Philippe GERARD

2.1K posts

Philippe GERARD

Philippe GERARD

@TradingBCN

Live in London, firm believer in Newton third law : For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction

LONDON Katılım Haziran 2011
806 Takip Edilen182 Takipçiler
Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
@pittbull_grrr Non ce n'est pas un délit d'initié, c'est la #PPT (Plunge Protection Team) en action probablement pilotée par #Bessent . Depuis le début elle pese sur le prix du #pétrole et ca coute cher, il fallait renflouer les caisses.
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phil.bechade
phil.bechade@pittbull_grrr·
Combien de temps avant que les médias -même pro-Trump-crament ce délit d'initié titanesque? Le pétrole a plongé de -13% sur l'annonce : -2.000 Mds$ de "valeur notionnelle" évaporé. En face, +3.000Mds$ de valeur boursière (ajoutons-y les -10 puis +13% sur l'argent). Du jamais vu !
Wimar.X@DefiWimar

🚨 OIL PRODUCERS ARE MANIPULATING THE MARKET, AND I’VE GOT PROOF Look at the chart. OIL PRODUCERS ARE SHORTING OIL WITH $192.647 BILLION. The BIGGEST short in 20 years, right ahead of US-Iran talks announcement. And if you think that's legal... YOU'RE COMPLETELY WRONG. When the people closest to the physical market start locking in this much downside exposure, they're not doing it for fun. They're doing it because price is HIGH enough to hedge, and the risk is HIGH enough to protect against. That one fact explains a lot. Because this is not retail gambling. This is the real oil economy telling you something. Now connect the dots. US producers rushed to lock in soaring crude prices after the Iran war shock, while ICE saw a record 12.7 MILLION energy futures and options contracts trade in one day. Brent alone traded 4.8 MILLION contracts that day, the highest since June 2025. That is NOT normal. That is what a full hedging panic looks like. And the numbers get even bigger when you do the math. $192.647 BILLION of producer shorts at $100 oil means the market is hedging the equivalent of about 1.93 BILLION barrels. Read that again. 1.93 BILLION barrels. That is serious size. And here’s why it matters. When producers hedge this aggressively, it usually means they think current prices are worth locking in, even if headlines still sound bullish. In other words, the people who actually produce, process, and move oil are using this spike to SELL into strength. That is NOT the same message you get from retail chasing war headlines. And there is one more layer. Crude supply disruption was tracking toward almost 12 MILLION barrels per day as tanker disruption tightened the market. So this is the setup. - War - Supply disruption - Producers short That is exactly how you get violent two-way moves. It pumps on fear. It gets sold into hedges. Then the market starts fighting itself. THIS IS A WARNING. Not because oil can't go higher. Because the people closest to the barrel are already leaning the other way with $193 BILLION behind them. I've studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
@ALarigaudrieBFM Je parierai plus sur l'action de la #PPT sous la coordination avec #Bessent. Mais il est également fort probable que #Trump est prévenu sa famille et ses amis. Dans tous les cas une belle manipulation. Bien évidemment il n'y a aucun contact avec l'#Iran.
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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
@idrissaberkane Piégé par #Trump, le président le plus corrompu de l'histoire des #USA. Il menace a la cloture des marchés Vendredi et raconte une histoire le Lundi avant l'ouverture. Mais oui, ce sera pire et tres bientot car l'#Iran n'a aucune intention de négocier
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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
@Stephanie_Link #Trump is lying There are absolutely no contacts with the #Iranian regime, simple reason Tehran has zero incentive to negotiate with the #USA With Marines & amphibious units deployed in the area the situation is set to deteriorate significantly in the coming weeks
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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
@jlebenthal #Trump is lying. There are absolutely no contacts with the #Iranian regime, simple reason: Tehran has zero incentive to negotiate with the #USA. With Marines & amphibious units deployed in the area, the situation is set to deteriorate significantly in the coming weeks
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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
@BFMTV #Trump ment de bout en bout, menace á la cloture des marchés le Vendredi soir et #TACO le Lundi matin avant l'ouverture pour proteger les marchés. Au passage 5 minutes avant l'annonce de grosses positions sont passées sur le #SP500 et le #Pétrole ....#USA #Iran
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BFM
BFM@BFMTV·
"Tout le monde dans le régime (iranien) a été tué, donc forcément il y aura un changement de régime", assure Donald Trump
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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
Il y a visiblement quelqu'un qui savait ce que #Trump allait dire. C'est vraiment le #president le plus #corrompu de l'histoire des #USA De plus on s'apercevra rapidement qu'il a tout inventé calmer les marchés et enrichir ses copains...
Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth)@adamscochran

5 minutes before Trump’s announcement: * $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. * $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold. More than 4x-6x any other trade size during the market close. Insiders profited from his lies in broad daylight!

