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@TheOptionsNomad

#1 ITM Put Sell Spotter. Options flow. https://t.co/kXePupeau9 https://t.co/puyFsqDrbL

Katılım Aralık 2024
84 Takip Edilen364 Takipçiler
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Yeet
Yeet@TheOptionsNomad·
The unwind of quantum, nuclear smr's, rare earths and other high flying sectors reminds me so much of what i was saying about bitcoin in 2018 coming out of the 2017 run. When i was in college and first bought btc in nov at 7k, i thought i was a genius and amazing at trading. Flipped some really good trades on alts and made a ton on paper, but never cashed out and lost it all before btc actually bottomed at 3k over a year later in 2019. I can see this exactly happening over the next 1-2yrs with the sectors mentioned here. The sentiment I am seeing is just blindly hodl'ing these sectors and its all fine because trump will save us. Alot of parabolic blow off tops result in a top to bottom, 80% drawdown on average. IF that does happen, stocks like $OKLO will be sub $40, and $UAMY will be sub $4. There is a reason the saying is, bear markets dont end in a single bounce, they end in mass graves, is because even though most of the damage gets done by the % move, what really kills off the participants is, is the time factor. Because imagine while the stocks continue to dump, people keep pouring money into it, then all the sudden one day some emergency happens and they have to withdraw the $ that they now barely have left or they just give up all hope. that is how bottoms are made. Its not just a catchy saying, it is reality when things pop.
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Yeet@TheOptionsNomad·
$amsc HAS AMERICA IN THE NAME. learn how to invest
Rightsized CapStack Capital@CapstackCapital

All of FinTwit is talking about Power Semis ( $AOSL, $MPWR, $STM, $VICR, $ADI, $ON, $POWI 2308.TW, etc.). People are now talking about Transformers / Electrical equipment (again) [ $ETN $FPS $AMSC, etc.) Inevitably, they will try to find bottlenecks or suppliers to the manufacturers of transformers & other electrical equipment. And wait until they realize that $NNBR is one of those suppliers to transformer manufacturers and provides other electrical equipment that have tailwinds in the data center power delivery shift to 800VDC.

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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Just a shower thought... it’s extremely patriotic and positive sum to be investing in American National Security and supply chains like $AMSC or $NVTS. For the longest time hedge funds shorted domestic American sectors like energy + Solar to the point of bankruptcy... By betting with China on their state subsidies. and many years later, as a result: we have little excess energy capacity needed for AI compared to China. By investing alongside the White House and $NVDA to securing US supply chains with up and coming American companies… Stocka goes brrr? US companies go brrr? And America goes brrr? (Disclosure: I’m American, and heavily biased toward US)
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Serenity@aleabitoreddit

Yes. The President invoked the "Defense Production Act" 2 days ago. To expand on domestic infra. Implicit beneficiaries were: Transmission & Advanced Conductors: $AMSC - HTS Wires (advanced conductors), power electronics $PLPC - advanced conductors $ATKR - transmission components $VMI - grid components Power Electronics $AEIS - power control electronics $VICR - power delivery Capacitor Banks $VSH - power capacitors and capacitor banks Substations & High-Voltage Circuit Breakers $POWL - substations/switchgear $AZZ - substations Transformers $HPS.A - My favorite for transformers $SPXC - power transformers Electrical Core Steel $CLF - Only producer of electrical steel in America? This included: -Transformers - transmission components - advanced conductors - power electronics - substations - high-voltage circuit breakers - protective relays, capacitor banks - electrical core steel TLDR: The executive action declared a national energy emergency regarding the domestic supply chain for grid infrastructure. Authorized federal funding, purchase commitments, and expedited actions to rapidly expand the manufacturing. Lot of beneficiaries, I made a mini ETF of with $AMSC, $CLF, $PLPC, and then $HPS.A; dont have any of the others. There's probably going to be a bunch of DOE contracts in the next 3-6 months like " DoE Awards ___ to $POWL " off this act is my guess.

