Udeaba Gerald

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Udeaba Gerald

Udeaba Gerald

@Udeaba

Engineer | Oil & Gas Facilities | Consultant | Public Affairs Analyst | Shaping conversations with facts

Katılım Mart 2011
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
Nigeria Looking Back: 2023–2026 Tinubu, Suffering, and the Price of Change Nigeria did not spoil in one day. It became bad little by little. Before Tinubu came, things were already hard. Fuel problems. Naira problems. Bad security. This is not to praise him or hate him. It is just the truth. The problem did not start in 2023. The Big Start May 29, 2023. Tinubu said one sentence: “Fuel subsidy is gone.” No warning. No soft landing. No help first. That one sentence changed transport money, food prices, and daily life fast. Today, petrol is still around ₦1,300 to ₦1,400 per litre. People are still feeling that pain. The Suffering Prices went up very fast. Food became too costly. People were not angry because of change. They were angry because suffering came first before help. And help took too long to come. The Protest Time In August 2024, people came out to protest. The #EndBadGovernance protest happened across Nigeria. More protests came again in October. Hunger was real. It was in the market. It was in empty pots at home. It was on the family table. People were tired. Numbers and Real Life By 2026, government says some things are getting better. Inflation is lower. Foreign money reserve is better. The stock market is growing. The economy may grow more. These numbers are real. But numbers do not buy garri. Statistics do not pay school fees. This is why many people are still angry. Good news on paper. Hard life on the street. Street Truth Many Nigerians are still poor. Workers earn small money. Minimum wage is ₦70,000. But many say people need much more to live well in places like Lagos and Abuja. People keep saying: “Food is too expensive.” “There are no jobs.” “My salary finishes in one week.” This is the real life people see every day. The Hunger Problem This part is very painful. Millions of Nigerians may face serious hunger in 2026. Many children do not have enough food to eat. Some people are close to famine. Nigeria’s economy may be growing, but hunger is also growing. Both are true. That is the hard part. Fear and Security Security became better in some places. But worse in other places. Bandits still attack. Kidnappers still call families. Farmers are still afraid to go to farm. A country cannot fully get well when fear is everywhere. Basic Life Needs Schools are too full. Hospitals ask for money before treatment. Light comes and goes. Many people still struggle for simple things. Food. Power. Healthcare. Education. These should not be luxury. 2027 Is Coming Another election is coming in 2027. Politicians are already preparing. Money will start moving. And in Nigeria, election years often make naira weaker. People are watching closely. Two Sides of the Story Some people say Tinubu is fixing Nigeria. Others say Nigerians are suffering too much because of it. Both sides have a point. Maybe both are partly right. One country. Two truths. Tinubu the Leader Tinubu is not a hero. He is not a devil. He is trying to repair a country that has been sick for many years. Some big economic signs are improving. But ordinary people are still in pain. The real question is: Can Nigerians survive while the fixing is happening? That question is still open. Nigeria Is Not Finished But Nigeria is tired. She needs change with kindness. Policy with protection. Numbers that bring food to homes. Growth that reaches the common man. Not just good reports. Not just big grammar. Real help. Real relief. Real hope. If this sounds true, share it. If it hurts, talk about it. Because this story belongs to all of us. @officialABAT @PeterObi @atiku @OmoyeleSowere
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
Here is the number that should haunt every Nigerian who voted in 2023. 13 million. In the 2023 presidential election, Peter Obi ran alone, Kwankwaso ran alone, and Atiku ran alone. Together, those three candidates received over 13 million votes. President Tinubu received 8.7 million votes. If those three candidates had been on one ticket, they would have won that election by a very wide margin. (Abuja Network News) They were not on one ticket. Tinubu won. Nigeria's opposition did not lose in 2023 because Nigerians do not want change. Nigeria's opposition lost in 2023 because it could not stay together long enough to collect the votes that were already waiting for it. The OK Movement, which stands for Obi and Kwankwaso together, was born from the pain of that arithmetic. It is the opposition saying: we will not make the same mistake twice. Now here is what must also be said clearly. Because Obi and Kwankwaso have now left the ADC and joined the NDC, the opposition is actually more divided than before. Both the NDC and the ADC are now expected to produce separate presidential candidates. This is the exact opposite of the united opposition that Nigeria needs. (Daily Trust) Atiku is still in the ADC. Obi and Kwankwaso are now in NDC. The 13 million is now being split again. Unless someone blinks. Unless someone is big enough to step back. Unless 2023 taught the opposition a lesson it is finally ready to act on. The question is not whether Obi or Kwankwaso can win. The question is whether the Nigerian opposition is finally mature enough to let them. PORTION 7 is coming. The final verdict. #OKMovement #Obidients #Kwankwasiyya
