MacroInvestor

2.9K posts

MacroInvestor banner
MacroInvestor

MacroInvestor

@ToTheMoonSilver

Katılım Mayıs 2013
59 Takip Edilen448 Takipçiler
Sabitlenmiş Tweet
MacroInvestor
MacroInvestor@ToTheMoonSilver·
My forecast for #Silver price in this bull run. This is optimistic scenario with at $340 target in early 2028 and possible blow off top at around $670 at the end of 2028. Price will be moving on this parabola which is simply an extension of the massive 44 year old cup and handle.
MacroInvestor tweet media
English
0
0
6
953
MacroInvestor retweetledi
DeepValue Signals
DeepValue Signals@DVSignals·
$USOIL $CL / $XOP Oil has had a rough couple of weeks versus $XOP. For context: $XOP is the oil & gas producers ETF, so this ratio basically shows crude oil versus the producers... After that sharp drop, the ratio is now starting to curl up right at the lower part of the structure. A breakout here would be notable. It would suggest oil is starting to outperform producers again after weeks of relative weakness. Not confirmed yet, but this chart is getting VERY interesting...
DeepValue Signals tweet media
English
3
3
59
6.5K
MacroInvestor retweetledi
DeepValue Signals
DeepValue Signals@DVSignals·
$Silver If you’re a silver bull, this is not the level you want to see break. The key daily area is roughly 62.50–63.00. Lose that cleanly, and the dreaded 54–56 zone opens up fast. Still a long-term bull but tactically this is the line that needs to hold.
DeepValue Signals tweet media
English
25
11
199
42.6K
The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: President Trump threatens to “hit Iran very hard again” if they do not “immediately stop their proxies in Lebanon.”
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
English
575
603
5.3K
870.7K
MacroInvestor
MacroInvestor@ToTheMoonSilver·
@DVSignals What if this is the type of situation where you sell the news in #Oil but buy the facts? Opposite to stock market where people buy the news and sell the facts.
English
0
0
0
51
DeepValue Signals
DeepValue Signals@DVSignals·
This MOU is confirmed, history books will not be kind. Trump didn’t “win” here... He walked into maximum pressure, war drums, sanctions, Hormuz risk and regime-change theatre… And walked out with Iran keeping its core nuclear infrastructure, missile/proxy issues off the table, sanctions relief, frozen assets released, oil waivers, reconstruction money and a seat at the top table. That’s not a deal.... That’s capitulation with a press release. Extreme #FAIL!
DeepValue Signals tweet media
The Hormuz Letter@HormuzLetter

BREAKING: The White House has released the full text of the US-Iran MOU, which confirms full US capitulation to Iranian demands. Iran's top negotiator and Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf in a new interview called this final MOU the ultimate "America's failure." The 14 key points: 1. Permanent termination of war on all fronts including Lebanon, with US and Iran committing to never initiate military operations against each other and to protect Lebanese sovereignty 2. At least $300 billion in reconstruction and economic development funds for Iran from the US and regional partners 3. Permanent termination of all sanctions including UN Security Council resolutions, IAEA Board resolutions, and all unilateral US primary and secondary sanctions 4. Full release of all Iran's frozen funds and assets, up to $100 billion total, with the Central Bank of Iran designating beneficiaries 5. Iranian sovereign administration over the Strait of Hormuz with only a 60-day free passage waiver, after which Iran begins collecting transit fees from every commercial ship 6. Full removal of US naval blockade within 30 days and withdrawal of all US forces from all US bases around Iran within 30 days after the final deal 7. Iran retains its full enrichment infrastructure with only existing stockpiled material to be down-blended on-site under IAEA supervision, with no new concessions on its existing NPT commitment 8. Iran's missile program and support for Resistance groups are explicitly removed from final deal negotiation scope 9. Mutual recognition of sovereignty and non-interference in internal affairs, formally legitimizing the Iranian regime 10. US commits to no new sanctions and no additional forces in the region while Iran maintains its current nuclear program status quo 11. Immediate US Treasury waivers for Iranian crude oil, petroleum products, and all banking, insurance, and transportation services 12. Friday's signing will trigger a 60-day final deal negotiation period, extendable by mutual consent 13. Joint executive mechanism to monitor implementation and final deal compliance 14. The final deal will be endorsed by a binding UN Security Council resolution Iran via Tasnim has confirmed this is the final MOU, with Ghalibaf adding "everything we sought to achieve through military action was secured several times over at the negotiating table, in a way that cannot even be compared."