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Nutty
Nutty@NuttyCLD·
Sharp read. Especially the observation that NVIDIA's own capex is fueling the current overheating in photonics and power semis. Hyperscaler capex gets talked about a lot — NVIDIA's ecosystem capex cycle, less so. One thing I'd add. The 2027~2028 window looks less like a "bubble burst" and more like a pass/fail exam for the architecture transition. If CPO, hybrid bonding, and 800V DC reach mass production, the industry keeps going. NVIDIA's everything-everywhere investment is them personally insuring the transition won't fail. The 2029 map narrows to three variables. 1. Does CPO become the standard? Commoditization of optics. 2. Does 800V DC become the rack standard? Commoditization of power. 3. Does UALink capture meaningful share? Commoditization of protocol. Three yeses, and NVIDIA's moat shrinks — but players who handle "connection" get their window. Not the end of dominance, but the moment the whole industry activates in layers. "Cheap GPU makers emerging" lines up with exactly this point.
あさひっち@asahikokura4565

めちゃんこ面白い エヌビディアはこのままだとRubinの次のファインマン世代で投資に対する性能アップの壁にぶち当たるリスクを抱えており、生成AIバブルが崩壊すると言われるタイミングに一致。 それを乗り越えるためにいま全方位的に投資せざるを得ない。GoogleやオープンAIなどのcapex バブルは周知の事実だけど、エヌビディア自体のcapexが今のシリコンフォトニクスや生成AI用のパワー半導体バブルを起こしてる構図で ここが限界を迎えたところが生成AIバブルの崩壊になるのか GPUだけに投資 → 効果が薄れるリスクが高まる。 • 全てに投資する必要 → その通り。NVIDIAエコシステム全体(TSMC、Broadcom、CoWoS関連、光学企業、電力インフラ企業など)が勝負の場。 • 割に合わなくなるタイミング → 2027〜2028年頃(Feynman世代)が一つの目安。そこまでにopticsや電源革新が追いつくかが鍵。

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Yeet@TheOptionsNomad·
this dude rn watching $NOW after hours
GIF
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Bussin Science Investor
Bussin Science Investor@BussinBiotech·
I mean who cares that much about the LRIP and FRIP timelines when it comes to the stock price that should be forward looking... Its a program of record that would guarantee 50-100m yearly revenue for +10 years, once they win you can kinda start pricing most of that into the stock price right away, not like those rev estimates are based off an IDIQ or something.
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Yeet@TheOptionsNomad·
$AMD gonna cure cancer. max strike AMDL calls being bought lmfao
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Yes. The President invoked the "Defense Production Act" 2 days ago. To expand on domestic infra. Implicit beneficiaries were: Transmission & Advanced Conductors: $AMSC - HTS Wires (advanced conductors), power electronics $PLPC - advanced conductors $ATKR - transmission components $VMI - grid components Power Electronics $AEIS - power control electronics $VICR - power delivery Capacitor Banks $VSH - power capacitors and capacitor banks Substations & High-Voltage Circuit Breakers $POWL - substations/switchgear $AZZ - substations Transformers $HPS.A - My favorite for transformers $SPXC - power transformers Electrical Core Steel $CLF - Only producer of electrical steel in America? This included: -Transformers - transmission components - advanced conductors - power electronics - substations - high-voltage circuit breakers - protective relays, capacitor banks - electrical core steel TLDR: The executive action declared a national energy emergency regarding the domestic supply chain for grid infrastructure. Authorized federal funding, purchase commitments, and expedited actions to rapidly expand the manufacturing. Lot of beneficiaries, I made a mini ETF of with $AMSC, $CLF, $PLPC, and then $HPS.A; dont have any of the others. There's probably going to be a bunch of DOE contracts in the next 3-6 months like " DoE Awards ___ to $POWL " off this act is my guess.
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Rumo@rumoriginal

@aleabitoreddit Did you look into superconductor companies like $asmc yet?

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Yeet@TheOptionsNomad·
Now itm $BAC put sells for 2027.
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Yeet@TheOptionsNomad·
$aapl has 2 diff expirations with ITM put sells today
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Yeet@TheOptionsNomad·
EVERY SINGLE DAY THEY RAISE THE STRIKE $ampx
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Yeet@TheOptionsNomad·
Trump pls say $CRCL
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James
James@JamesTrvdes·
Stable coins are the next bottleneck $CRCL
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