ValueNotDeadYet

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ValueNotDeadYet

ValueNotDeadYet

@ValueNotDeadYet

Manage the Expectations, Manage the Outcome

Katılım Şubat 2021
853 Takip Edilen4K Takipçiler
ValueNotDeadYet
ValueNotDeadYet@ValueNotDeadYet·
The evolution of an investor… learning about opportunities cost 👏
Nadine@nadinelindsey_

@ValueNotDeadYet Yeah I missed out on that and SNDK. People can laugh at me for selling TOU, or one dude called me paper hands. I’m okay missing 10-20% on that if it goes up from here… missing out on things like memory? That hurts more haha.

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ValueNotDeadYet
ValueNotDeadYet@ValueNotDeadYet·
@nadinelindsey_ Long term and year that whole sector just pure money wow. No none of that in my book unfortunately
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Nadine
Nadine@nadinelindsey_·
@ValueNotDeadYet Lt? You mean LITE 😉 another one better than TOU YTD in almost a day!
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ValueNotDeadYet
ValueNotDeadYet@ValueNotDeadYet·
@weary_centurion Bc it’s near bottom, everyone sold at $45 for a loss and now it will double in 18 months ?
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Weary Centurion
Weary Centurion@weary_centurion·
$FOUR How come everyone stopped talking about Shift4? It was one of the most popular stocks on here just a few months ago I notice (with amusement) there is no hate for this stock like there has been with others Everyone has just quietly stopped talking about it Why?
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ValueNotDeadYet
ValueNotDeadYet@ValueNotDeadYet·
@tembelvitesi Maybe, but the fine print (& key) is in the 20-F with regards to them likely about to smash the buy (hard) on the $200M new BB, and the stock is trading like they are Squeeze on $FOUR could be (but unlikely with the prefs) but... you should look at $ODD x.com/ValueNotDeadYe…
ValueNotDeadYet@ValueNotDeadYet

A few $ODD thoughts: ➡️Has anyone done the math on that the company could be doing with their buyback? ➡️The CEO bought 850k shares last week (gone from float) ➡️$50M buyback (assumed post drop) call it 3M shares Class A is 45.1M so that's 3.8/45.1 8.5% Class A gone 1/n

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Lazy Compound | Road to #FIRE
Lazy Compound | Road to #FIRE@tembelvitesi·
Are we setting up for a massive short squeeze on Shift4 ( $FOUR )? Let’s look at the numbers. Short interest is currently sitting at 16.2M shares. But what is the real float shorts can play with? As of Q4 '25, outstanding shares were 84.6M. After factoring in the 4.35M retired in Q4, plus the 3.35M retired between Jan 1 and Feb 26, we are down to 81.2M shares excluding unvested RSUs. Now look at who holds those. You’ve got a massive block of high-conviction investors who definitely aren't selling or lending: • Jared Isaacman: ~23.5M • Wasatch Advisors: ~6.8M • Durable Capital: ~6.6M • Darlington Partners: ~5.6M • Ensign Peak: ~2.6M All of those increased their position in the last quarter with a total sum of 2.3M. That’s roughly 45.1M shares locked up. So what’s actually left? Just 36.1M shares in play. Now, imagine what happens when management uses the remaining $500M buyback authorization to retire another 10-11M shares. We’ll be left with a real float of 25-26M against a 16.2M short interest. That is around 63% short interest on the real float. Do you really think shorts can survive that? I have no idea, and honestly, I don't care. As a long-term holder, I’d love to see management @tlaubers deplete the current authorization, announce a new $1B buyback, and ruthlessly optimize working capital (including expanding AR factoring) to front-load these repurchases while the stock is heavily discounted for the max shareholder value.
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ValueNotDeadYet
ValueNotDeadYet@ValueNotDeadYet·
Bailed on $WELL.TO at the open today (lucky) Really hoping to see more on the US sale (nope) and SAAS-apocalypse killing WELLSTAR Spinoff IMO Would like to start re-building at $3.75, not sure if we get there LT love the consolidation story, but no near term catalyst rn...
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ValueNotDeadYet
ValueNotDeadYet@ValueNotDeadYet·
That's quite a dip on $PBH.TO on earnings that were kind of ok... Sale of Shaw Bakery is decent (a sign of more divestitures to come? - hopefully) 2026 guide isn't great but not thesis breaking... not a common X name but thoughts?
GIF
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Weary Centurion
Weary Centurion@weary_centurion·
$ODD Form 3 filings: RSU performance stock options price targets for CEO/CPO (founders): 1. $70 2. $87.50 3. $105 4. $140 5. $175 For the CFO (market cap): 1. $2.5B 2. $2B 3. $3B 4. $4B 5. $5B 6. $6B Current share price: $14 MC: around $750M (estimated) Not financial advice
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Keşfet

@nadinelindsey_ @_BonerJamz2003 @Zagonel85 @ProdigalThe3rd @weary_centurion @tembelvitesi @tlaubers @InvestInOnG