WOLF

Bitcoin is under pressure right now. • Price hovering near $66K • $14B in options just expired → volatility spike • Over $400M liquidations in 24h • Governments like Bhutan still moving BTC Meanwhile… whales are quietly accumulating. Smart money vs panic again. Who wins? 👀

Jerome Powell Speech Among 6 Macros To Hit Bitcoin Before Good Friday Bitcoin (BTCUSD) enters the final week of March trading near $67,400, facing a dense slate of US economic releases that could determine whether the pioneer crypto breaks out of its two-month consolidation or slides deeper into bearish territory. The six reports span labor demand, consumer health, and Federal Reserve guidance. Each one feeds directly into rate-cut expectations that have become the primary macro driver for crypto markets in 2026. ⸻ Powell Sets the Tone as Bitcoin Consolidates Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks Monday at 10:30 a.m. ET in what markets have flagged as a high-impact event. No specific topic has been pre-announced, but traders will parse every sentence for clues on whether the Fed sees room to cut rates later this year. The backdrop is tense. The Fed held rates steady at 3.50%–3.75% at its March 17–18 meeting, while its updated dot plot projected only one cut for 2026. Powell acknowledged progress on inflation had been slower than hoped and flagged sticky services prices as a persistent concern. Dovish language from Powell, particularly anything suggesting the labor market has cooled enough to justify earlier easing, could trigger a relief rally. Hawkish commentary would likely strengthen the dollar and push Treasury yields higher, compressing risk appetite for crypto. Bitcoin has traded between roughly $65,000 and $76,000 throughout March after a sharp retracement from its $126,000 all-time high set in late 2025. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $1.47 billion in inflows over seven consecutive days in early March, but outflows returned after the FOMC meeting. The CME FedWatch Tool now shows a 96% probability of no rate change at the April meeting, with rate-hike odds rising in tandem. That positioning leaves Bitcoin highly sensitive to any shift in Fed rhetoric on Monday morning. ⸻ Tuesday’s Dual Release Tests Labor Demand and Consumer Confidence Two reports land simultaneously at 10:00 a.m. ET on Tuesday: • JOLTS Job Openings The February JOLTS Job Openings data will show whether labor demand continued its months-long decline. Consensus points to approximately 7 million openings, slightly above January’s 6.95 million reading. JOLTS matters for Bitcoin because it is one of the Fed’s preferred gauges of labor-market tightness. Falling openings suggest employers are pulling back on hiring, which eases wage pressure and strengthens the case for rate cuts. A reading below 7 million would reinforce the cooling trend that began in mid-2025 and could lift rate-cut bets, a historically supportive signal for BTC. • Consumer Confidence The March Consumer Confidence Index from the Conference Board arrives alongside JOLTS. Forecasts sit near 88.0, down from 91.2 previously. Consumer spending accounts for roughly 70% of US GDP, and a sharp drop in confidence often signals a reduced willingness to spend. For crypto markets, a weaker-than-expected confidence print paired with soft JOLTS data would build a dovish narrative heading into Wednesday. That combination has previously supported risk assets by pulling forward rate-cut expectations. ⸻ Wednesday’s Rehearsal for the Jobs Report Two releases on Wednesday will function as a preview of Friday’s main event: • ADP Nonfarm Employment report The March ADP Nonfarm Employment report arrives at 8:15 a.m. ET. • Retail Sales Report At 8:30 a.m. ET, the delayed February retail sales report drops. Consensus expects a 0.4% month-over-month gain after January’s 0.2% decline. This is the most direct read on consumer spending and will reveal whether households maintained purchasing power despite rising oil prices and softening sentiment. A miss on both ADP and retail sales would heighten recession concerns and likely push Bitcoin toward $68,000–$70000

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Big week for @QwertiAI !! here’s what happened last week: • $1,000 USDT refferal competition live till April 7 top users + referrers get rewarded (you need active refs, and they have to make at least 1 transaction to be validated) xStockfi free 1000 points currently ongoing till end of march, a way to earn more points while referring, • they just cut swap fees hard: – Solana swaps → 0% – cross-chain swaps → 0.02% this actually matters because most people lose 0.1%–0.5% just from bad routing and using multiple DEXs qwerti scans everything and gives you the best path. • overall direction is clear: they’re trying to make DeFi simple enough for anyone to use (no multiple apps, no confusing steps) 70+ chains, card payments, easy onboarding… it just works. more big updates coming this week, Have a productive week ahead frens :)

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