13D Research & Strategy

The Iran conflict has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, a 21-mile-wide waterway, creating a severe chokehold on global industries that mostly rely on lean inventories and concentrated shipping lanes to single-source dependencies. Prolonged war will cause global shortages across industries but also drive reshoring and domestic-industry growth, creating long-term economic opportunities. The 13D Food Security Index is poised to outperform amid fertilizer shortages. Request a free demo: client.13d.com/promo/cx/X2603… #Iran #FoodSecurity

The 13D Critical Minerals Index has returned 362.8% since its launch on February 27, 2025. The index is heavily weighted on key defense-minerals. Request a free demo: client.13d.com/promo/cx/X2602… #Iran #CriticalMinerals #Defense #defence

A huge thank you to all our clients and guests who joined us in Zurich last week for a discussion on the financial implications of the war in Iran. Our Chairman and Founder, Kiril Sokoloff, alongside Senior Critical Minerals Research Associate Lachlan Nieboer and Director of Relationship Management James Bracken, shared insights across a range of affected sectors, including critical minerals, gold, oil, and broader commodities markets. We appreciate the thoughtful dialogue and engagement from everyone who attended. Learn more our team: 13d.com/meet-the-exper… #Iran #CriticalMinerals #Commodities

We have discussed the bullish set-ups and breakouts in the energy sector regularly for many months. Until now, XOP was the only remaining key large-cap energy sector index or ETF to not register a breakout. As noted in the chart, XOP has formed a massive inverse head-and-shoulders bottom, and last week’s action is very likely signaling a major breakout. We continue to monitor this closely. Learn more about our publications and services: 13d.com/services/cx/X2…

In Sunday’s WATMTU, we examined several markets that may be signaling important shifts in trend, trend acceleration, leadership, and risk perception across multiple asset classes. Request a free demo: client.13d.com/promo/cx/XMark…

Notably, the gold miners (HUI) registered a new all-time daily closing high on Tuesday through Friday last week. And on Friday, all the key measures for the gold mining sector registered a daily, weekly and monthly all-time high. USD-gold closed Friday 6.21% below its January all-time high. What does this price-action suggest? Clients see the WATMTU from Sunday March 1. Learn more about our products and services: 13d.com/services/cx/X2… #Gold #miners

Read our Chief Market Strategist, Arvind Sachdeva's recent interview in The Economic Times. Learn more about Arvind and the rest of our team: 13d.com/meet-the-exper… @asachdeva13D @NishanthV_ET @EconomicTimes: economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/us-sto…

The Energy Select Sector ETF (XLE) has advanced sharply from a multi-year “wedge” consolidation to an all-time high. The breakout from the huge 18-year base is very likely signaling a large and sustained advance in the energy sector. 𝟭𝟯𝗗 𝗰𝗹𝗶𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀 𝗰𝗮𝗻 𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝙒𝘼𝙏𝙈𝙏𝙐 𝗼𝗳 𝗙𝗲𝗯𝗿𝘂𝗮𝗿𝘆 𝟮𝟮. 𝗟𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗻 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗮𝗯𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗽𝘂𝗯𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀: 13d.com/services/cx/X2… #Energy

Long-term breakouts in global mining giants and major energy companies are converging with powerful relative strength in U.S. cyclical sectors, reinforcing the view that capital is accelerating into the “New Regime” markets—real assets, energy, materials, and non-U.S. equities. We are following this closely. Learn more about 13D: 13d.com/cx/X260224NR

This action could be signaling sustained outperformance in the copper miners relative to the U.S. stock market. The strong breakout in the COPX-to-SPY ratio is also important evidence supporting the rising “forces of production” discussed recently in both What I Learned This Week (WILTW) and What Are the Markets Telling Us (WATMTU). Learn more about our publications: 13d.com/services/cx/X2… #Copper #miners

The U.S. Industrial Sector ETF (XLI) versus the Financial Sector ETF (XLF) has soared from a massive, decade-long “diamond” consolidation. This action suggests rising “global forces of production” and could also be signaling a potential “inflationary boom” for the global economy. 13D clients can read more in Sunday's WATMTU. Learn more about our publications: 13d.com/services/cx/X2…

Happy Lunar New Year from 13D Research & Strategy. Wishing you a powerful and prosperous Year of the Horse.