@samstrades Do you think there will be 8 hikes? You've been bear posting for 5 years, im guessing you dont own property?
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Todd Bailey
147 posts
Impact of 1% and 2% rate hikes on the housing market when mortgage debt to GDP is 100%, I asked AI to use historical research by Federal Reserve and RBA
AI says 2% worth of hikes would lead to 'demolition of demand'
Interesting to say the least (may Lord have mercy (or not) if this is true and accurate) #ausbiz #RBA
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@nascentjude @samstrades Im guessing you dont own proprrty? Are you salty?
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Yes, we are witnessing the conclusion of a credit super-cycle that has been expanding since the end of the early 1990s recession
From a logical standpoint, it was unsustainable to expect a $12.5 trillion housing Ponzi scheme to continue its upward trajectory, especially after mortgage issuance as a percentage of GDP spiked from a historical norm of 3–5% to an insane 15%, the bust will be unprecedented and painful #ausbiz #housing #RBA
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@samstrades You've been bear posting for 5 years. Im guessing you don't own property?
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'I think we’ll get 100 to 125 basis points of hikes this year. If inflation remains stubborn and the RBA is forced to 5% or beyond, and politicians are forced to slash migration, we could see an Aussie economy with no population growth. We’ve never seen that before. Combined with fiscal consolidation, that probably leads to a recession' #ausbiz #RBA
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'The RBA hasn’t hit its inflation target since 2021, and its recent forecasting miss was the most significant bungle in over 25 years. Joye says the central bank has become a global "laughing stock" after being bullied out of its yield curve peg and forced into a humiliating livewiremarkets.com/wires/joye-rba…
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Todd Bailey retweetledi
Should Bitcoin continue with the most remarkable cyclic patterns of any market in the past 15 years, an investable low is scheduled for Sep/Oct 2026. That low might or might not penetrate the Feb 2026 low. The next high (should patterns continue) will be between $300k and $500k in Sep/Oct 2029
I will announce tradeable thrusts via Factor and @BitcoinLive1
#av_section_6" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">peterlbrandt.com/#av_section_6
and bitcoin.live/?aid=106
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@samstrades @QBCCIntegrity Hey Sam, I have followed you for a while now, not having a go here, but im guessing you do not own any property?
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@QBCCIntegrity the property Ponzi scheme needs to be burnt it to the fucking ground, no one with half a brain cares if speculators make a little bit less money by reducing CGT discount to 25% or 33%, again, fk them, burn it to the fucking ground
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BREAKING: Rents rose 43.9 per cent in the five years to September, according to Cotality, two-and-a-half times faster than wages which grew 17.5 per cent. Average tenants now pay a record 33.4 per cent of their pre-tax income on rent.
Labor’s plan? A further 30% increase.
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Todd Bailey retweetledi
this chart that predicted every single bitcoin bottom in history. every one.
it uses three signals: extreme fear below 25, protective puts above 0.95, and fear acceleration above +25%.
when all three fire together?
$2 → $170 → $3.2k → $3.8k → $15.5k.
you're watching for the next green diamond. so am i.
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Let's see who's right in the next couple of years... bloke off the street betting on #BTC to go to 100kusd, or economist of 30 years betting on it going to $0.
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk
26,800 to go
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Todd Bailey retweetledi
$CVE
3 month bullish captain hook pattern spotted
Looks ready to pump hard
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Todd Bailey retweetledi
Who wants the famous #Bitcoin Fibonacci levels again?
Nebraskangooner@Nebraskangooner
#Bitcoin We won't know if that was THE top unless we close weekly below $67,250 If that happens AND $BTC remains historically predictable then we have key levels below Distribution - Accumulation - Instant reversal These levels have been respected for every BTC bear market
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Todd Bailey retweetledi
🚀 $EMS – NOW TRADING ~3.2c | STILL CRIMINALLY CHEAP 🚀
Eastern Metals ($EMS → to be renamed Raptor Metals) has re-listed and the market is only just starting to wake up. This is a proper asset-backed story in a Tier-1 mining camp with real scale, real grades and drilling about to begin.
