
Danny
64 posts













MLB Late Night Spellcast🪄🧙♂️ Michael King under 5.5 Strikeouts (-112 DK / -114 FD / -118 CZR | 1.12 units) Another stupid line vs the Brewers: yes, please. There were 2 high strikeout targets against the Brewers: Tyler Black and Garrett Mitchell. With Yelich coming off the IL, Tyler Black was sent down to AAA. That leaves Mitchell, who has been brutal for the Brewers in the last month. I would not be surprised if Bauers or Perkins play for him tomorrow, as he struck out 3 times yesterday vs Waldron and others. Pat Murphy talked after Saturday’s win vs the Yankees about how he felt the Brewers were chasing too many pitches and not being disciplined enough (mind you, Brewers are a top 5 team in K% and Whiff%). Since then, starters vs. the Brewers have recorded 4 Ks and 3 Ks vs. Milwaukee. That leaves this projected lineup vs King: League Average: 24 K% - 26% Whiff Rate Turang: 21 K% - 17% Whiff Rate Chourio: 17 K% - 16% Whiff Rate Yelich: 21 K% - 25% Whiff Rate Contreras: 7 K% - 13% Whiff Rate Bauers: 22 K% - 27% Whiff Rate Sanchez: 22 K% - 27% Whiff Rate Frelick: 8 K% - 10% Whiff Rate Rengifo: 11 K% - 18% Whiff Rate Ortiz: 23 K% - 16% Whiff Rate King has just one game with more than 6 strikeouts, and it was against a K target in the Angels. He hasn’t faced a bottom-half K% team vs RHP the ENTIRE SEASON! In 3 games against non-top 10 K% teams, he has 4, 5, and 6 strikeouts. He only had 5 whiffs vs the Pirates, and 12 whiffs vs the Red Sox and Tigers. That will not get it done vs the Brewers, especially when King’s chase rate is way below league average. Only 5 righty starters this season have more than 6 strikeouts vs the Brewers this season. 3 of them have a fastball that goes beyond 97 MPH, and the other 2 were at home. King would be the first pitcher to cover their high K line in Milwaukee with a fastball slower than 95 MPH. Good luck.






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