English
6
7
52
7.6K
MacroInvestor retweetledi
DeepValue Signals
DeepValue Signals@DVSignals·
$CL $BNO $USO The irony here is that most people are selling #oil right into what may be the bottom. This is usually where you should be looking to buy, not panic out. If it breaks down, fine; that’s what stops are for. But from a risk/reward perspective, this is exactly the kind of zone where the upside can be large and the downside is clearly defined.
DeepValue Signals tweet media
English
16
9
137
10.3K
MacroInvestor retweetledi
DeepValue Signals
DeepValue Signals@DVSignals·
$CL #Oil Oil is testing extremes here... Messy chart, but the multi-month channel is still holding for now. The key zone for me is 82–83. A wick into that area is fine. A clean loss of 81–82 and the bullish read gets much harder to defend... For now: support is being tested, not broken.
DeepValue Signals tweet media
English
11
9
112
9.8K
The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
We truly are witnessing history right now. It's clear that the period we are in now will be referenced for decades to come. The S&P 500 has added +$10 trillion in 29 days, semiconductor, AI stocks are surging 100%+ in weeks, and the Trump Administration is up +550% on Intel. When we began emphasizing the need to own assets to win in this market over 12 months ago, this is exactly what we meant. While inflation is back and the labor market has weakened, it simply does not matter right now. In fact, the return of inflation has only intensified the scramble for yield and hard assets that can preserve purchasing power. Look at the data: just 5 stocks have accounted for ~50% of the S&P 500’s total gains since April 1st. These same tech giants driving the market higher are gaining even more momentum amid rate cuts, deregulation, and historic inflows into equities. Asset owners are experiencing one of the greatest wealth expansions in modern history while everyone else is being left behind. Our 12+ month thesis has materialized.
English
436
624
7.7K
753.5K
MacroInvestor
MacroInvestor@ToTheMoonSilver·
@NorthstarCharts If the upper rail work as resistance then 32k for Nasdaq is possible top. But for now it is difficult to predict, because blow-oof tops are difficult to catch.
English
2
0
0
27
Northstar
Northstar@NorthstarCharts·
Stock market upside rising wedge breakouts - VERY bullish 'melt-up' scenario has opened up 👇
Northstar tweet mediaNorthstar tweet media
English
35
64
503
41.3K
MacroInvestor
MacroInvestor@ToTheMoonSilver·
#sugar is shaping up for a nice long term bullish set up. With oil rising sugar will follow. @DVSignals
MacroInvestor tweet media
English
0
0
0
236
MacroInvestor retweetledi
DeepValue Signals
DeepValue Signals@DVSignals·
$SILVER: probably the single most important chart analysis to read this weekend. If you want a balanced read, keep reading... This is exactly why I push back on the simplistic “trendline break = fresh breakout” view On silver, I see many drawing a very straightforward line across the highs on a linear/log chart, pointing to the recent move through it, and calling it confirmation. That is far too simplistic. A break of one line, by itself, does not imply a fresh impulsive breakout. It needs far more rigorous analysis, cross-checking structure, momentum, Fibonacci, relative strength, miner confirmation, and broader context. For those who have followed me for a while: you know I am generally NOT an Elliott Wave guy. But on this specific chart, I do think it offers a useful framework to explain both the structure and the psychology. Not because it is some perfect science, but because it can help simplify what the market may be doing here. The basic idea is straightforward: wave 1 down, wave 2 bounce, wave 3 down, wave 4 bounce, wave 5 down. And right now, what silver appears to be doing is behaving much more like a wave 4 than the start of some powerful new leg higher. That matters, because wave 3 is usually the brutal recognition phase. That is when the market starts to accept that the prior uptrend is damaged. The move gets sharper, confidence gets hit, and price starts doing real technical damage. We saw that. Then comes wave 4, the false-hope phase.. It tends to be choppy, overlapping, frustrating, and just constructive enough to pull people back in. It often looks better on surface-level analysis than it really is. That fits very well with what I think we are seeing now: a recovery that looks encouraging to many, but structurally still carries bear-flag / corrective bounce characteristics. That is also very similar to the earlier phase (wave 2) where I said: be careful. Same near 89. That got pushback too. Yet those caution calls mattered. And this broader framework is also part of how I was able to lean constructive again closer to 61... Now look at where we are: this bounce has pushed into the 0.618 Fibonacci retrace, and we are now bear flagging. On the more zoomed-in charts, silver actually looks vulnerable, not strong, contrary to popular belief. Miners are not really confirming in the way I would want to see for a genuine breakout. And the recent move in GSR still looks more like a fake move than a resolved shift. So my primary view, until proven otherwise, remains that this is still a corrective advance inside a damaged structure. For that to change, I would want to see a clean push above 80, with the current bear-pattern break sitting closer to 81.50, and real acceptance there not just a wick through it. Friday’s breakdown was severe enough that one brief poke higher does not suddenly repair the chart.. So, long story short: I am not dismissing the possibility that silver can recover further. But I am also not going to pretend that a simple line break on a basic chart suddenly means the all-clear has been given. Right now, the wave 4 psychology fits: enough bounce to create hope, not enough evidence yet to prove that the broader bearish structure is gone. And if this really is wave 4, then wave 5; the final flush, the final disappointment, the move that catches late bulls leaning the wrong way, may still be missing. RT and share if this gave you value. These free posts take enormous amounts of time to produce...
DeepValue Signals tweet media
English
45
61
437
159.5K
MacroInvestor retweetledi
MacroInvestor retweetledi
DeepValue Signals
DeepValue Signals@DVSignals·
$CL / #OIL / #ENERGY Very clean two-week bull wedge forming here... A confirmed break above 93.50 would be very bullish and should open the door to further upside. Structure looks constructive. Bulls still have the ball here.
DeepValue Signals tweet media
English
15
6
79
7.9K
MacroInvestor retweetledi
Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇮🇱🇱🇧 This man in Beirut is searching for the body of his daughter after their building was blown up by Israeli airstrikes. This is what Israel calls collateral damage, as they target Hezbollah at any cost. Seeing the teddy bears and family photos in the rubble puts that into context. Source: Sky News
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇵🇰 As JD Vance landed for peace talks in Islamabad, he was greeted by Pakistani army chief Asim Munir. Asim chose to wear a suit while welcoming him, in contrast to the military uniform he wore when welcoming the Iranian delegation.