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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
Comme d’hab tout ce que #Trump raconte est tellement confus qu’il devient impossible de distinguer le vrai du faux À mon avis tout est inventé pour gagner du temps et rassurer les marchés Je ne vois absolument pas pourquoi les Iraniens accepteraient de négocier maintenant #USA
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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
#Trump thinks we’re idiots. He wakes up, takes a piss, turns on the TV, and decides to call a journalist to claim he spent the whole weekend talking with #Iran and that he’s postponing his ultimatum — while no one in the #USA or in Iran has any idea what he’s talking about.
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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
#Trump nous prend pour des cons Il se réveille va pisser allume la tv et décide d’appeler un journaliste pour lui raconter qu’il a passé tout le WE à discuter avec l’#Iran et qu’il repousse son ultimatum alors que personne aux #USA ni en Iran n’est au courant de quoi que ce soit
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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
As expected and anticipated, the biggest #TACO in history. #Trump is backing down in front of #Iran’s threats. Has he finally realised that from the very beginning he was being manipulated by #Netanyahu and #Israel, and that this was never the #USA’s war…?
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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
Comme prévu et anticipé, le plus gros #TACO de l'histoire. #Trump baisse son froc devant les menaces de l'#Iran. A-t-il enfin réalisé que depuis le debut il était manipulé par #Netanyahu et #Israel et que ce n'était pas la guerre des #USA...
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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
@RnaudBertrand Arretez de raconter n'importe quoi, les missiles n'avaient pas de charge donc beaucoup plus léger et pouvaient voler plus loin.
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Arnaud Bertrand
Arnaud Bertrand@RnaudBertrand·
Iran seems to be following a strategy of unveiling more and more impressive military capabilities as the war goes on. They just fired long-range ballistic missiles at Diego Garcia, one of the most strategically significant U.S. military bases in the world (hosting B-52 bombers, nuclear subs, etc.), nearly 5,000km away from them in the middle of the Indian ocean 👇. Diego Garcia has never been hit before in any war in its 5 decades of existence, and no-one knew Iran had these types of capabilities (Iran themselves said their ballistic missile range was limited to 2,000 kilometers). Two days ago, they also took down an "unkillable" F-35 fifth-generation fighter jet, something which has never happened before (militarywatchmagazine.com/article/footag…). They've also managed to take control of the world's most strategic oil chokepoint, and have proven they can hit any strategic target in the wider Middle-East, even the most protected ones (such as Israel's Haifa oil refinery: aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/19…). All in all, it sounds almost unbelievable but Iran appears to have a genuine form of escalation dominance over the United States military, with its trillion dollar budget. In a very real way, it's even more impressive than Vietnam or Afghanistan: those countries resisted a superpower, Iran appears to be competing with one. It also makes you think: what comes next? And that's exactly what escalation dominance is all about: keep raising the stakes until the other side blinks. It's about making Trump think "wait, I thought I was picking a fight with the skinny kid and turns out he's Bruce Lee."
Arnaud Bertrand tweet media
The Spectator Index@spectatorindex

BREAKING: Iran fired two ballistic missiles at US-UK base at Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean, according to Wall Street Journal report.

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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
@mishtal How stupid are you those missiles had no charge, therefore go further. Just think before relaying stupid information.
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David Collier
David Collier@mishtal·
Iran just fired missiles at Diego Garcia - 2,361 miles from Tehran. They were not supposed to have this range. Surprise, surprise, Iran lied! Tehran to London 2750 miles Tehran to Paris 2610 miles Tehran to Berlin 2200 miles So yeah, tell me again how Iran is not a threat
David Collier tweet media
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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
@lauhaim Vous racontez n'importe quoi, les missiles non chargés vont plus loin. Ceux-la n'avaient pas de charge. Reflechissez avant de parler.
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LAURENCE HAIM
LAURENCE HAIM@lauhaim·
Important : les tirs contre la base américaine à Diego Garcia signifient que l'Iran a 4 000 km de missiles balistiques - et cela n'a jamais été révélé auparavant. Tous les rapports antérieurs indiquaient que l'Iran avait une portée de 2 000 km et pas au-delà.
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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
@lauhaim Vous racontez n'importe quoi, l'#Iran n'a aucune capacité á envoyer des #missiles chargés á plus de 2500km...Pour rappel ils vont plus loin lorsqu'ils n'emportent pas de charge. Mieux vaut reflechir avant de parler.
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LAURENCE HAIM
LAURENCE HAIM@lauhaim·
L'Iran selon le Wall Street Journal a tire des missiles balistiques à longue portée sur Diego Garcia, l'une des bases militaires américaines les plus importantes (abritant des bombardiers B-52, des sous-marins nucléaires, etc.), à près de 5 000 km d'eux au milieu de l'océan Indien . Les 2 missiles auraient ete interceptés. Diego Garcia n'a jamais été touché auparavant dans aucune guerre au cours de ses 5 décennies d'existence, et personne ne savait que l'Iran possédait ce type de capacités..
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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
The #war that should never have happened. This is what happens when you elect an #idiot to lead a super‑military power. #USA
Philippe GERARD tweet media
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Philippe GERARD
Philippe GERARD@TradingBCN·
The #USA is preparing the next phase of the #war in #Iran, boots on the ground... Thousands of #marines on their way. It will happen in the next 10 days. The #Iranians are waiting for them.
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