have been the next twenty years of that? Are you, Balaji, responsible for that side of it? No? But if you are for it, you get zero credit for fixing any of that, but blamed for ALL the possible downsides? Total BS. The mullahs holding the region hostage shouldn’t get your help to blame others for the damage they do. Geopolitics and war is complex and there are risks on all sides. There is risk in acting, and in not acting. I’m really glad we are taking advantage of the massive innovation and competence gap that exists at this moment, and finally eliminating so much evil. I hope for freedom for the Iranian people and know that the situation is hard and complex, but either way it is good to stop the bad guys and eliminate so many of the worst groups, who have done so much damage, from history. Nobody should get away with what those bastards did for so long; this was long overdue.
Balaji@balajis

I'm going to make some obvious points. (1) Blowing up all the oil infrastructure in the Middle East is an insane idea, and may well result in a global economic crash and humanitarian crisis unrivaled in the lives of those now living. We're talking about the price of everything everywhere rising, from food to gas, at a moment when inflation was already high. All of that will be laid at the feet of the authors of this war. (2) The antebellum status quo of Feb 27, 2026 was just not that bad, but we're unlikely to return to it. Expect indefinite, long-term, ongoing disruptions to everything out of the Middle East. (3) Also assume tech financing crashes for the indefinite future. The genius plan to get the Gulf states caught in the crossfire has incinerated much of the funding for LPs, for datacenters, and for IPOs. Anyone in tech who supported this war may soon learn the meaning of "force majeure" as funding gets yanked. (4) Many capital allocators will instead be allocating much further down Maslow's hierarchy of needs, towards useful basic things like food and energy. (5) It's fortunate that all those progressives yelled about the "climate crisis." Yes, their reasoning about timelines was wrong, and much of the money was wasted in graft, but the result was right: we all need energy independence from the Middle East, pronto. It's also fortunate that Elon and China autistically took climate seriously. Now they're going to need to ship a billion solar panels, electric vehicles, batteries, nuclear power plants, and the like to get everyone off oil, immediately. (6) It's not just an oil and gas problem, of course. It's also a fertilizer problem, and a chemical precursor problem. Maybe some new sources will come online at the new prices, but it takes time to dial stuff up, particularly at this scale, so shortages are almost a certainty. That said, China has actually scaled up coal-to-chemicals[a,c] (C2C), and there's also something more sci-fi called Power-to-X[b] which turns arbitrary power + water + air into hydrocarbons. But all of that will need to get accelerated. I have a background in chemical engineering so may start funding things in this area. (7) Ultimately, this war is going to result in tremendous blame for anyone associated with it. It's a no-win scenario to blow up this much infrastructure for so many people. Simply not worth it for whatever objective they thought they were going to attain. But unless you're actually in a position to stop the madness, the pragmatic thing to do is: scramble to mitigate the fallout to yourself, your business, and your people. [a]: reuters.com/business/energ… [b]: alfalaval.com/industries/ene… [c]: reuters.com/sustainability…

