Vagaries of the Weather

@Hosalikar_KS Please correct map of India.. Kashmir border

18 May, Monthly Probabilistic Multi-Model Ensemble Forecast guidance for precipitation for June, July, Aug & Sept 2026 shared here plotted from WMO Lead Centre. Impact of El Nino seen gradually increasing ! IMD's stage II Monsoon Forecast likly arnd last week of May.Follow it pl

PLEASE VIEW ON LARGE SCREEN AS IMAGE IS SMALL Gives us an analysis of Previous ENSO Events

@skokate_007 As per our thinking...30th May - 1st June vagaries.in

@VagariesWeather when it will hit the Kerala ? 22nd of May ?

SW Monsoon 2026 advances over the Andaman-Nicobar islands. Cross-equatorial flow shown in below images. #Monsoon #Monsoon2026 #SWM #SWM2026

MONSOON WATCH 4 ON vagaries.in

Details in vagaries.in

A weak low forms in BoB, displacing the anticyclone. This is likely to open the doors for the cross equatorial flow to enter southern BoB. SWM 2026 onset over Andaman & Nicobar islands likely by end of this week. Arabian Sea anticyclone also weakens, but ridging persits.

After hot days especially in Mumbai eastern suburbs, interior Konkan and Ghat regions, max temperatures will gradually reduce this week as westerly sea breeze strengthens. Some clouding over Ghats with possibility of thunderstorms next 2-3 days.

After weakening in first few days of May, Arabian Sea anticylone is back and LWD seen Ghats with TS formations Gusty winds seen in parts of Thane district due to TS downdraft. Hot weather for remainder of this week for interior Konkan and Deccan region with patchy TS chances.

Full on vagaries.in

Hottest in India Barmer 44.6° 8th Hottest in World See details in vagaries.in Updated