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OBE: Rolled Dec ’26 10s up into 15s + 17.5s. Extracted ~38% of width and ~170% ROC. Position had become delta-heavy so reset into higher strikes and convexity. Material PnL — Vivé paid for the foreseeable future.

The Vivé Macro Framework Performance Report is now live inside the portal. Three years of data: 169 weekly scoring cycles. 190 instruments. The same engine scoring your opportunities every Monday measured against its full history. Concentrated (Top 5): +129% cumulative return Sharpe 1.40 11.4% max drawdown Core (Top 10): +91% cumulative return Sharpe 1.05 13.7% max drawdown Full Framework (Top 15): +76% cumulative return Sharpe 0.90 12.2% max drawdown Win rate consistent at 56-57% across 577 positions Full report - equity curve, asset class attribution, every position - available inside the portal now. Members: portal.vivemacro.com - Performance tab All decisions remain with the subscriber.

1. Warsh confirmation hearing, Fed independence framing 2. Kuwait force majeure on oil exports, first GCC-level declaration 3. Amazon-Anthropic read-across to Meta, Google, Microsoft capex 4. Lagarde language less dovish than ECB cuts priced 5. Uber-Lucid stake to 11.52%, Estée Lauder-Puig €5bn financing Read the full report here for free: vivemacro.com/daily Full analysis, cross asset implications and watch list: vivemacro.com For informational purposes only.

Tuesday 21 April 2026 - Vivé Daily Macro Iran ceasefire expires Wednesday. Vance, Witkoff and Kushner in Islamabad today. Tehran has not confirmed attendance. Trump overnight: deal "signed tonight", ceasefire "highly unlikely" to extend, "bombs will go off" if it expires. Three framings. One deadline. Monday's tape holds two incompatible positions: SPX -0.22%, NDX -0.31%, DJI flat, RUT +0.58% WTI +4.0%, Brent +4.5% overnight Gold -0.3%, 10y 4.25%, DXY 98.06 Bitcoin +2.6% Equities priced resolution. Oil is pricing the opposite. One is wrong by Thursday. Underneath the geopolitics: Amazon-Anthropic: $100bn over 10 years, up to 5GW of capacity. Largest hyperscaler-foundation-model commitment announced to date. Apple names Ternus CEO eff. 1 Sept. The AI capex story is not slowing. It is institutionalising. What to watch for during this session: (see next post)

1. Wednesday presidential deadline on Iran 2. Fed Waller and Daly, divergent reaction functions 3. ECB Demarco, Kazaks, Kocher against a fresh sovereign downgrade 4. Marvell-Google custom silicon confirmation 5. Eli Lilly-Kelonia, QXO-BLD seventeen billion, consolidation accelerating Full analysis, cross asset implications and watch list: vivemacro.com/daily vivemacro.com For informational purposes only. All decisions remain with the reader.

Monday 20 April 2026 - Vivé Daily Macro Friday closed pricing Iran de-escalation. The weekend reversed it. Hormuz reclosed, TOUSKA intercepted, Vance-Witkoff-Kushner in Islamabad today against a Wednesday deadline. Equities priced resolution. The ground is pricing escalation. The gap trades first. Friday's tape: S&P +1.2%, Nasdaq +1.5%, Dow +1.8%, Russell +2.1% WTI -7.9%, Brent -9.1% on ceasefire read Gold +1.0%, 10y 4.24%, DXY 98.10 Bitcoin -1.3% Crude is short into a confrontation that did not end. Energy opens long gamma. What the market is not pricing: Belgium downgraded Aa3 to A1. UK Rightmove -0.9%. Siemens signalling European capacity flight to the US. AI capex accelerating via Marvell-Google custom silicon talks and Meta's 20 May reallocation. The structural story is being drowned out, not displaced. This week to watch:

Cross asset correlation breakdown creates systematic risks through market maker hedging requirements and momentum strategy crowding vulnerable to rapid reversal scenarios. Read full report here: vivemacro.com/daily vivemacro.com All decisions remain with the subscriber.

Watch: Weekend Islamabad Round Two mediation (Pakistani Army Chief Munir facilitating). Fed speakers Daly 10:30 AM, Waller 1:00 PM policy guidance after Miran's rate cut revision. Housing data 08:30 ET facing structural confidence headwinds beyond interest rate sensitivity.

April 17, 2026 - Vivé Daily Macro Federal Reserve policy paralysis intersects with systematic volatility mispricing as markets price geopolitical resolution before it materializes. VIX at 18.11 reflects institutional vol selling despite oil implied volatility at 51%. Technology concentration at 27% of S&P 500 creates structural amplification risks.

@DelB0yTr0tter Vivé

@AntonGoldhofer Thank you for your positive feedback, Anton.

@Vivemacr0 Love it. Especially the central bank section.

Something new goes live today at Vivé Macro. Daily Macro Intelligence. Cross asset synthesis covering Asia, Europe and US sessions. Published free before the US open, Monday to Friday. Institutional quality macro analysis, every day. For free.

@Vivemacr0 Amazing Add-on to the already incredible product. This weeks report (BKSY) was already a good call.

Full report: vivemacro.com/daily Published free before the US open, Monday to Friday. The systematic weekly framework that turns this into trade opportunities: vivemacro.com All decisions remain with the subscriber.

Watch: April 22: Ceasefire expiry. Extension confirms the price. Breakdown reverses energy, gold, and defensives hard from thin hedge positioning. Islamabad talks next week: Hormuz reopening and Iran nuclear enrichment are the two unresolved issues. PPG pass through: watch chemicals, logistics, packaging for similar announcements in the next two to three weeks.

16 April 2026 - Vive Macro Daily Markets are pricing peace before it is signed. S&P 500 and Nasdaq at fresh all-time highs. Gold -1.1%. The Strait of Hormuz is still closed. The ceasefire expires April 22. Both sides are denying the extension.

This is free. Every weekday. The systematic weekly framework that scores 445 instruments across 39 asset classes every Monday and produces the trade opportunities is what subscribers access. The daily report demonstrates the quality of the thinking behind it. vivemacro.com All decisions remain with the subscriber.

Today's first report is live. Markets at all time highs. The Strait of Hormuz is still closed. TSMC gross margin 66.2%. North America now 76% of semiconductor revenue. AI capex accelerating regardless of geopolitics. PPG raising industrial prices 20%. The Fed paralysed. The ECB watching Hormuz. Full picture: vivemacro.com/daily