RS
18.7K posts
@WithRitesh
Full Time Trader. Stocks | Economy. Modi + Yogi era. Past: Bank of America. Select Posts in Highlights!
India’s maximum power demand is expected to reach 459 gigawatts by the end of the decade, accompanied by a dramatic growth in generation and storage capacity, according to the power ministry bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Tata Power has end-to-end" presence across the entire energy value chain—from generation and manufacturing to distribution and EV charging. Mundra power plant resolution is expected soon. (As per concall) Data centres power demand and TCS plans on data centres is the new catalyst. As of early 2026, India’s data center capacity is projected to grow six-fold to 8–10 GW by 2030 and Tata Power is uniquely positioned to capture this demand through its integrated business model. Existing capacity: Generation: A massive portfolio of over 16.3 GW, including thermal, hydro, solar, and wind. Transmission & Distribution (T&D): It serves over 13 million customers across major hubs like Delhi, Mumbai, and Odisha. Manufacturing: It has established high-tech solar cell and module manufacturing (producing ~2.9 GW of modules and 2.8 GW of cells as of early FY26). Leader in Solar rooftop. Tata Power has pivoted aggressively toward a "green" future, with a goal to reach 100% clean energy by 2045. #TataPower now available near 375, started Feb series around 52 week lows of 335.
JUST IN: 🇶🇦 Qatar calls for the US, Israel and Iran to immediately end the war.
Our assessment of who is most vulnerable to the Iran energy shock:
You will soon hear that AI adoption getting delayed because of lack of power/energy sources and lack of chips (helium). AI capex will be forcefully brought down. AI themed stocks will face the brunt. SaaS will get a year or two to regroup, rediscover and recover. Software stocks will make a comeback. Indian names like Coforge, TCS, Infosys, Persistent will gain. Rising oil and LNG prices are driving up the cost of electricity—the single largest operating expense for AI. AI data centers are also energy-hungry. Oil and Gas supply chain disruptions will direct energy towards “public” welfare rather than AI themed machine guzzlers. 🤖 Helium is critical for semiconductor fabrication (it cools silicon wafers and creates stable vacuums for photolithography). Qatar accounts for roughly one-third of the world’s helium supply. Helium reserves are depleting fast and in twi months you can see a potential trigger of a global "AI winter" for hardware availability.
Another day of slightly less buying by DII’s and Nifty slide 400 points again. Both the days highlight, FII’s just need ~1,400 crore selling extra to cause a 400 points dip. At this rate, if they manage to sell ~14,000 crore extra in a month, Nifty will slide 4000 points to 20,000. #timepass
Equity margin call leads to indiscriminate selling across asset classes. ☎️ Sell Gold and Silver, pay for margin. $$ also going to Crude from Gols and Silver as rally in crude looks more sustainable if war continues. Silver will crash in absence of industrial demand and supply chain.
Will Gold come down near $4,000 temporarily (down 20%), once this Iran-USA war and Russia-Ukraine war ends? Long term it remains in a secular bull orbit as demand from central bank will increase after all this geopolitics.
CLSA ON INDIAN IT In our discussions with TCS, INFY, HCL and Wipro around preview commentary ahead of the silent period, we find no evidence of increased deflation in renewed contracts due to the latest AI tools from Anthropic and OpenAI since their launch A few companies flagged a slight delay in decision making by clients due to the launch of the latest AI tools to explore their true potential and due to the ensuing Middle East (ME) crisi On the ME crisis, direct revenue exposure for all four companies is in low single digits but the broader macro impact will depend on the duration of the crisis #nifty #clsa @CNBCTV18News @citic_clsa @nimeshscnbc
Stock markets crashing as if it’s the end of the world!
What a Year huh? Tariffs Gold Silver Wars Navy Missiles Drones Dubai Middle East lockdown Iran, USA, Israel 30% intraday rally in Oil Stocks crash Epstein Strait of Hormuz Insurance Oil tankers Induction Crypto, Bonds, LPG, LNG, Oil well, Gas fields!😮💨
How rare it is to see a 112% upside on a well owned IT stock by a major brokerage house! Can the markets price an asset irrationally on such a scale? Coforge!
