Will

@afneil @adamboultonTABB We're fucked in other words.

We have yet to feel the full force of oil and gas price spikes and energy shortages.  But they’ve started in Asia, the destination for most oil and gas that went through the Strait of Hormuz. They’re now coming our way, arriving by the middle of April at the latest, as they roll west across the globe.  Just because it hasn’t happened yet doesn’t mean it isn’t going to. Energy shocks unfold sequentially NOT simultaneously.  People and politicians haven’t yet woken up to this. Yesterday on this show we spoke to Greg Newman, an experienced energy trader. He warned of major problems coming down the pike. He’s right. It was a wake up call we’d do well to heed.  What’s already happening in Asia is a harbinger of what’s in store for us. Huge rises in the price of oil and gas. Growing shortages in diesel and jet fuel. Knock on effects on everything from fertilisers for the spring growing season to microchip production.  About a third of the world’s fertilisers, needed for food production, and a third of the world’s helium, needed for chip production, are produced by the Gulf’s petrochemical industries and come through the Strait of Hormuz. No longer.  Western governments need to wake up to the economic tsunami coming their way. The Starmer government in particular needs to get a grip.  The PM and his ministers are dangerously insouciant in the face of what’s about to hit them. They speak in generalities, with no sense of urgency, complacently out of their depth. I fear they have no idea what’s in store.  They talk about average household energy bills falling by over £100 from tomorrow. What they never add is that they will rise by almost £300 come July.  Soon the price of everything from petrol at the pump to food at the check out counter will soar. Central banks will panic at the sight of inflation reignited — and jack up interest rates.  Remember this — every major energy shock in the past has led to recession. Not because energy prices went through the roof but because central banks pushed up interest rates in their wake, killing consumer spending, the property market and business investment in the process. AND ushering in recession.  There is every chance history is about to repeat itself. Especially since we’re now run by people who are wholly ignorant of that history.  Of course, peace could soon break out and, after a rough spring and summer, normality could beckon before winter is again upon us.  But if the Strait of Hormuz is still closed in a month’s time we will all be paying a steep price for a war — Trump’s War — we did not start and did not ask for. And having to deal with an increasingly deranged White House.  2/2

My monologue on The Times at One with Andrew Neil on @TimesRadio on Trump’s War: Donald Trump woke up this morning to tell Britain to open the Strait of Hormuz without US help and to ‘start learning how to fight’ for ourselves because America ‘won’t be there to help you.’   Well, we learned how to do that in 1940, Mr President, when your country was nowhere to be seen and only Britain stood with its Commonwealth allies to defend civilisation against the greatest evil the world has ever seen.  For those of you wondering if the Atlantic Alliance still has a future, you can stop wondering. As long as Trump is in the White House clearly it doesn’t.  Meanwhile Trump’s Secretary of State Marco Rubio is impatient with media criticism that the aims of Trump’s War are confusing and uncertain. So yesterday on American TV he helpfully listed them. Write them down, he advised, implying this was the definitive list. So I did: 1. The destruction of Iran’s air force 2. The destruction of their navy 3. The severe diminishing of their missile launching capability 4. The destruction of their factories Which is clear enough — except that it’s not the list with which President Trump started the war. That list clearly included regime change and the end of Iran’s ability to develop nukes.  They didn’t make Secretary Rubio’s list. Nor did the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.  There is further cause for concern. IF Rubio’s list is now the definitive one, then Trump could claim war aims achieved, victory declared even with Iran still in control of the Strait of Hormuz, still able to develop a nuclear arsenal.  Not quite the victory anybody envisaged.  Yet that may well be the route we’re now going down. Late last night in Washington we discovered that Mr Trump was telling aides he WAS prepared to end the war even if the Strait of Hormuz was still closed.  That opening it would prolong the war beyond his deadline. That it was up to the Europeans and the Gulf States to take the lead in opening it because they needed it more than America.  Well, thanks a lot Donald. You start a war without consulting your allies, you change your war aims more often than Keir Starmer performs U-turns and now you talk of ending it, leaving us to hold the baby. Just great.  This matters. Because the longer the Strait of Hormuz is closed the more the global economy faces something close to catastrophe. 1/2

