
Philippe GERARD
2.1K posts

Philippe GERARD
@TradingBCN
Live in London, firm believer in Newton third law : For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction


🚨 OIL PRODUCERS ARE MANIPULATING THE MARKET, AND I’VE GOT PROOF Look at the chart. OIL PRODUCERS ARE SHORTING OIL WITH $192.647 BILLION. The BIGGEST short in 20 years, right ahead of US-Iran talks announcement. And if you think that's legal... YOU'RE COMPLETELY WRONG. When the people closest to the physical market start locking in this much downside exposure, they're not doing it for fun. They're doing it because price is HIGH enough to hedge, and the risk is HIGH enough to protect against. That one fact explains a lot. Because this is not retail gambling. This is the real oil economy telling you something. Now connect the dots. US producers rushed to lock in soaring crude prices after the Iran war shock, while ICE saw a record 12.7 MILLION energy futures and options contracts trade in one day. Brent alone traded 4.8 MILLION contracts that day, the highest since June 2025. That is NOT normal. That is what a full hedging panic looks like. And the numbers get even bigger when you do the math. $192.647 BILLION of producer shorts at $100 oil means the market is hedging the equivalent of about 1.93 BILLION barrels. Read that again. 1.93 BILLION barrels. That is serious size. And here’s why it matters. When producers hedge this aggressively, it usually means they think current prices are worth locking in, even if headlines still sound bullish. In other words, the people who actually produce, process, and move oil are using this spike to SELL into strength. That is NOT the same message you get from retail chasing war headlines. And there is one more layer. Crude supply disruption was tracking toward almost 12 MILLION barrels per day as tanker disruption tightened the market. So this is the setup. - War - Supply disruption - Producers short That is exactly how you get violent two-way moves. It pumps on fear. It gets sold into hedges. Then the market starts fighting itself. THIS IS A WARNING. Not because oil can't go higher. Because the people closest to the barrel are already leaning the other way with $193 BILLION behind them. I've studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.





5 minutes before Trump’s announcement: * $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. * $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold. More than 4x-6x any other trade size during the market close. Insiders profited from his lies in broad daylight!

5 minutes before Trump’s announcement: * $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. * $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold. More than 4x-6x any other trade size during the market close. Insiders profited from his lies in broad daylight!



BREAKING: Iran fired two ballistic missiles at US-UK base at Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean, according to Wall Street Journal report.