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
There are holes in the NDC process of receiving Obi and Kwankwaso that must be addressed urgently. Let us be honest about them. Hole Number One. The Ward Registration Problem. In Nigeria, you do not join a party at the national office. You join a party at your ward. In your local government. In your state. The welcome ceremony for Obi and Kwankwaso happened at the NDC national secretariat in Abuja. One Nigerian said it plainly online: "I thought members are supposed to register at the ward level and not at the national level." If Obi's ward-level registration in Anambra State is not properly done, properly recorded, and properly uploaded into the NDC's digital database, any opponent can go to court and challenge his eligibility. That door must be closed now. Hole Number Two. The "Already Promised Ticket" Problem. Before any primary was held, before any votes were cast by NDC members, the party was publicly talking about offering Obi the presidential ticket. Section 84(2) of the new Electoral Act says candidates must emerge through direct primaries where all party members vote, or through a properly documented consensus. The old delegate system is gone. (TheCable) INEC monitors all primaries. If INEC's report shows that a consensus was reached through pressure or without the required written signatures from every cleared aspirant, INEC can reject the candidate's papers entirely. (TheBoss Newspaper) NDC must hold a real primary. Not a ceremony. A real primary. Hole Number Three. The Technology Problem. The new law requires every party to build a digital membership database that includes each member's full name, gender, date of birth, address, state, local government, ward, polling unit, National Identification Number, and photograph. A party that fails to submit this database on time cannot field any candidates. Not one. For any position. (Technext) NDC is a brand new party. Building that kind of database for members across all 36 states and the FCT, linked to NINs and photographs, before May 30, is an enormous technical challenge. It must begin today. Not tomorrow. Today. What do you think is the biggest risk for NDC right now? Tell me below. #NDC #INEC #NigerianPolitics
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
Something happened in Abuja on Sunday, May 3, 2026 that Nigeria will not stop talking about for a very long time. Peter Obi and Kwankwaso left the ADC and officially joined the NDC. The Obidients went wild. The Kwankwasiyya went wild. Millions of Nigerians celebrated. But while everyone is celebrating, there is a question nobody is asking loudly enough. Is this a genuine escape? Or is it just a more beautifully designed trap? Because the same forces that allegedly destroyed the Labour Party from inside, and then destroyed the ADC from inside, have already been named by opposition insiders as being on their way to the NDC. The pattern is too consistent to be a coincidence. In the Labour Party. In the NNPP. In the ADC. In the PRP. The same playbook. The same results. And now the same forces are reportedly heading for the NDC. This is not just about two politicians changing parties. This is about whether Peter Obi will even be allowed to appear on the ballot in 2027. There is a legal landmine inside the new Electoral Act 2026 that most Nigerians do not know exists. And the court case that could defuse it is happening in THREE DAYS. Save this post. Read every portion of this article. This is the most important political story of the year. PORTION 2 is coming. Follow this account so you don't miss it. #Nigeria #PeterObi #2027Elections
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
A billionaire in any currency in the world, cannot be a coward. Not possible. Someone is traveling from the north to the south, and from the east to the west day in, day out, donating 20 million Naira every week to either a nursing or medical school since 2023. And you said that he's a coward? Afraid of what really?
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Arc Uche Rochas
Arc Uche Rochas@U_Rochas·
I want to tell you the bitter truth from the long post that Peter Obi made yesterday and the reason why he is leaving ADC. The truth is that Obi is a coward, a man who does not face challenges head-on. The problem in ADC is too small compared to the problems of the nation he wants to lead. This is a simple testament that he would abandon his responsibilities and then blame the entire country for it. He is a man who was overhyped and, unfortunately for him, is not meeting expectations. Only those with low understanding, those who take a long time to process reality, will keep holding on to what they were told, regardless of how events have changed. Only such people still believe in him. Those who are more discerning have seen him for who he is and have left the sinking ship.
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
@Pharmacio001 @ADCVanguard_ My friend, they'll. Those boys roaming about with plastic plates and spoons will be happy that they'll be taken off the streets to some useful life building tradesman/craftsmanship training.
