
Uwe Mike Hilton
4.3K posts

Uwe Mike Hilton
@UweH22
TRUMP HATES SWITZERLAND, GIVES US 39 PERCENT TARIF. CANCEL ORDER OF ALL F35 FIGHTERS!!! ANTI MAGA. 🇺🇸🇨🇭



🔁 Is a gold to bitcoin rotation starting ? The capital rotation narrative between gold and Bitcoin has started to be discussed again. After an exceptional yearly performance in gold, the asset has recently entered a clear correction, pushing it back below its 180-day moving average. This decline is partly linked to margin calls and position liquidations in the gold market. On the other side, BTC continues to stabilize and consolidate, but it is still trading below its own 180-day moving average, currently estimated at $89,700. 👉 For now, both assets appear to be following the same trend, which highlights an initial negative signal for capital rotation. The signal calculation used here is intentionally simple and aims to capture broader trend dynamics : — 🟢 Positive: BTC trades above its 180-dma while gold trades below it. — 🔴 Negative: Both assets trade below their 180-dma. This approach helps capture a clear divergence in trend between gold and BTC. It is a simplified framework to imagine a potential capital rotation, which for now does not appear to be in place or remains too weak to significantly impact the Bitcoin market. ⚠️ However, this remains an extrapolation, as it is very difficult to state with certainty that capital previously deployed in gold-related positions is now being redirected toward the Bitcoin market.





Retail activity is collapsing 📉 In this chart, retail participation is represented by transaction volumes below $10K. 💥 The evolution of this demand, averaged on a monthly basis, has just reached -10%. Just like their activity, retail demand can also be said to be continuing to deteriorate. For nearly a year, retail activity appeared relatively stable, but this trend has now broken and has reached its lowest level since January 2025. –💡Historically, retail demand tends to increase sharply when Bitcoin performs well and then declines just as quickly when BTC corrects. We can clearly observe that retail demand tends to shrink when bottoms are forming or during bear markets. – It is also worth noting that retail investors have largely been absent during this cycle. Despite a few brief spikes in activity, retail participation has remained relatively weak overall. 👉 The arrival of ETFs has likely played a significant role in this dynamic by providing easier and regulated access to Bitcoin’s volatility, as these products operate within a framework overseen by the SEC. Still, the current lack of retail interest deserves close attention, as such periods have historically been associated with corrections that are already well underway.




$BTC Market is in a LONG order flow, steadily filling FVGs Global target into week’s end: $73k+ LONG flow will be invalidated if price drops below $65k Turn on notifs, new update soon...






















