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Sam NPT
566 posts
Sam NPT
@TradeMeOrFold
Trading and investing. (not financial advice) Contact for managed accounts. 100% of revenue goes to feeding and housing children world wide.
Katılım Haziran 2020
205 Takip Edilen148 Takipçiler
Above $es 7,550 is a clean 40 point scalp.
$spy $spx
Sam NPT@TradeMeOrFold
Just a reminder, even though I take swings. THIS IS A SCALPERS PARADISE! $es $spy $Spx
English
Still bullish silver.
How to play it IMO:
HL = favorite high BETA
FSM = favorite company quality
Will take leverage when flow is fully committed.
Fully loaded!
$silver $gold
Sam NPT@TradeMeOrFold
$si $Silver Not a trade! An investment—I'm buying retail out. This plays out in two ways: 1. This is a crazy buy! 2. This goes down to 0. Either way, I just made this a core position. YOLO!
English
My call on Silver from over 2 weeks ago is aging nicely. We followed the trend back down to support and are now seeing a breakout. Was becoming more confident as bears became cocky and sentiment began saying we’re going much lower.
Sqeaky Mouse@TheSqeakyMouse
I see Silver riding this resistance back down to the $55 support to establish a stronger base, which leads to a break in resistance.
English
NOTICE
Closing out my shorts swings, I'll play outside the box. Bulls held lows, Bears held highs... auction...
Profit: Modest $19k on this one.
$es $spy $spx
Sam NPT@TradeMeOrFold
Just a reminder, even though I take swings. THIS IS A SCALPERS PARADISE! $es $spy $Spx
English
Still of the opinion that a good swing comes outside the box!
$es $spy $spx
Sam NPT@TradeMeOrFold
Just a reminder, even though I take swings. THIS IS A SCALPERS PARADISE! $es $spy $Spx
English
Put your money where your mouth is
$INFQ $INDI
Sam NPT@TradeMeOrFold
Just finished a DD into $infq I like the comapy enough to take a position. If this isn't a bottom fine, but it believe its at a good valuation RN.
English
How many flipped long?
How many were wrong?
Only order flow!
$es $spy $spx
Sam NPT@TradeMeOrFold
TP for 45 points scalp. $11k. Discord had it early. $es $spy $spx
English
I like this name and the Order flow setup attached to it.
Long $indi.
9 Ventures@ThematicTrader
I am long $INDI, a semiconductor supplier sitting at the intersection of automotive ADAS, humanoid robotics, and quantum photonics. $INDI is designed into both Figure AI and Unitree. With the anticipated Unitree IPO coming in the next few weeks, I expect to see the $INDI story come into the light. This is a business that is expected to double their revenue by 2028 on consensus estimates. I sit conservatively below consensus 2027 and 2028 revenue, yet still am yielding base case targets in the double digits.
English
How this swing might look:
Break 7,580 ---> 7,350
Break 7,350 ---> 7,200
$es $spy $spx
Sam NPT@TradeMeOrFold
Update: Sold ON at 7,570 (67) PT at 7,481 for $14K Reloaded swing and scalps at bear level: 7,535 Bears rejected where they needed 2. $es $spy $spx
English
I cover and it jumps 20 points, beautiful
$es $spy $spx
Sam NPT@TradeMeOrFold
TP for 45 points scalp. $11k. Discord had it early. $es $spy $spx
English
Was bullish at the top yet still caught 2/3 of the move
Now that's flexibility!
$es $spy $spx
Sam NPT@TradeMeOrFold
Update: Sold ON at 7,570 (67) PT at 7,481 for $14K Reloaded swing and scalps at bear level: 7,535 Bears rejected where they needed 2. $es $spy $spx
English
Feels bad, -49.4% drawdown this month after the recent crash.
My portfolio is mainly AI chokepoints and bottlenecks.
In the memory, photonics, robotics, and upstream semis, (on margin) which all tend to be higher beta than others. But reduced leverage recently from the crash.
I see a lot of people making fun of the drop or AI names, saying it’s obvious that:
- “AI is a bubble”
- “memory/kospi is a bubble”
- “photonics is a bubble”
- “humanoids won’t get anywhere”
- “neoclouds will get replaced by hyperscalers like Meta”
And a bunch of retail + bots saying “sell everything, it’s never going to recover”.
But I have conviction that all these themes are backed by structural revenue growth or technological shifts.
And I’ve had similar drawdowns back when there admin threatened global tariffs, before markets pulled off a recovery.
I personally have a longer horizon + higher tolerance for volatility than others, to see how this plays out.
Especially considering a lot of retail view things on a week to week basis: no, my thesis isn’t wrong yet if I project revenue inflection in H2 2027 and it’s 2026 now.
Anyway, feels bad short term just wanted to share anyway for transparency.
Serenity@aleabitoreddit
Agreed! It’s nice to remember your thesis during a market crash. From my own personal thesis, if $AAOI hits $1.4B quarterly revenue start of Q3 2027. Which is annualized $5.6B off a $8B MC. Is it “over” for the company if that revenue ramp hasn’t even shown up in the quarterly earnings… when it’s 2026? Same applies to my CPO sector exposure like $SIVE, an architecture shift led by $NVDA. If scale out volume ramps from H2 2026 into 2027, and scale up heavily volume ramps into 2028. Is it “over” that $0 -> $91B TAM expansion (per GS) hasn’t even hit yet? With robotics like Agility, is it over in 2026 if the listing hasn’t even happened yet and humanoids haven’t ramped? I personally think current market conditions are a reflection of liquidity and leverage, not individual fundamentals. It’s brutal for everyone to see KOSPI, TW, Nikkei, and AI, space, robotics sector stocks crash recently. Especially when there’s a lot of irrational behavior stemming from those leverage. In the end, we can’t tell you what stocks to buy, what timeframe you should sell, how to size your positions, or what you should do. Only share personal thoughts or research and track if they get validated over time. So it’s extremely important to build your own thesis, since everyone has unique risk tolerance or investing timeframes. And that usually leads to having higher conviction during crashes.
English
Most people on X don't actually trade. They just ride the hype train until a name dies, then jump to the next one.
I actually hold positions.
$SIVE — down on my adds, avg cost 40.
Here's the read: 30–58 SEK is the pain range. We probably chop here for weeks — this is the stretch where X forgets the name exists, because everyone who bought above 100 already gave up on it.
Once we clear that range, we ride higher.
English
TP scalp on 15 points +$4k
Im seeing weak stocks holding up.
Bullish sign, but really no trend.
Swings stop in profit above high.
$es $spy $spx
Sam NPT@TradeMeOrFold
Wow, Adds are feasting. +23 on scalps still running. $es $spy $spx
English
Wow, Adds are feasting.
+23 on scalps still running.
$es $spy $spx
Sam NPT@TradeMeOrFold
If bears want it its here. Else its back into auction. $es $spy $spx
English
If bears want it its here. Else its back into auction.
$es $spy $spx
Sam NPT@TradeMeOrFold
Up 90 points. Small PT here. Realized $14k. $es $spy $spx
English