Rob Xu

@colin_fraser @atomlib How do you think they got it better on charts and text? Just training on a ton of specific examples?

@atomlib Yeah I know. But it gets more right than I expected in a way that is uncharacteristic of previous image models.

This is obviously wrong but I’ll admit I’m impressed.

@KaiSunWave @GaryMarcus Presumably true AGI would render these researchers and their new projects obsolete, given the projections of PhD level capabilities. If I was at OpenAi and believed AGI was near, I sure as hell wanna be on the side with AGI, not a side project

Another person leaving a famous company that is not in fact on the cusp of AGI (after all, who would leave if they were just a few meters from the finish line?)

@GaryMarcus @Miles_Brundage @GaryMarcus given that the bet is around criteria for AGI, does this mean you’ve accelerated your predictions for when AGI will arrive? I recall previously you had (tentative) later timelines like 2050

What about 2035 rather than 2027 for my AI bet with @Miles_Brundage ? • I wouldn’t be shocked if all were solved by 2035 (but would be shocked if all were solved by 2027). • Would be shocked if pure scaling of LLMs got us there. • Would be shocked if we solved all of them without substantial contributions from neurosymbolic AI.

@GaryMarcus @GaryMarcus what odds do you give AGI being less than 20 years away?

Mark my words: when AGI does actually come, perhaps 10 or 20 years from now, people will laugh at the idea that o3 was close to AGI.

@GaryMarcus @haider1 What do you think the odds are AGI arrives by 2050?

@haider1 God he sounds like me

Yann leCun — Current AI systems lack real-world understanding, reasoning, and memory. However, within the next decade or two, AI will surpass human intelligence, gaining common sense, and safety guardrails to stay under control while completing tasks.

@MichaelEMann it’s looking like a long shot that they will… hard to see any positive trends here

If Gen Z won't unite around #climateaction and fight for a livable planet, there is little the rest of us will be able to do. insideclimatenews.org/news/08112024/…