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Shubhvani
Shubhvani@shubhvanii·
If you grew up in the trenches, you already know this: The dumber the people around you are, the more aggression you must show to be respected. The smarter the people around you are, the less aggression you must show to be respected. This is an unwritten law of human hierarchy.
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Joseph N. Wagar
Joseph N. Wagar@TheNileDesign·
@AustinChronicle Illegal immigrants are not part of my community. Mask up, round 'em up, and send them all back home. It's a choice to frame this issue as targeting one big group, when the reality is that we have law abiding citizens on one hand and foreign criminals on the other.
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Joseph N. Wagar
Joseph N. Wagar@TheNileDesign·
Replacing Americans with foreigners isn't good for America. When it comes to the H1B, these roles could easily be filled by Americans, and the economic impact would be the same. There's nothing magical about H1B labor! But when you replace an American with an H1B, now you have to account the increase in benefits (unemployment, SNAP) the American will recieve as part of that exchange. These H1Bs are just not worth it.
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Ranchhoddas Shamaldas Chanchad
"what you've got on H1Bs in STEM being good for America" literally what you asked for. For AMERICA. A bunch of immigrants who - come legally - highly educated - earn way more than avg income - not on welfare - negligible crime rate - create billion $ startups - pay FICA even though they're not citizens Like what else do you want? All of these stats are good for America.
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John Lettieri
John Lettieri@LettieriDC·
H-1B suffers from several big shortcomings: random visa allocation, mobility restrictions, inadequate scale, pointless red tape. And yet in spite of those flaws, the program is a huge net fiscal boost to our country. Just imagine if we replaced it with a well-designed program!
John Lettieri tweet mediaJohn Lettieri tweet media
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Jack Chambers
Jack Chambers@JackChambersGB·
Any patriots in Austin??
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Joseph N. Wagar retweetledi
Hany Girgis
Hany Girgis@SanDiegoKnight·
This is a perfect example of how numbers get used to tell a very incomplete story. Yes, you can show a positive tax contribution snapshot. But what’s missing: 🔍 The biggest holes in that $30,050 claim 1. It’s a static snapshot, not reality over time They’re measuring a moment in time, not lifecycle impact. Even pro-immigration fiscal research admits: •fiscal impact varies heavily by age, education, and lifecycle •benefits like Social Security, Medicare, and dependents hit later 👉 Translation: They’re counting prime earning years, not full cost over time. 2. It assumes current income = long-term contribution H-1B workers skew: •younger •dual earners That inflates short-term tax contribution. But fiscal impact depends on: •longevity •dependents •long-term public costs Even friendly studies show huge variance by cohort 👉 They’re presenting a best-case slice as a universal truth. 3. It ignores labor market displacement effects This is the biggest omission. Research shows: •additional H-1Bs can crowd out other workers •can reduce average wages •increase firm profits instead 👉 So even if tax revenue rises per H-1B household: You’re not asking: what happened to the American worker who didn’t get that job? 4. It treats “household contribution” as net economic benefit This is a classic framing trick. They’re saying: “this household pays $30K more in taxes than it receives” But that ignores: •wage suppression effects •job substitution •outsourcing multiplier effects 👉 Government revenue ≠ economic benefit to citizens. 5. It ignores who dominates H-1B usage Even reform-oriented reports admit: •H-1B is heavily concentrated among a small number of firms •outsourcing firms play a major role 👉 The question isn’t just “what do they pay in taxes” It’s: what is the system incentivizing at scale? 6. It assumes no behavioral response Reality: •firms optimize around labor cost •use visa structures strategically •shift hiring models based on policy Even EIG’s own work admits companies will route around rules and use alternative visa paths 👉 Static models break when incentives change. 7. It sidesteps fraud, abuse, and enforcement gaps Even government reports have found: •meaningful rates of fraud / violations in H-1B filings 👉 A model assuming “clean system inputs” ≠ real-world outcomes.
Cardiff Garcia@CardiffGarcia

Even despite the H-1B program's many flaws and the need to reform it (which we have covered extensively at EIG), H-1B households are enormous net fiscal contributors. See Adam's and Sarah's new paper, including a one-page summary, at the link 👇x.com/ModeledBehavio…

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Joseph N. Wagar
Joseph N. Wagar@TheNileDesign·
Kensyian globalists when you tell them their cohort of 3rd world labor doesn't add any additional value to the economy, and in fact, takes opportunities away from natives:
John Thacker@Thackej

@TheNileDesign @ModeledBehavior @emre_mayo Wow, what a remarkably low intelligence reply. You have no understanding of how economics works, and should sit out of all public policy debates and let people who aren't impossibly ignorant and stupid contribute on your side.

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Joseph N. Wagar
Joseph N. Wagar@TheNileDesign·
The labor market requirement is there for companies who are considered "H1B dependant", like Meta. Therefore the actual number of H1B visas that get approved within that 85k allotment are dependant on the local labor markets of the sponsoring employer. I get that there is a long list of applications from employers for these visas, so maybe the number stays at 85k in aggregate despite increased "labor market test churn" for specific H1B dependant orgs like Meta. But still, this variable must be factored in if we want to understand how the program is being run and the impact that it's having on our economy.
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Paul Herzog
Paul Herzog@PaulHerzog3·
@TheNileDesign @SpeakSamuel It's not though. The number issued each year is capped at 85,000 and that quota was set back decades ago, when the US economy was much smaller. Also no requirement for employers to do a labor market test
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Joseph N. Wagar
Joseph N. Wagar@TheNileDesign·
Sam's up to his old tricks again! 🤣 Remember this anytime someone says H1Bs are an economic benefit to this country: A $130k tech worker in Austin or the Bay Area pays roughly the same income/payroll/sales/property taxes and uses roughly the same public services wether they were born in India or Indiana. They only thing they do is take our jobs.
Sam Peak@SpeakSamuel

Contrary to what Governors DeSantis and Abbott claim, H-1Bs are a boon to tax paying residents. Here is what the 6 year fiscal impact for H-1B households looks like in every state. eig.org/fiscal-impacts…

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