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Abubakar Yunusa
Abubakar Yunusa@Pharmacio001·
BREAKING 💥 Arewa people will never vote Peter Obi
Abubakar Yunusa tweet media
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
@NDCNigNews Some cleaning companies should be hired to go clear dust out of the Ogbologbo's house on Bourdillourn road Ikoyi, Lagos. No time.
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
@U_Rochas Who guaranteed the 25% for Atiku in South East and South South? Every time una go de talk 'arab'. Which kind of 'ekpekiri' be that?
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Arc Uche Rochas
Arc Uche Rochas@U_Rochas·
This is the best time for HE Atiku to choose a South West person as his VP. This is not about balance; it is about strategic planning and winning. The South West are not politically illiterate, they will deliver their share of the votes. The South East and South South are already out of reach; they will likely repeat the 2023 pattern. But your 25% is guaranteed in those two regions. Let’s play.
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
@Sports_Doctor2 Serial Dickson and others who made this happen will be blessed. They provided a lean way of escape for Nigerians.
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SportsDokita (Odogwu ☝️)
SportsDokita (Odogwu ☝️)@Sports_Doctor2·
This is a Seriake Dickson Appreciation Post, thanks for holding down the forte at NDC and giving Nigerians an alternative!!!!
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Nigeria Democratic Congress
No factions No on going court case No leadership crisis No status quo ante bellum. Ready to serve
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
@Pharmacio001 I like the way you're going about your support for HE Atiku. You will not stand before mere men, but great men in no distant time.
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Abubakar Yunusa
Abubakar Yunusa@Pharmacio001·
As long as Atiku is on the ballot, he gets the core Northern votes. Kwankwaso won't get you those votes as Vice. But you can keep dreaming. Atiku gets the votes here.
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
The young Nigerian voter who powered Labour Party in 2023 does not care about the power-sharing agreement of 1999. They do not care about geopolitical zones. They care about electricity. They care about jobs. They care about the exchange rate. They care about whether their school certificate can get them a future. Atiku's political language was built in the 1990s. It does not speak to this voter. It does not reach them. A MAN MUST KNOW WHEN HIS SEASON HAS ENDED. There is no shame in a long and strong political career. Atiku Abubakar served as Vice President of Nigeria for eight years. He built businesses. He created jobs. He shaped economic debates in Nigeria for thirty full years. That is a legacy worth protecting. But every new defeat does not just fail to add to a legacy. Every new defeat breaks a little piece of it off. Each loss slowly changes the story from "a great man who came very close" to "a man who simply could not read the room." Nigeria is not waiting for Atiku Abubakar. Nigeria has already moved on. The political ground of 2027 will be shaped by forces that are generational, structural, and economic. His 2023 campaign showed clearly that he does not fully understand these forces. Go home, sir. Sit down with your grandchildren and your great-grandchildren. Let history remember you as a man who fought hard. Do not let history remember you as a man who could not find the door when it was time to leave. In politics, as in life itself, there is a very big difference between knowing when to fight and knowing when to stop. The wisest politicians have always known that the most powerful exit is the one you choose for yourself, before the voters choose it for you. What do you think? Is there still any road left for Atiku in 2027? Or has his window closed for good? Share your thoughts below. #Nigeria #Atiku #NigeriaPolitics #2027Elections #NigerianPolitics
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
ATIKU ABUBAKAR AND THE ILLUSION OF THE NORTHERN BLOC VOTE There is a political lie that many people in Nigeria have believed for too long. The lie says this: if you control the North, you will control the presidency. Atiku Abubakar has built his whole political life on this lie. But history has already shown that the lie is a lie. And the person who showed us this truth is Atiku's own former boss. BUHARI TRIED IT THREE TIMES. THREE TIMES, THE NORTH ALONE WAS NOT ENOUGH. Muhammadu Buhari ran for president in 2003, 2007, and 2011. Every time he ran, he came with the most faithful, most passionate voters in Nigerian political history. Millions of northern Nigerians loved Buhari deeply. They would do anything to vote for him. Yet every time, Buhari lost. Then something changed. Not in the North. Something changed in Buhari's thinking. In 2015, Buhari's CPC joined hands with Bola Tinubu's ACN, new PDP politicians, and what remained of the ANPP. Suddenly, the northern power had a southern partner. What happened next? Buhari became Nigeria's President. He became the first person from the opposition to ever beat a sitting president at the polls in Nigerian history. Read