🔹 World-class geological address
Focused on the Bathurst Mining Camp, New Brunswick, one of the most prolific VMS districts globally with decades of large, high-grade discoveries. Proven ground where multiple stacked deposits are common, not theoretical.
🔹 JORC resource already in hand
The flagship Chester Project hosts a JORC 2012 compliant resource of 6.68Mt @ ~1.1% Cu, starting from surface and spread across multiple mineralised zones. That alone puts a strong floor under the valuation.
🔹 Clear and scalable growth pathway
Mineralisation extends over ~1.5km of strike, open along strike and at depth, with strong evidence for stacked VMS feeder systems — exactly how major Bathurst deposits grow into something much larger.
🔹 Immediate drilling catalysts
💰 ~A$5M cash
🛠 Diamond drilling commencing within ~2 weeks
🎯 Infill and extension drilling at Chester
🎯 Testing parallel VMS lodes
🎯 Follow-up drilling at Turgeon
Straight into execution.
🔹 Second major upside lever
The Turgeon Project adds another layer of optionality, with historical drilling delivering strong grades across multiple sulphide zones. Near-term focus is converting this into a JORC resource, materially increasing overall scale.
🔹 Valuation still makes no sense
Even at ~3.2c:
• Market cap remains tiny relative to assets
• ~10Mt combined resource potential
• Tight register with meaningful escrow
• Strong institutional and professional backing
This is still nowhere near pricing in the asset base or near-term drilling upside.
🔹 Experienced team, simple execution plan
No distractions. No fluff.
Just systematic drilling in one of the best VMS camps in the world with a clear goal to grow resources and drive a re-rate.
Fresh listing.
Real tonnes.
Near-term drills.
Tier-1 geology.
STILL CRIMINALLY CHEAP 🚀
DYOR. Not financial advice.
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Todd Bailey retweetledi
#Bitcoin important Top Goon X sell approaching alert update:
Interestingly enough we bounced (again) after the sell approaching alert given.
Key resistance is the 0.786 fib. If we reject there we can drop back to 0.236 fib and below that would see new lows again
If we can reclaim and break above 0.786 fib we can see a new ATH around the $120k area and it would likely happen pretty fast.
Then $120k area (1.337 fib) would be ultimate bull trap (like we saw last cycle at 69k) or we would break through that and mega vertical moon straight to $200k.
Those are the scenarios and the key levels to watch dictated by Top Goon X rules.
Nebraskangooner@Nebraskangooner
#Bitcoin Key fibonacci level for Top Goon X weekly sell approaching alert for those asking. $102k area most important. Need to reclaim $86,250 resistance on daily for a potential bounce to that level.
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Billionaire Cary Katz bets $10,000 that nobody could guess what type of car he drives 🤔💰
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@thekidmcmanus I live in Australia, and I got mine at the start of the year! You're a legend
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Tell him to send it to Lambeau and I will sign it and send back to him along with 2 tickets to any game he wants
1265 Lombardi Ave, Green Bay, WI 54304
Corey Behnke@coreybehnke
What would compel someone to buy a Mcmanus jersey?
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Todd Bailey retweetledi
Todd Bailey retweetledi
$IE
Adding a little exposure to my long term portfolio in case this moon missions
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Todd Bailey retweetledi
$OTLY
Decided not to add any on a dip and this one got stopped out below that monthly candle. Only small exposure as mentioned so just a small loss.
Nebraskangooner@Nebraskangooner
$OTLY Added small exposure to my robinhood long term portfolio. Left room to add if it dips. I don't want to see it go below last month's candle though or i'd cut.
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Todd Bailey retweetledi
$SLX
Another long term portfolio addition today.
Nice R:R, has to hold this support. Will cut if it drops back below.
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Todd Bailey retweetledi
Yesterday was the last day of the quarter.
Means silver has now broken out above the 45-year cup & handle.
My target since 2019 is 370+.
So it begins....
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Todd Bailey retweetledi
Todd Bailey retweetledi
Accumulating #Bitcoin below RSI value of 40 has been historically fool-proof.
If RSI drops below 40 again are you going to be accumulating?
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