Win Monroe

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Win Monroe

Win Monroe

@WinMonroe

Another economist. Views and bad hot takes are my own, if even that. Likes & RTs =/= endorsements.

Copenhagen Katılım Mayıs 2014
3.5K Takip Edilen2.2K Takipçiler
Win Monroe
Win Monroe@WinMonroe·
@Ahlurahul @mean_field_zane Well, to each their own then, but both myself, and I think the vast majority of research economists, strongly disagree with that assessment.
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Rahul Ahluwalia
Rahul Ahluwalia@Ahlurahul·
@WinMonroe @mean_field_zane Hayek established that markets are fundamentally information economics! Imperfect information is an interesting refinement to academic models, but in most markets it matters very little, in some markets, people solve for it via reputation, and in very few, its insights are useful
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𝔐𝔽𝓩
𝔐𝔽𝓩@mean_field_zane·
I mean, it’s entirely silly to refer to one of the most foundational economic theorists of all time as “niche”. His work is the foundation for literally every single model in modern macroeconomics and also the study of adverse selection & moral hazard.
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Win Monroe
Win Monroe@WinMonroe·
@Ahlurahul @mean_field_zane I mean there are all kinds of strategies and behaviors that optimize around imperfect information, but that doesn't mean that markets aren't fundamentally driven by information economics. If anything, the opposite.
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Rahul Ahluwalia
Rahul Ahluwalia@Ahlurahul·
@WinMonroe @mean_field_zane Because empirically markets and repeated games solve very well for the theoretical market imperfections of adverse selection etc. It sounds like a deal breaker for markets, but it hasn't really been. Wherever the surplus is there, markets come up with solutions.
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Win Monroe
Win Monroe@WinMonroe·
@Ahlurahul @mean_field_zane Why do you say informational asymmetry matters less than people thought then? If anything, I think we've came to find that it matters even more. It's one of the primary motivating forces behind almost all financial economics.
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Rahul Ahluwalia
Rahul Ahluwalia@Ahlurahul·
@mean_field_zane He was foundational to the information asymmetry literature, yes. But overall information asymmetry matters far less than people thought when Akerlof and Stiglitz introduced them. Hence niche. Where else is he foundational? In particular 'all of modern macro'? How?
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Hanno Lustig
Hanno Lustig@HannoLustig·
If you're in an academic seminar, a good question to ask yourself occasionally is: what would this experience be like if everyone behave liked me? Would this be a seminar you would want to keep attending?
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Charles Watts
Charles Watts@charles_watts·
Another day of taking in non-stop Arsenal content? That will be a yes. We go again......
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Win Monroe
Win Monroe@WinMonroe·
@upanizza I see Olivier already beat me to this point of course 😅
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Win Monroe
Win Monroe@WinMonroe·
@upanizza This makes sense, but in a world with frictions and limits to arbitrage, I'd expect the European debt to command a liquidity premium, and so debt costs to be modestly reduced.
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Ian Wright
Ian Wright@IanWright0·
CAN WE CELEBRATE NOW????❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️
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Win Monroe
Win Monroe@WinMonroe·
How am I supposed to sleep tonight
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Jeremy
Jeremy@JeremyWS·
I think under appreciated in JPY rates is the speed and direction of travel of Inflation swaps. 5y up to new highs today, up 70bps since the war, and 35bp this month! BoJ falling further behind the curve. GDP overnight allays immediate concerns for June. But more is needed.
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Simon Mongey
Simon Mongey@Simon_Mongey·
Public service reminder: Real wages got hosed despite what people called a "hot labor market". If you're interested in *compression* of wages..., sure, go ahead: Less hosed less for high wage workers. But also expect gains for high vs low for a few years now to even it out.
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Arin Dube
Arin Dube@arindube·
Matt's right! The large firm pay premium fell a lot for blue collar workers between 1980 and 2015 or so, but has come back to life in the past 10 years. I don't think this is a widely known story! I try to get it out in my book. Also new paper coming on this :-)
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias

Large employers pay higher wages and per @arindube’s new book on minimum wages and sectoral standards this premium is growing and largest for lower-wage workers.

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