English
75
393
925
133K
MacroInvestor
MacroInvestor@ToTheMoonSilver·
@TheBubbleBubble Agree, long term bullish and at least +$300 in a few years. Short term there is a quite high probability of testing back that $50 support.
English
2
0
3
870
Jesse Colombo
Jesse Colombo@TheBubbleBubble·
Silver broke out from a five-decade-old pattern in November, signaling that a powerful bull market is underway, and that is still true despite the recent correction. Learn more about the roadmap silver is following in my unlocked report: thebubblebubble.substack.com/p/the-roadmap-… $PSLV $SLV
Jesse Colombo tweet media
English
8
66
408
53.7K
MacroInvestor retweetledi
Otavio (Tavi) Costa
Otavio (Tavi) Costa@TaviCosta·
Sugar prices are just starting to move after rebounding from a key historical support level. This could turn into a highly explosive move in my view Few assets carry such significant societal implications if they begin to rally. Similar setups here: open.substack.com/pub/tavicosta/…
Otavio (Tavi) Costa tweet media
English
47
113
856
61.3K
MacroInvestor retweetledi
Otavio (Tavi) Costa
Otavio (Tavi) Costa@TaviCosta·
It’s official. Agricultural commodities have broken through a nearly 20-year resistance level. I expect this move to accelerate from here. When energy moves, agriculture tends to follow — it’s a natural lag in the macro setup. Be mindful of the social and political consequences of rising food prices. My latest macro presentation: tavicosta.substack.com/p/opportunity-…
Otavio (Tavi) Costa tweet media
English
74
348
1.7K
109.9K