Degen

34 posts

Degen

Degen

@WeatherPolyBott

Weather trader on Polymarket

Katılım Kasım 2025
48 Takip Edilen11 Takipçiler
Degen
Degen@WeatherPolyBott·
@Hiroshi98605734 Not enough PWS around there to gather meaningful data
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Degen@WeatherPolyBott·
What are the best polymarket markets to trade the weather? I'm only trading London for now. What should I try next?
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Degen@WeatherPolyBott·
@sebastian06237 Unlucky man. Im assuming you bought 27C when it looked like the temp was going down, and then it went up to 28. It happens on the London market all the time where the metar unexpectedly jumps up a degree for no reason when all the PWSs look like theyre going down.
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Sebastian
Sebastian@sebastian06237·
Took the hits of hits on polymarket trading weather today . -200+ dollars on London . Where did i go wrong ? Not taking profits . Yes well , honestly , i specialized in Istanbul then went today thinking that i know london as well full ape . This resets my entire work and study that i did for 2 months in trading weather. Cool , the notebook took another page fill today , and tommorow ill run it back . From 360+ PNL to 27+ pnl after today s loss. Doesn t matter , lesson has been learned the very hard way , but i won t fall for the same trap again . 10k this year in PNL is coded . Now i know.
Sebastian tweet media
Sebastian@sebastian06237

Expanded my weather trading experience on @Polymarket to London as well . Been studying the patterns there for a while , and ill just pick it up alogside Istanbul which i already know to trade based in metar data . Anyway , 1st bet on London ,highest temperature 23 degrees NO , 1 st win . Preparing slowly for that $poly airdop while making some burger money as well.

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Degen@WeatherPolyBott·
@Hiroshi98605734 I only use free ones. It's about what you do with the data
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Hiroshi
Hiroshi@Hiroshi98605734·
@WeatherPolyBott Do you use any paid APIs for analysis? I just wrote a bot for myself using free tools for now, and it’s nowhere near as accurate as what you’re predicting. If it’s not too much trouble, could you please let me know?
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Degen
Degen@WeatherPolyBott·
Ok so weather markets crashed and got voided. l got refunded. cool. But now my positions from that day are showing as won and i can supposedly redeem it except it just errors out every time. anyone else dealing with this? @Polymarket
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Degen@WeatherPolyBott·
@GnatykA London by far. It's the only one i trade
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Stephenblaq
Stephenblaq@Steezehuman·
Gold is crashing. Silver is crashing. Crypto is crashing. Stocks are crashing. The dollar is crashing. Real talk what should we buy now?
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Swarup 💎
Swarup 💎@Swarup54502259·
Down $342 on @Polymarket 😭 Need the CT legends to save my portfolio. What’s your best recovery play right now? Any high-conviction markets, narratives or underrated calls? 👀 Trying to turn this red PnL into a comeback arc. Drop your suggestions below👇 $POLY #POLY
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weather pro
weather pro@EthYfii·
BREAKING: Taker rebates to be introduced to @Polymarket next week, following a tiered-approach, where the higher you climb, the less fees you pay. Your tier will be visible on your profile, with @Polymarket one-time bonuses of up to $25,000 when you climb a tier...how u guys think it affect the weather? @PolymarketTrade
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Degen@WeatherPolyBott·
PnL over the last 2 weeks. Consistent profits every day Max drawdown $20 on day 1 Only traded London highest temperature
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0x亮晶晶(Box Office trader)
天气彩票流每日准备工作 1.早盘扫描市场,锁定1-2°C温度区间合约 2.打开Windy对比ECMWF、GFS等多模型,找集合预报分歧(不确定性=机会) 3.梳理高赔率机会,实时跟踪温度偏差 4.信号确认立即下单,绝不犹豫 天气是最公平的赛道 变化即机会,不确定性即 alpha @Polymarket
0x亮晶晶(Box Office trader) tweet media
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Degen@WeatherPolyBott·
@Emotion_web3 Can you share your polymarket profile
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EMOTION CRYPTO
EMOTION CRYPTO@Emotion_web3·
Low-risk weather tactic on Seoul. Sharing my current Polymarket buys. Market: Seoul, May 22 - #ySgJqJw" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/event/highest-… According to my weather bot, tomorrow’s max temperature should be around 24°C. So I’m buying the range equally: > 23°C - YES > 24°C - YES > 25°C - YES Total entry is around 50%, which means if one of these outcomes hits, the profit is basically ~50% upside. Clean range. Clear logic. Good risk/reward. What do you think about this Seoul setup?
EMOTION CRYPTO tweet media
EMOTION CRYPTO@Emotion_web3

Weather markets just recovered and I already took profit on Seoul. Opened a few more positions too. I’ll share them very soon. Turn on notifications. Tonight should be interesting. Weather trading is back.

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Degen@WeatherPolyBott·
Just as predicted just hit 24C
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Degen@WeatherPolyBott·
London Highest temperature: Forecasted max temperature is in 3 hours Its already hit 22C and about to hit 23C Temperature is well above the forecast Bought 24C at 23c. Its currently at 55c Bought some 25C at 9.4c incase it spikes Let's see what happens.
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Degen@WeatherPolyBott·
@Hiroshi98605734 I trade manually using a tool I built for myself. I set up my positions the day before, then use the tool to adjust them live based on how the day's going.
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Hiroshi
Hiroshi@Hiroshi98605734·
@WeatherPolyBott Hi, what trading strategy do you use - do you use your own bot or trade manually?
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PolyGun
PolyGun@Polygun_·
You can only trade one for the rest of your life: ❤️ - Politics 🔁 - Crypto 💬 - Sports
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Degen@WeatherPolyBott·
@primenic_eth Crypto. It's pure gambling. The only people that make money are the ones using latency optimised bots. Weather markets are where it's at.
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