Melon
1.2K posts

Melon
@UncannyObserver
(1989- ) Obsessed w/ Weather, Math, and Physics.
Katılım Aralık 2011
420 Takip Edilen126 Takipçiler
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@CurryIsMyGOATT We are on the norther end of the QLCS and a few bookend vortices are still a major threat for tornadoes, especially for the SW and S metro. The warming was much more robust than expected due to afternoon clearing! Watch for the notches!

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@UncannyObserver Booo. I’d rather have discrete cells — not because of the greater tornado risk, but the lesser likelihood of the metro actually being hit by storms
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The 00z HRRR just printed a potent QLCS nailing the Twin Cities at around 11pm. The timing is still uncertain but the likelihood of widespread damaging winds (70+mph), large hail, and a few tornadoes, especially SW of the Metro. Likely will be upgraded to enhanced risk. #mnwx

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@paulhuttnerwx The lack of soundings is absolutely an issue but I think the post was made before all the stations had reported. This is what I am seeing on the SPC sounding page.

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Sure would be helpful to have weather balloon data feeding into forecast models on a severe weather day. Little to balloon launch data immediately upstream. Ridiculous. #mnwx
Greg McLaughlin@GregMcwx
Ugh!!!!!! Ugh Ugh Ugh Why???!!!!!!
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Modest instability and lapse rates meets vigorous initiation and ample lower level SRH. Expect widespread low end severe weather, with isolated intense updrafts that could spawn a tornado. A storm blossoming over Le Sueur, MN is starting a wave heading towards TC metro. #mnwx
GIF
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