@Dominos_UK No hotdog crust

tell a sad story in 3 words

🚨🚨🚨 HUGE BREAKING: FIFA have decided not to take referee Stuart Attwell to the World Cup 2026 this summer. His costly mistakes in the Bournemouth and Burnley matches against the same team Manutd played a part but he is also regarded as below average referee by FIFA. #MUFC

@danbarker Does it work on leshuttle?

Eurostar Tip: A little tip for anyone in the UK who likes to travel via Eurostar, and is relatively flexible- they have a semi-hidden ticket type called 'Eurostar Snap', where you can regularly travel for like £70 return. You can only specify that you want to travel morning or afternoon, then a couple of days before travel they let you know the exact time of the train they've put you on. Google 'Eurostar Snap' and you'll find the booking page.

@PolitlcsUK @NatashaC Illegals just unlocked infinite wealth

🚨 NEW: Failed asylum seekers and their families will be paid up to £10,000 per person to leave the UK within 7 days in a new trial [@NatashaC]

My update on the situation in the Middle East.

@medicalgrower42 Good job 👏

@WillR01 This will last us several months!

When you start to get good at growing it becomes very difficult to choose what to smoke. The struggle is real.😎

@Swagg What a cunt

First thought when you see Dante

@elonmusk @Kekius_Sage If it doesn't make you happy, why bother?

@Kekius_Sage I am not often happy

Do you think Elon Musk is happier than us, or just louder?

@Grrted But they covered up there sons pedophile ways for years

I love England - this TV has a royal crest on it because the Royal family uses Samsung products. So random

@elonmusk Elon will there ever be a UK version of the Cyber truck

🛰️

@TRobinsonNewEra Rule Britannia

It’s lucky I’m hard as fuck

@UtdForever7 @JacobsBen @UnitedStandMUFC @ManUtd @premierleague Poch if not give it to Carrick

🚨These are the candidates to become Manchester United’s permanent manager: • Mauricio Pochettino • Julian Nagelsmann • Oliver Glasner • Marco Silva • Andoni Iraola Who’s your pick? 👇🔴 #MUFC [@JacobsBen via @UnitedStandMUFC]

@henrywinter Give it Aluko rest of the season, redemption mode

Utter Work Nonsense. Nottingham Forest sack Sean Dyche. Nominated for Manager of the Month for January. Last 6 PL games: 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss. Wolves draw was undeniably poor. No goals from 35 attempts. But Forest’s best finisher is 34 and been injured since October. When you are on your fourth manager of the season, the problem might not simply be them, it might also be you - recruitment, culture and the right leadership from owner and sporting director. Marinakis has done a lot for Forest, but he's embarrassing them now. Edu also an issue. Forest fans deserve better than this poor leadership. #NFFC

@WeAreTheOverlap Listen give Sean Dyche the contract, put it on the table. Let him sign it, let him write whatever numbers he wants to put on there, given what he's done since he's come in. Get him on the pod FFS!!

@TheSnowDreamer @lucleefx Hope so, its overdue

@WillR01 @lucleefx It doesn’t but not to be taken literally

Latest UKV is raising an eyebrow with Sunday’s front being active and predominately snow across London & SE, it’s within envelope but I wouldn’t say favoured scenario at present. I’m thinking the chance of some leading edge snow has increased Sunday morning south of M4 before transitioning to rain. Next 36 hours will be informative.

@lucleefx @TheSnowDreamer Looks like it misses us again

@TheSnowDreamer east anglia?

@rukky_nate Btc

You’re given $2m. You have 20 minutes to spend it. You can’t spend it on cars, airplanes, yacht or a house. You can’t spend it on golds or diamonds either. What will you buy?

@JamesMelville Appy Monday James

£24.99 pepperoni pizza.