Frank Alsheimer

Nobody can say Arsenal makes things boring

Brutal luck for the Lightning. What crazy goals.

@TyBTime @AndyHazelton I did a study like this for Carolina/Georgia landfalls about 15 years ago, and my results look very much like your near misses for Florida east coast. Only real difference was a bit stronger negative anomaly in the Gulf, which actually makes sense for landfalls.

@AndyHazelton Near-miss pattern logically also appears to correlate more with Georgia/Carolina landfalls.

AI "vibecoding" has allowed me to make some progress on previously stalled side projects. A deeper dive into the synoptics and trends of Florida hurricane landfalls is one of them. One of the more interesting things I've seen so far is this difference between East Coast landfalls and "near misses". In both cases, there's a ridge over New England. But the big difference is out west: the landfalling composite has the big west coast trough with the upstream ridge over the Gulf of Alaska. This pattern seems to allow the ridge to dig in over the East Coast. On the other hand, the near misses composite has more ridging out west, which allows a weakness to develop over the plains and turn the TC just before reaching Florida. Hurricane Dorian in 2019 was a pretty textbook example of this difference - that upstream ridge over the Western CONUS was stronger than originally forecast, enhancing the downstream trough just enough to grab the TC before it reached Florida.

HUGE comeback win for the Bolts!

Don't forget the sunscreen. I remembered the sunscreen yesterday when I played pickleball for three hours, but I forgot my hat (can't put sunscreen on your forehead, it's an eye irritant) and today I'm paying the price.

Clearly NASA also is stuck with BAS to pay their Sat Phone bill.

How is a person supposed to tell if they are having a psychotic break or not these days? Everyone else can see the big rabbit listening to Trump talk about bombing Iran, right?

The headlines speak for themselves. Or do they.

I’m glad the 18Z NAM is normally too slow with cold fronts at 72 hours.

This seems less than ideal.

@fsugrizz Yikes

Imagine a forecast of 18-24” of snow being more than a foot too low.

They pick the worst second to cut to coach Cooper. Sorry coach, puck luck wasn’t with you today. Team 🇺🇸

Isn’t every snowstorm historic after it happens?

Well whadya know.

Well that was an interesting sound. Seemed like loud thunder, but there’s nothing around. Earthquake maybe?

These commercials have convinced me that certain kinds of gummies are too easy to obtain these days.

Hockey rivalries

That should be 2010, not 2014. And it’s based on a calendar day

6 inches or more on Saturday would be a top 10 snow event for Columbia SC. Last 6+ inch event was in 2014. Before that you’d have to go back to 1973.