xquagga
116 posts
xquagga
@Xqu8gga
probably nothing | prediction markets enjoyer
managed to squeeze ~5.4% profits (~65% APR) on non-directional systematic strats during World Cup season with ~zero drawdown can't wait for the next big sports event! 🇪🇸
I am pleased to announce that a memorandum of understanding has been signed between the Republic of Kazakhstan and Network School. Our new campus will become a haven for global techno-optimism, with expedited visas, streamlined redomiciliation, and active recruitment of talent.
Built my own World Cup arbitrage terminal this week ⚽ It pulls live odds from 6 prediction markets - @Polymarket, @predictdotfun, @JupiterExchange, @MyriadMarkets, @tradeoutcome, @pred_app - into one board: The feature stack breakdown 👇 (1/3)
Adding colour to the @HyperliquidX HIP-4 world cup markets Visualise your strategies against other market makers Every wallet, every order, every block See you in the orderbooks monarch.fast/world-cup
AIRPORTDELAY from @Kalshi has been filed. They already have markets listed for individual airports, this is broader in scope and would allow for any airport along with - being based on % of total flights vs. number of flights - two source agencies for settlement, primary is @FlightAware and secondary is Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) making for more robust settlement criteria cftc.gov/IndustryOversi…
Live odds for World Cup Semi-final France Vs Spain: @HyperliquidX confidently leads Why? Because competitive dynamics force markets to be efficient -> spreads compress, fees lower, markets move faster -> retail users win
the overlords have answered my prayers again 🙏🏼
Polymarket traders still can’t decide whether Ronaldo cried yesterday My take: it’s important to separate everyone’s subjective perception from the actual rules In this market, the rules say that a tear must be clearly observed on his face. Personally, I haven’t seen a single photo or video where a tear is CLEARLY visible. Everything we have right now is just assumptions and artifacts from poor quality Yes, if you show this to a random person with no context, they’ll probably say Ronaldo is obviously crying. But we can’t resolve markets based on subjective opinions. The fact that he cried can only be confirmed if someone shows a photo so clear that arguing with it would be pointless I was also watching live yesterday as the PolyHelper feature showed smart money building No positions. I shared this in my Telegram channel The total PnL of the top 50 No holders was already $10M just half an hour after the match ended. At peak it reached $16M and now it’s ~$15M For me, this is a factor that supports my view on this market and a good signal to enter on the No side
