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The Regulator
4.6K posts

The Regulator
@Tradeit7
Trader of NQ futures and investing in individual stocks that meet criteria. Fan of emotions as a super power to guide decisions.
United States Katılım Mart 2018
859 Takip Edilen178 Takipçiler

🌍 The infrastructure the next decade runs on. Eight lanes, one map. 🧵👇
💡 Photonics → light replaces copper. The interconnect is the new bottleneck.
$CRDO $AAOI
⚙️ AI infrastructure → the compute buildout, still early on megawatts actually energized.
$NBIS $IREN $WYFI
🤖 Physical AI → intelligence that acts. The models are leaving the chat window.
$OUST $AMBA
🛸 Autonomy & drones → machines that operate themselves, and the defense budgets that want them.
$ONDS $MRLN
⚡ Energy & storage → the buildout's binding constraint. No electrons, no tokens.
$TE $EOSE $QS
🪨 Critical minerals → the hard constraints under everything. Geology doesn't do earnings guidance.
$MP $ASPI $UAMY
🚀 Space → the orbital economy: coverage, imaging, launch. The high ground, literally.
$ASTS $RKLB $PL
The thesis in one line: own the chokepoints the digital economy can't function without. Logos change. Layers don't. 🔑
The ledger: infrastructure de-rates violently when positioning crowds, and the past six weeks were the live demonstration. Chokepoints don't exempt you from drawdowns. They exempt you from irrelevance.
Own the layers, not the logo.
DYOR. Not FA.

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@DrDeannaCole It actually starts in your body in many instances. Calm body leads to better choices.
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Not a single mention of “emotion” here 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻
Why do traders get trapped thinking emotions = psychology?! I suppose it’s because emotion can be so prevalent while trading…but that’s a distraction IMO.
⭐️Thoughts —> behaviors⭐️
(Emotions ofc are a part of it, but thoughts can be controlled)
Tony is Trading@TFMTrades
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@RosannaInvests Bring anger or rage it can destroy you in certain instances
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A great market technician @ProblemSniper who called this period of weakness is now calling an end to it.
🧐July OPEX -> Friday. Earnings begin.
Could next week be GREEN for the growth stocks that have been in a major correction/bear for past 6 weeks?
ProblemSniper@ProblemSniper
This week is the end of this period. ❤️ Finally! If you survived. Kudos!
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@tradesbyrina @buitengebieden You could become an oceanographer, in the side.
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Big red day in semis and related. Perfect day to talk about conviction, because today is the exam.
Here's the test hiding in every drawdown: if you had conviction at $100, you should have MORE at $50 → same company, same contracts, same order book, better price. The math improved. If your conviction fell WITH the price, then it was never conviction. It was company. You didn't hold a thesis → you held a crowd, and the crowd is leaving.
But the test has a second question, and skipping it is how people ride broken stories to zero: is the thesis actually intact? Because cheaper is only better if what you bought still exists. Price is not information about the business → filings are. So on red days I don't ask "am I scared." I ask "did anything on my kill list fire." Contracts cancelled? Demand cracked? Tripwire hit? If no → the market is running a discount on something I already wanted. If yes → the price isn't cheap, it's correct.
That's the whole discipline in one line: conviction attaches to the thesis, never to the price. The price is just the market's mood about your thesis, quoted daily.
And the uncomfortable diagnosis, offered with love: if you can't answer "what would prove me wrong" right now, without looking, then you were never invested in the company. You were invested in the consensus → and consensus doesn't pay you for holding through days like today. It pays whoever sold to you at the top and buys from you at the bottom.
Buy fear, sell euphoria → everyone can recite it. Almost nobody can do it, because doing it requires having done the work BEFORE the fear arrived.
Conviction isn't how sure you feel. It's what you know that the tape can't take away.
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blew up my @TradersLaunch evals today. 😔
no daily loss limit. scalped through the pre-consumer-sentiment chop because i wanted to feel something. said "f it" and flipped to minis to dig out of drawdown.
bad process. worse outcome.
what really stings: the setup was bullish the entire time. proper sizing, my own rules, and today was an easy profit target.
fridays are statistically my worst day. the real move was banking yesterday's win and starting monday clean.
i knew all of that before i opened the platform. knowing it before the candle closes is the part i haven't built yet.
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@RosannaInvests Like everything patterns work until they don’t. Mkt is on the precipice of a trend change on the year to a balanced state.. It must be respected. If it stays above key yearly levels like most optimistic people expect new highs! However, If not be prepared to adjust.
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🚨This table is the seasonal pattern I've been laying out all week, with the data behind it.
Every one of those 8 red Junes was green in July. And look at the two worst → June 2022 down 8.91%, July up 12.55%. June 2008 down 9.61%, July green. The harder the June flush, the bigger the July snapback.
There's a mechanical reason. June carries forced, price-insensitive flow → Russell reconstitution, quarter and half-year-end rebalancing. Funds selling to hit mandates regardless of price. That pressure clears in early July, and the names that sold off on positioning rather than thesis tend to reprice back up.
Forced selling in June. The unwind is usually July. 🧐
OddStats@OddStats
QQQ ▪ July ▪ After the 8 most recent Red Junes ▪ You know, just in case
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@JimScalpert I poked a ski pole through my sneaker at age 6 and got stitches between my toes.
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@EmarksPW Fofu the inverse of fomo could look like hesitation…fomo flipped on its side, which is another form of shame avoidance and can lead to maladaptive fomo to try and undo the f up which is even worse for me
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yo hoppin on stream come hang! and then be sure to hang at 4pm EST for my develop your edge segment! youtube.com/watch?v=AW1gez…

YouTube
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I’ve spent 20+ years on Wall Street as a PM and 8+ years coaching elite traders at the top 20 hedge funds, so listen to me when I say this:
Your biggest problem is what happens to you under pressure.
That’s when your training breaks down.
Because profitable traders are not just more disciplined.
They’re better regulated.
They know how to stay functional when P&L flashes red, heart rate spikes, and the trade starts testing their nervous system in real time.
That’s what makes them different.
So I put together a breakdown on the hidden psychology behind profitable traders.
Here’s what’s inside:
→ Why discipline is an incomplete answer to trading psychology
→ What happens in your brain and nervous system when stress takes over
→ How profitable traders use regulation instead of willpower
→ Why emotions are data, not weakness
→ The concept of mental capital and why it matters as much as financial capital
→ How emotional depletion leads to revenge trading, oversizing, and gambling behavior
→ Why aggressive patience separates amateurs from elite performers
→ The deeper identity patterns that quietly sabotage execution
→ 3 practical tools you can use immediately to trade with more consistency under pressure
If you want the full breakdown:
Comment "PSYCHOLOGY"
And I’ll send it over.

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@EmarksPW My answer new emotional experience creation learned that one somewhere!
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@EmarksPW Put another way, I’m making myself pay for how I feel, instead of just feeling it. Choosing a supportive action like standing up moving away shaking it out, vs hammering it is my best choice.
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@EmarksPW Pressing the buttons in revenge trading is acting out a familiar story . How can we rewrite the script?
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