this again slowly. Buhari, a man with millions of die-hard supporters in the North, could not become President with northern votes alone. He needed the South. NOW ASK YOURSELF. WHAT EXACTLY IS ATIKU'S PLAN? Atiku does not have what Buhari had. Atiku does not make people feel that deep personal loyalty. He does not carry the emotional weight that kept Buhari's supporters standing strong through three straight defeats. Yet in 2023, Atiku walked onto the presidential stage and acted as if the North would hand him what it could not even hand Buhari across ten full years of trying. The northern bloc vote is not a promise. It is not a guarantee. It is not even a strong foundation. In today's Nigerian politics, it is only a starting point. It is the floor, not the ceiling. THE WIKE MISTAKE WILL BE STUDIED IN NIGERIAN POLITICS FOR A VERY LONG TIME. Here is the hard truth about the 2023 election. Atiku Abubakar did not lose to Bola Tinubu. Atiku lost to his own pride. Nyesom Wike wanted to be Atiku's running mate. Think about who Wike is. Wike had just won Rivers State for the PDP in the governorship election. His political machine was one of the strongest and most effective in Nigeria. His power and reach in the South-South was not just talk. It was real and it was proven. This man wanted to stand beside Atiku on the presidential ticket. Atiku said no. He chose Delta State Governor Ifeanyi Okowa instead. Think carefully about what that one decision cost Atiku. If Wike had been on the ticket, Rivers State would almost certainly have gone to Atiku. Rivers State alone would have closed a big part of the gap between Atiku and Tinubu. Even more importantly, a happy and motivated Wike would never have crossed over to support Tinubu. Many political analysts believe that Wike's open support for Tinubu was one of the biggest reasons Tinubu won. Atiku did not just lose the election. He personally helped Tinubu win it by pushing Wike away. In the whole history of Nigerian presidential politics, very few mistakes have been this costly, this avoidable, and this self-made. THE YOUNG GENERATION IS NO LONGER WHISPERING. THEY ARE SHOUTING NOW. The 2023 election showed us the Obidient movement. That movement proved clearly that millions of Nigerian voters no longer follow the old North and South political arrangements that their parents followed.
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
First of all, you do all that you can and win the election. Afterwards, you manage or demobilise your VP, if he was just a vehicle for you to win the election. Buhari demobilised a whole erudite and vibrant professor of law, Osibanjo, and reduced him to sharing trader moni to women in the markets. Currently PBAT is sending Shettima for funerals, distancing him from Aso Rock. When Tinubu was asked why he chose Shettima as his running mate knowing that he's also a Muslim, he answered that he wanted to win the election. Period! Now that Tinubu is on the seat as president, you and I can see how he has ensured that Shettima is far away from his political kitchen cabinet and decision making; otherwise, will Shettima agree to the obvious skewed appointees who are mostly Yoruba? No. But, he can't really do anything to change appointments. Atiku made a fatal political mistake. Now, where's Dr. Ayu who urged him to snub Wike? Ayu is nowhere to be seen in the present build up for the 2027 presidential election. And some of you guys are now urging Atiku to run for the presidential election when you all know that the odds are against him. He won't win the 2027 election. He should rather be a kingmaker and help produce someone like Peter Obi.
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Abubakar Yunusa
Abubakar Yunusa@Pharmacio001·
@Udeaba Wike will be a harsh and worst VP, you can see what he's doing as Minister, that's why Atiku avoided him
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Adeyemo Olajire Philip
Adeyemo Olajire Philip@oneolajire·
@Udeaba @HonShield They are data boys of Atiku. Atiku won't get 2 million votes this time. He can't outspend Tinubu/Wike in vote buying while we vote our conscience.
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Hon Henry Shield
Hon Henry Shield@HonShield·
Let me repeat again; Any Three-Horse race in 2027 will hand over victory to Tinubu. Very easily. If your ambition is bigger than the trauma and suffering of Nigerians under Tinubu, by all means, go ahead. Again, I wish everyone luck.
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
@U_Rochas Oga, make sure that you're checking/monitoring your health vital signs o. Notwithstanding our political differences we love you o.
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Arc Uche Rochas
Arc Uche Rochas@U_Rochas·
I would rather have Tinubu continue and complete his eight-year term than have Peter anywhere near Abuja, let alone Aso Rock. It would be a disaster and a monumental shame to have Obidient in Aso Rock God forbid.
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Udeaba Gerald
Udeaba Gerald@Udeaba·
@IU_Wakilii The North has since fallen in love with Obi. Kwakwanso, El'rufai and Sanusi will help to cement the love northerners have developed for Obi in at least the north west.
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